Shell paints a rosy picture

Shell annual organic free cash flow outlook increased to $25B-$30B by 2020

Shell annual organic free cash flow outlook increased to $25B-$30B by 2020

Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.a) CEO Ben van Beurden updated investors on the company’s strategy, setting out plans to grow returns and free cash flow, and outlining its ambition to reduce the net carbon footprint of its energy products.

Van Beurden highlighted three updates from his presentation:

“We have increased our outlook for organic free cash flow, which has been consistently strong over the past five quarters. We have also made significant progress with our divestment programme, allowing us to reduce net debt in that time.

Meanwhile, we intend to cancel our scrip dividend programme with effect from the fourth quarter 2017.”

The outlook for annual organic free cash flow has increased to $25 to $30 billion by 2020 at a Brent crude oil price of $60 per barrel (real terms 2016).

This is $5 billion more than the outlook Shell provided during its capital markets day in June 2016.

The delivery of new projects continues, and the company remains on track to deliver 1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, and $10 billion of cash flow from operations from new projects by 2018, at $60 per barrel, real terms 2016.

It expects to deliver an incremental $5 billion cash flow from operations by 2020. Annual capital investment will continue to be between $25 and $30 billion, and at current oil prices capital investment will be managed towards the bottom end of that range, or lower if needed.

Annual underlying operational expenditure will remain below $38 billion until 2020, with efficiency gains expected to deliver further reductions, building on the more than 20% reduction in operational expenditure since 2014. The company expects to continue to grow organic free cash flow throughout the 2020s at a more moderate rate.

Increased distributions to shareholders in the form of share buybacks in line with the plans confirmed below is expected to support a stronger growth in its metrics per share.

RDS-a closed at $61.85.


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Emerson drops proposal to buy Rockwell Automation

Emerson withdraws proposal to acquire Rockwell Automation for $225 per share

Rockwell receives $29B takeover offer. See Stockwinners.com for details
Rockwell receives $29B takeover offer. See Stockwinners.com for details

Emerson (EMR) announced that it has withdrawn its proposal to acquire Rockwell Automation (ROK) for $225 per share due to the Rockwell Board of Directors’ continued unwillingness to engage in discussions about a potential combination.

“The Rockwell Board again rejected our offer, which would have delivered approximately $30 billion of value to Rockwell shareholders,” said Emerson Chairman and CEO David Farr.

“We are disappointed that the Rockwell Board refused even to discuss the potential combination of our two great companies. Instead of engaging in constructive dialogue, the Rockwell Board decided to let this unique and value-generative opportunity go unexplored.

We remain confident in the strategic plans we have in place, and in Emerson’s ability to create a global automation leader with a technology portfolio to meet evolving customer needs across process, hybrid and discrete product lines.

Our Company is in a great position – we have successfully repositioned our portfolio over the last two years, and have market-leading platforms in Automation Solutions and Commercial & Residential Solutions, both of which are performing well and have very attractive growth outlooks. Our future is bright, and we remain focused on accelerating core growth through new market penetration, technology innovation and strategic bolt-on acquisitions. We are also committed to returning capital to shareholders through our strong and growing dividend and our share repurchase program. Management believes the Company’s shares are an attractive investment opportunity.

Accordingly, we plan to accelerate repurchases over the next month and buy back up to $1 billion over the next 12 months. We look forward to executing on this strategy to drive near- and long-term value creation for all Emerson stakeholders.”

EMR closed at $61.88. ROK closed at $191.04.


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Buffalo Wild Wings sold for $2.9 billion

Arby’s to acquire Buffalo Wild Wings for $157 per share in cash

Buffalo-Wild-Wings gets $2.3 billion offer. See Stockwinners.com for details
Buffalo-Wild-Wings sold for $2.9 billion offer.  

Arby’s Restaurant Group and Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) announced that the companies have entered into a definitive merger agreement under which ARG will acquire BWLD for $157 per share in cash, in a transaction valued at approximately $2.9B, including BWW’s net debt.

The agreement, which has been unanimously approved by both companies’ Boards of Directors, represents a premium of approximately 38% to BWW’s 30-day volume-weighted average stock price as of November 13, 2017, the latest trading day prior to news reports speculating about a potential transaction.

The transaction is not subject to a financing condition and is expected to close during the first quarter of 2018, subject to the approval of BWW shareholders and the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, including applicable regulatory approvals.

Following the close of the transaction, BWW will be a privately-held subsidiary of Arby’s Restaurant Group and will continue to be operated as an independent brand.

Paul Brown will serve as CEO of the parent company.

Arby’s is majority owned by affiliates of Roark Capital Group, an Atlanta based private equity firm that focuses on investing in franchised and multi-unit businesses in the restaurant, retail and other consumer sectors.

Affiliates of Roark are committing all of the equity that, together with the proceeds of debt financing, will be necessary to complete the transaction. Certain funds advised by Marcato Capital Management, LP, which own approximately 6.4% of the outstanding shares of BWW, have entered into an agreement to vote in favor of the transaction.

BWLD closed at $146.40.


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