Letters from Members - 2003

Monday, December 29, 2003 4:01 PM

This was (NGEN) a great pick by your firm. Unfortunately I was stopped out, but still made 25%.

Thanks for the great work!

Bob

Hi, I've just started my subscription and I REALLY enjoy reading your updates,etc. When I look at the options, I'm confused...if the theoretical value and current price are the same, doesn't that mean that the option is correctly priced and so I shouldn't buy it. What don't I understand? Thanks, Leslie

Wish everyone at Stockwinners a wonderful Christmas and a happy new year.

You are absolutely great and be proud of your work in helping traders and investors to make our life a prosperous one.
regards,
Abraham

Pulled from Active Traders: U.S. court ruling denies President power to hold a U.S. citizen seized on American soil as an enemy combatant.

Does this not sicken anyone, that the President was looking for this power? How many of our liberties are we willing to relinquish under the guise of "War on Terrorism"?

The internet is like a railroad moving at the speed of light. It will destroy everything in it's path. The destination is perfection. It's about to leave the station"...for a long time I thought it would be deflationary in nature and still do to a large degree. Now I have added a new twist, in the sense the destination may just include 0% inflation. In the early 80's I heard of the research being conducted while at Georgia Tech on various incredible advancements. In the early 90's I researched the internet for business prospects. I could not come up with anything where one had control over their competition and costs and therefore how to price anything. Technology in general could replace the word internet above.

Love your site!

Question: How come on your option picks page you show the last traded price as one number and then when you click on the corresponding link the CBOE last traded price is different. And how do you arrive at the theoretical price?

thanks from a happy subscriber!

Fantastic reply...I understand it thoroughly....thanks for answering it for me....I really like your buy recommendations even though I do not follow all of them, I just study charts and profiles and statistics of all the stocks you recommended then I buy some ....I am keeping my subscription as long as I can....also I follow Investors Business Daily which I really like....have a nice Thanksgiving...Bill

I recently was a trial member to the options picks and I was impressed however I would like to know how you would filter your 4 daily picks down to the one or two best in the group.

I really enjoy your site an attitude of openness and transparency. "Active Trader" magazine recently said it is the only chance financial services have because of the overwhelming malfeasance on Wall Street permeating every aspect of investing leaving extremely skeptical investors. They were actually rather crass saying after some leading comments-- "It is now time for any genre of financial service wishing to obtain the faith of the willing investors left, to either put up or shut up!" They went on to say the inevitable trimming of services has begun because they have not gotten the message.

Sent this to a friend who thought inflation may be a problem a few years ago... I would add terrorism as another ingredient. Don't think the Fed will raise rates with all this going on but one never knows..

You may end up right on inflation as PPI was up .8% this morning. I've been looking at five or so ingredients to cause deflation or low inflation...aging populations, globization, technology, debt levels and housing bubble. If there is inflation interest rates go up and the housing bubble bursts causing deflation. I keep coming back to something I read I believe about the Andrew Jackson period when they had budget surpluses and they decided to pay down the debt. This was followed by an inflation boom then followed by a deflationary period. The reason this time period is interesting to me is it was before the real income tax and the heavy hand of the Central Bank. One theory I have is the internet is taking us back in time to some degree where capital flows around things like the Federal Reserve and Income tax barriers. It could be we can grow faster without inflation for a long time and that is something new.

You made a mistake in posting about IMCL. The Bloomberg message was a blunder. It should have been no ODAC review, which means it is almost certain to get approval before year end. ODAC review would have meant that the FDA wanted further info before granting approval by its Feb 13, 2004 self imposed deadline. You made a mistake posting yourself. I see why you post disclaimers, your infomation is not correct here

They can start by cutting the executive pay and perks. They can then move to the middle managers as few are worth over $50,000 per year fixed. They then can move to the cell phones and etc...If disinflation hits the housing market you bet they will cut some more. Let's hope it does'nt happen but these brokerage houses are doing us any good when they then start changing the deal on us traders. How many of us are out there I don't know but if the big brokerage houses like Merrill and UBS and the others limit the amount of trading you can do and try to slip in their full brokerage commissions they can forget it. If they want to support the market they
need us traders coming in to buy the dips. Corporate America is being run by duntzes. Per and simple.

Dear Stockwinners,

I like your site and the active traders features and that's why I have subscribed to it for several years. However, I find that your OPTION PICKS and TODAY'S PICKS has a lot of room for improvement. Visually, the format is not attractive to start off with. Plus it looks like you guys are making little effort made TO KEEP EVOLVING and improving and offering more to the customer. For instance, what good is an option pick if there are no guidelines on when to buy it? Say your recommend XYZ semiconductor option and that day the market is tanking, should I ignore your pick, buy it on a dip or what? Under TODAY'S PICKS, the same applies. Also, sometimes you recommend somewhat obscure stocks with little volume. Again, no criteria on when to enter, what the target is or a stop. It doesn't take a genius, for instance, to sit there and recommend a month ago, call options on EBAY with no criteria. I'm eventually going to be right. Last but not least, your commentary in today's picks is so wishy washy regarding market direction that you seem to be content with saying something to placate the bears AND the bulls. Hopefully, this will have some effect because I truly find that you guys have STAGNATED and are COASTING on your laurels.

Take care,
Silvio

Hello!
I am currently reviewing your picks.

I was wondering why you have targets at stockpicks but you don'tmention them on option picks. I understand the 10% rule, but in option trading this might not be considered like a huge lot, for one pays a lot in the buying and selling. Wouldn't it be a good idea to at least mention a target price for the underlying. For instance you already do it on GERN?

Hope this helpd,

regards,

Hans

I play IIJI and BRLI the last two days and earned $15k over three days. I am now a Stockwinner.com lifer.

Thanks for providing such a great website.............

Bruce

Some time ago I let my Stockwinners subscription expire. I wanted to test other services, so I signed up with three expensive advisory services. What a mistake... All three were losers. So, just a few days ago I resigned with Stockwinners and I have already used information gathered from your service to steer me to a 139% gain on my first trade. Thanks

Mike E.

Eventhough new homes sales increased 4.7% in June the median price paid dropped by approx. $10,000? So if someone bought a home in a new subdivision in May, they paid a median price of $197,000 in theory and
could borrow say 97% but in June this same typical new buyer could have bought a new home in a new subdivision down the street for $187,000 and borrowed 97%. And we don't have a problem in housing? And what are rates going up for? How is a moveup market going to develop with this going on if it sustains itself? Just some questions coming to mind from someone who was involved in working out problems during the Savings and Loan /RTC days of over a decade ago.

Dear Stockwinners,

Hello. I have been a subscriber now for about 6 months on my renewed membership. My first membership with you was in 1999. At that time, I took $2,500 and turned it into $12,500 in 4 months with your help. I couldn't believe I had done so well so I took it out and purchased my first home with it. After a few years my overall financial plan is working and I'm back in the market again. I started out slow, just testing your daily picks a little. Well, I don't have the huge return that I got back in '99 but 60% in 5 months isn't too shabby. I've taken a few hits of course but your style of 10 percent up-and-out has worked wonders. Anyway, I simply wanted to let you know what a great service I think you provide. It has made me a more confident investor as I have eased into investing larger and larger sums.

I watch your site daily and have been tracking your picks and whether they went to target or not. I noticed that you had a performance record for your 2003 picks but I am curious to know if you have your overall performance from previous years. Is there I way I can get that information on your site?

A very satisfied customer,

Britt

Thank you for cancelling my membership. You have a good service and I hope to have use of it again in the future.

of the block trade, it is very helpful. You did so today at 14:54 by stating that the block trade of GS call options was worth $260 K.

Thanks,

Thank you for allowing me to preview your picks. I have recorded them and am currently paper trading them. This has been a difficult market to try to work, as you well know and good info. is the name of the game. I will track the results to see how well I managed your advice. I will then be able to make a profit/nonprofit decision.

Thanks again,

Dear Sir,

I think this is a good program you have, although I feel you could offer more in the way of editorial stories and content. I am interested in subscribing, only I want to pay for the whole quarter. If I pay by credit card will you notify me when it is time to renew or do you automatically renew? I would prefer to renew myself.

Please get back to me as soon as you can and I will purchase the quarterly subscription.

Thanks,

Mike

I keep going to the sites you mention but I cannot find the surveys. The only input I have is that I would like for you instead of saying the put call ration is- would you tell if that is a negative or positive indication

I enjoy your site

Thanks

I think you guys do such a splendid job, I can't think of a way you can improve. I know that's not much help - however - I'm a retired Series 7 broker and option specialist and whenever I have time to pick up a few bucks, I look to you and sure enough, the money is there for the taking. What more could anyone want.

Keep up the good work - and promise not to change unless for a guaranteed improvement. I truly believe in the saying - If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

Arline

hello i just wanted to take a minute and tell u that i think that the after hours posts u have started doing is a good change..getting information timely for active tradeing is a needed tool..thank you dan

Amazing! What I wanted but never asked for, after hours news, is now in active traders. This is great. If I could ask one thing it would be to have a grid that covers the prospective time frame. Sometimes I think I stay too long or quit too quickly. In particular with the options picks. I don't have enough money apparently for the broker to allow me options other than cruddy covered calls. If there was a rough time frame on the pick it would help in making certain judgements. Keep up the good work, thanks!
Steve