Nvidia to buy Arm Holdings from Softbank
SoftBank will immediately receive $2 billion in cash for signing the deal. Then, it will receive another $10 billion in cash and $21.5 billion of stock in Nvidia at closing. That stake will be likely just a bit shy of 10% of the company.
In addition, SoftBank is slated to earn $5 billion in a mix of cash and stock as a performance-based earn-out. Conditions or timing for that earn-out were not disclosed.
Should Nvidia’s (NVDA) acquisition of SoftBank’s (SFTBY) ARM be allowed to proceed, it would create a “landscape-changing entity” that would combine two leading GPU and CPU architectures into a “single powerful ecosystem,” Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore tells investors in a research note.
However, it this point that is likely to create the pushback from competitors and customers, says the analyst. Seymore questions whether ARM licensees would support an Nvidia acquisition saying “there could be a myriad of conflict of interest issues” whereby Nvidia could have access to competitor strategies and technologies in a variety of Nvidia-targeted markets. Seymore keeps a Hold rating on Nvidia shares.
Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis raised the firm’s price target on Nvidia (NVDA) to $680 from $570 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company announced an agreement to acquire ARM Holdings, subject to regulatory approvals. He views the deal as one that is “transformative” as it should position Nvidia to capture 80% of the ecosystem value in the data center and also unify the compute ecosystem between the edge and data center, Lipacis tells investors. Assuming the deal with Softbank (SFTBY) goes through, he thinks the merged company has a five-year EPS power of $50, said Lipacis, who also raised his “bull-case” target on Nvidia shares to $1,000.
RBC Capital analyst Mitch Steves keeps his Outperform rating on Nvidia (NVDA) after the company confirmed its acquisition of ARM Holdings last night, saying the transaction would be a positive if it can close amid the likely regulatory challenges to its completion. Steves adds that if the transaction closes, it would also be a “notable negative” for Intel (INTC), stating that Nvidia’s research and development funding would compete against Intel’s currently dominant x86 market share.
Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson made no change to his Outperform rating or $525 price target for Nvidia (NVDA) after the company and SoftBank (SFTBY) finalized an agreement whereby Nvidia will purchase ARM Holdings. While Bryson views the deal terms and expected synergies as favorable for Nvidia, the analyst believes it most likely will never be consummated unless the U.S./China relationship dynamic shifts considerably.
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