Circor receives $1.7B takeover offer

Crane proposes to acquire Circor for $45.00 per share in cash

Crane proposes to acquire Circor for $45.00 per share in cash, Stockwinners

Crane Co. (CR) announced that it has submitted a proposal to the Board of Directors of CIRCOR International (CIR) to acquire CIRCOR for $45 per share in cash.

CIRCOR International, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets engineered products and sub-systems worldwide. It operates through three segments: Energy, Aerospace and Defense, and Industrial. 

The proposal represents a 47% premium over yesterday’s closing price and a 37% and 51% premium over a three- and six-month volume weighted average share price, respectively.

This reflects an enterprise value of approximately $1.7B at a multiple of approximately 13.5x the last 12-month adjusted EBITDA. Crane Co. proposed the all-cash transaction to CIRCOR’s President and CEO Scott Buckhout on April 30, the terms of which were confirmed by a letter to the CIRCOR Board of Directors.

On May 13, the CIRCOR Board summarily rejected Crane Co.’s proposal with no offer of discussions or due diligence.

“While we had hoped to complete a transaction privately, the Board’s rejection of our proposal without comment or discussion led to our decision to make our proposal known to CIRCOR shareholders so they can express their views directly to the CIRCOR Board,” said Max Mitchell, Crane Co. President and CEO.

“Our proposal provides CIRCOR shareholders with attractive value and certainty compared to the continued uncertainty surrounding CIRCOR’s plans to improve operating performance.

Based on CIRCOR’s history of underperformance and inability to meet its own financial targets, we believe CIRCOR’s standalone plan is unlikely to generate value comparable to what we are proposing.”

Mitchell continued, “We believe that this business, which has great brands and products, has been meaningfully undermanaged for years.

This has resulted in a persistent decline in CIRCOR’s share price, making it the worst performer of the peers in the S&P Midcap Capital Goods Index since the end of 2013.

Based upon the strength of our disciplined operating approach, Crane Co. is well positioned to integrate CIRCOR’s businesses into our focused portfolio, realize operational synergies, and deliver long-term value to Crane shareholders.

Combining CIRCOR’s Fluid Handling, Aerospace and Defense assets with Crane’s portfolio of leading brands would create a stronger competitor with additional scale and growth potential.”

CIR +13.49 to $44.15.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

ExxonMobil to increase its Permian Basin output

Exxon Mobil to increase Permian output to 1M barrels per day by 2024

ExxonMobil to increase its Permian Basin output, Stockwinners

ExxonMobil (XOM) said it has revised its Permian Basin growth plans to produce more than 1 million oil-equivalent barrels per day by as early as 2024 – an increase of nearly 80 percent and a significant acceleration of value.

https://stockwinners.com
ExxonMobil expects to make 10% return on its Permian Basin fields at $35 per barrel oil, Stockwinners

The size of the company’s resource base in the Permian is approximately 10 billion oil-equivalent barrels and is likely to grow further as analysis and development activities continue.

ExxonMobil’s investments in the Permian Basin are expected to produce double-digit returns, even at low oil prices.

At a $35 per barrel oil price, for example, Permian production will have an average return of more than 10 percent.

The anticipated increase in production will be supported by further evaluation of ExxonMobil’s Delaware Basin’s increased resource size, infrastructure development plans, and secured capacity to transport oil and gas to ExxonMobil’s Gulf Coast refineries and petrochemical operations through the Wink-to-Webster, Permian Highway and Double E pipelines.

Among the company’s key advantages in the Permian, is its acreage position.

The company has large, contiguous acreage that enables multi-well pads in large development corridors connecting to efficient gathering systems, reducing development costs and accelerating production growth.

ExxonMobil’s scale, financial capacity and technical capabilities enable the company to maximize the value of the resource. ExxonMobil is actively building infrastructure to support volume growth.

Plans include construction at 30 sites to enhance oil and gas processing, water handling and ensure takeaway capacity from the basin. Construction activities include central delivery facilities designed to handle up to 600,000 barrels of oil and 1 billion cubic feet of gas per day and enhanced water-handling capacity through 350 miles of already-constructed pipeline.

The investment plans will also bring great benefits to the local area. ExxonMobil’s expansion in the region will benefit communities in West Texas and southeast New Mexico through billions in property tax revenue, economic development and the creation of high-paying jobs.

ExxonMobil remains one of the most active operators in the Permian Basin and has 48 drilling rigs currently in operation and plans to increase its rig count to approximately 55 by the end of the year.

Increased use of technology, including enhanced subsurface characterization, subsurface modeling and advanced data analytics to support optimization and automation, will help the company reduce costs, improve its development plan and increase resource recovery.

Crude oil is up 5 cents to $56.64 per barrel. XOM last traded at $80.22.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 2 to 1,051 rigs

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners
The U.S. rig count rises to 1,051

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 2 rigs from last week to 1,051 rigs, with oil rigs up 3 to 857 and gas rigs down 1 to 194.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 76 rigs from last year’s count of 975, with oil rigs up 59 and gas rigs up 17.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 2 rigs to 21 and up 3 rigs year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 16 rigs from last week to 224, with oil rigs down 6 to 152 and gas rigs down 10 to 72.

The Canada Rig Count is down 94 rigs from last year’s count of 318, with oil rigs down 66 and gas rigs down 28.

USO is up 12 cents to $11.60.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

L3 Technologies and Harris to merge

Harris, L3 Technologies to combine in merger of equals

L3 Technologies and Harris to merge, Stockwinners
L3 Technologies and Harris to merge, Stockwinners

L3 Technologies and Harris to merge, Stockwinners
L3 Technologies and Harris to merge, Stockwinners

Harris Corporation (HRS) and L3 Technologies (LLL) have agreed to combine in an all stock merger of equals.

Under the terms of the merger agreement, which was unanimously approved by the boards of directors of both companies, L3 shareholders will receive a fixed exchange ratio of 1.30 shares of Harris common stock for each share of L3 common stock, consistent with the 60-trading day average exchange ratio of the two companies.

Upon completion of the merger, Harris shareholders will own approximately 54% and L3 shareholders will own approximately 46% of the combined company on a fully diluted basis.

The combined company, L3 Harris Technologies, will be the 6th largest defense company in the U.S. and a top 10 defense company globally, with approximately 48,000 employees and customers in over 100 countries.

For calendar year 2018, the combined company is expected to generate net revenue of approximately $16B, EBIT of $2.4B and free cash flow of $1.9B.

The combination is expected to generate approximately $500M of annual gross pre-tax cost synergies, or $300M net of savings returned to customers, in year 3.

The savings will come from reducing direct and indirect spend, rationalizing footprint, consolidating corporate and segment headquarters, establishing a common shared services platform for IT and finance and reducing other overhead costs.

The company is expected to invest approximately $450M cash to achieve the synergies over the next 3 years.

The combined company will target $3B in free cash flow by year 3, driven by organic growth, cost synergies, working capital improvements and capital expenditure efficiencies. L3 Harris Technologies will be well capitalized with a strong balance sheet and a leverage ratio of 2.2 times net debt to trailing twelve months EBITDA.

The combined company will remain committed to maintaining an investment grade credit rating and a dividend payout consistent with each company’s current practice and deploying excess cash toward share repurchases, including up to $2B in share repurchases in the 12 months post-closing.

L3 Harris Technologies will be headquartered in Melbourne, Florida.

The combined company’s Board of Directors will have 12 members, consisting of six directors from each company. William Brown will serve as chairman and CEO, and Christopher Kubasik will serve as vice chairman, president and COO for the first two years following the closing of the transaction. For the third year, Brown will transition to executive chairman and Kubasik to CEO, after which Kubasik will become chairman and CEO.

The merger is expected to close in mid-calendar year 2019, subject to satisfaction of customary closing conditions, including receipt of regulatory approvals and approval by the shareholders of each company.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is bullish on GM and Delta

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy

BULLISH   MENTIONS:

Delta, GM look cheap, with growth potential – While a solid start to earnings season helped push share prices higher earlier this week, some remain deeply discounted, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Despite Delta Air Lines’ (DAL) pessimistic valuation, consolidation has left only a handful of key players and the company faces less competition in key markets than some of its peers, the report adds. Additionally, Goodyear Tire (GT), General Motors (GM) and Lincoln National (LNC) also made the valuation cutoff, Hough says.

General Mills shares fall to ‘bargain territory.’  – General Mills (GIS) has fallen 27% so far this year and while the drop seems deserved because earnings growth has stalled, a closer look suggests sales trends are improving, thanks in part to new-product launches, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Cruise operators can offer ‘nice’ yields, solid dividend growth – Cruise operators, like Carnival (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), can offer nice yields and solid dividend growth, but economic downturns can pressure payouts, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Another option for investors looking for yield among cruise operators is Walt Disney (DIS), the report added. The entertainment company has a wide variety of holdings, and while its cruise business did not account for a large portion of its $55B of sales last year, it is not insignificant either.

Tech giants may make own custom chips to get edge on one another. – There has been a tension between the world’s largest tech companies- Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Baidu (BIDU), and Alibaba (BABA)-and the chip companies they rely on, especially Intel (INTC) and Nvidia (NVDA), Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While the giants buy massive quantities of Intel’s microprocessors, and Nvidia’s graphics chips, or GPUs, to power their data centers, they are also in an arms race to have the best artificial-intelligence-based machine-learning functions, the report noted, adding that there was always the possibility they may decide to buy fewer off-the-shelf parts and make their own custom chips to get an edge on one another.

 MPL valuations look cheap – Master limited partnerships’ valuations appear cheap, and U.S. energy production is thriving, lifting cash flows for pipeline firms, Darren Fonda writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. MLP, such as Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP), MPLX (MPLX), Plains All American Pipeline (PAA), could reward investors with higher yields as cash flows rise, Fonda adds.

OTHER MENTIONS

Trump’s tweets politicize U.S. markets, Barron’s says – With President Donald Trump, both politics and business appear personal as he continues his tweets aimed at individual companies, Vito Racanelli writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Before and after the election, he consistently aimed arrows at Amazon.com (AMZN) and at the proposed acquisition of Time Warner (TWX) by AT&T (T), the report noted. The President is not alone in singling out companies, Racanelli points out, adding that Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton also took issue with Mylan’s (MYL) price increases for its EpiPen. Maybe it is a sign of the times, but the rise of powerful social-media platforms is the key enabling factor, the report said.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Rig count continues to rise

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 995 rigs

https://stockwinners.com
Rig Counts Rise 

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 rigs from last week to 995, with oil rigs up 4 to 804, gas rigs up 1 to 190, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 186 rigs from last year’s count of 809, with oil rigs up 152, gas rigs up 35, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 13 rigs and down 5 rigs from last year’s count of 18.

The Canada Rig Count is down 58 rigs from last week to 161, with oil rigs down 51 to 93, gas rigs down 7 to 68, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

The Canada Rig Count is down 24 rigs from last year’s count of 185, with oil rigs up 23, gas rigs down 46, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 1.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility

KLA-Tencor to acquire Orbotech for $69.02 per share

KLA-Tencor to acquire Orbotech for $69.02 per share

KLA-Tencor to acquire Orbotech for $69.02 per share, Stockwinners.com
KLA-Tencor to acquire Orbotech for $69.02 per share

KLA-Tencor (KLAC) and Orbotech (ORBK) announced they have entered into a definitive agreement pursuant to which KLA-Tencor will acquire Orbotech for $38.86 in cash and 0.25 of a share of KLA-Tencor common stock in exchange for each ordinary share of Orbotech, implying a total consideration of approximately $69.02 per share.

The transaction values Orbotech at an equity value of approximately $3.4B and an enterprise value of $3.2B. In addition, KLA-Tencor announced a $2B share repurchase authorization. The share repurchase program is targeted to be completed within 12 to 18 months following the close of this transaction.

Total cost synergies are expected to be approximately $50M on an annualized basis within 12 to 24 months following the closing of the transaction, and the transaction is expected to be immediately accretive to KLA-Tencor’s revenue growth model, non-GAAP earnings and free cash flow per share.

The transaction has been approved by the Board of Directors of each company and is expected to close before the end of calendar year 2018, subject to approval by Orbotech’s shareholders, required regulatory approvals and the satisfaction of the other customary closing conditions.

No approval by KLA-Tencor stockholders is required. The transaction is not subject to any financing conditionality. KLA-Tencor intends to fund the cash portion of the purchase price with cash from the combined company’s balance sheet.
In addition, KLA-Tencor intends to raise approximately $1B in new long-term debt financing to complete the share repurchase.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

 

House Republicans sign letter expressing ‘deep concern’ over Trump tariffs

House Republicans sign letter expressing ‘deep concern’ over Trump tariffs

divided-gop over Trump tariff, Stockwinners
GOP divided over Trump tariffs,

Over 100 House Republicans have signed a letter to the White House expressing “deep concern” over potential tariffs on aluminum and steel imports.

divided-gop over Trump tariff, Stockwinners
GOP divided over Trump tariffs,

Representative Kevin Brady, a Republican from Texas and chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, wrote in the letter that, while the GOP lawmakers “support” President Trump’s “resolve to address distortions caused by China’s unfair practices,” they urge him to “reconsider the idea of broad tariffs to avoid unintended negative consequences to the U.S. economy and its workers.”

The letter says that “key elements” are required to minimize any negative consequences associated with the proposed tariffs, namely that any relief should be “narrow” and that a robust exclusion process should be announced at the outset that allows U.S. companies to petition for and promptly obtain duty-free access for imports that are unavailable from U.S. sources or otherwise present extenuating circumstances.

In addition, the lawmakers believe that existing contracts to purchase aluminum or steel should be “grandfathered to allow duty-free imports and avoid disrupting the operations and finances of projects that are already budgeted and underway.”

Lastly, the letter says that the effects of this remedy on the U.S. economy should be “reviewed and reconsidered” on a short-term basis to determine if another approach would be better. Publicly traded metal producers include U.S. Steel (X), Century Aluminum (CENX), Alcoa (AA), and AK Steel (AKS).


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s in bullish on Citi, bearish on GE

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy, stocks to watch

BULLISH   MENTIONS: 

Hovnanian (HOV) stock too cheap to ignore- Hovnanian Enterprises offers an interesting speculative bet, because more than a decade’s worth of problems are reflected in the price, Brett Arends writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. A successful resolution of its legal issues, a corporate turnaround, a takeover, or a continued recovery in the U.S. real estate market are all potential catalysts, he adds.

JPMorgan, Walmart cash flow yields exceed dividend yields – The cash flow yields of JPMorgan (JPM), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Walmart (WMT), Pfizer (PFE), Cisco (CSCO), AbbVie (ABBV), PepsiCo (PEP), 3M (MMM), Bristol-Myers (BMY), United Technologies (UTX), Texas Instruments (TXN) and Abbott Laboratories (ABT) exceed their dividend yields, a good signal for dividend coverage and growth, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Alphabet, Citi well positioned for later stages of market rally – It is time for investors to think about how and when bull markets end, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Groups to favor now include financials, which benefit from rising interest rates, and industrials, he notes, adding that technology still looks attractive. Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL), Lam Research (LRCX), Citigroup (C), and Cummins (CMI) are all well positioned for the later stages of a long market rally, Hough contends.

Bears, bulls battle over Under Armour – In a follow-up story, Barron’s says that Under Armour (UA) reported fourth quarter revenue that beat Wall Street’s estimate, but is difficult to tell whether the revenue upside represents a turning point for the business. Bulls and bears both found something to support their arguments, as revenue increased but gross margin declined while inventories swelled and store count rose 22%, the report notes.

BEARISH  MENTION:

General Electric stock could drop another 10% – General Electric (GE) lost $6B in 2017 after a series of charges and impairments, cut its dividend by 50%, and its accounting is under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission, but lately it has been attracting fresh attention from value-oriented investors, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Nonetheless, the stock is not a bargain and could drop another 10% or more, he contends


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is bullish on banks, bearish on Twitter and Snap

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy, stocks to watch

BULLISH   MENTIONS: 

Bigger bank payouts amid looser regulation – Helped by higher capital levels and more leeway from regulators, large-cap banks should be increasing dividends over the next several years, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Those include Bank of America (BAC), BB&T (BBT), Citigroup (C), Citizens Financial (CFG), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), PNC Financial (PNC), Regions Financial (RF), SunTrust (STI), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC), the report notes.

Delta, Apple among stocks merit a look – Shares of Delta (DAL), Apple (AAPL), Starbucks (SBUX), D.R. Horton (DHI), Verizon (VZ), American Electric Power (AEP) and NextEra Energy (NEE) have fallen but estimates for their earnings have risen, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. These names should be worth consideration by bargain hunters, he adds.

Wells Fargo looks inexpensive, regulatory risks remain– Shares of Wells Fargo (WFC) have badly trailed rivals as the bank grapples with the fallout from scandals, Ben Walsh write’s in this week’s edition of Barron’s. And while Wells Fargo looks inexpensive relative to some other big banks, regulatory risks remain and changing the bank’s aggressive culture will not be easy, the report adds.

Market volatility putting bitcoin to the test – Bitcoin started to rebound last week, but its usefulness as a hedge against stock market volatility has lately been called into questions, Avi Salzman writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While Bulls argue that short-term price action does not change the longer trend, bitcoin price drop has been fueled by the same problems that it has had for year, namely unreliable exchanges and worries about manipulation and fraud, the report notes. If bitcoin is to survive as an alternate currency, the hype will have to fade and it will have to become useful, Salzman adds

BEARISH  MENTIONS

Twitter/Snap ‘hot for now,’ may not last – Results from Twitter (TWTR) and Snap (SNAP) beat expectations last week and both notched double-digit percentage gains, but this cannot last, with the thrill likely to fade in coming weeks, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Twitter and Snap have years ahead of them to develop their product and innovate in ways that may give them a broader appeal, but for now they are boutiques in an advertising market of giants that includes not only Facebook (FB) but Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN), Ray adds.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

International rig counts rise

Baker Hughes reports January international rig count up by 6 to 960 rigs

https://stockwinners.com
Rig Counts Rise

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reported international rig count for January 2018 was 960, up 6 from the 954 counted in December 2017, and up 27 from the 933 counted in January 2017.

The international offshore rig count for January 2018 was 196, up 5 from the 191 counted in December 2017, and down 10 from the 206 counted in January 2017.

The average US rig count for January 2018 was 937, up 7 from the 930 counted in December 2017, and up 254 from the 683 counted in January 2017.

The average Canadian rig count for January 2018 was 278, up 73 from the 205 counted in December 2017, and down 24 from the 302 counted in January 2017.

The worldwide rig count for January 2018 was 2,175, up 86 from the 2,089 counted in December 2017, and up 257 from the 1,918 counted in January 2017.

WTI crude is down 33 cents to $63.06 pr barrel.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Changes to S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600 indices

Changes to S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600 indices

Stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings
Changes to S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600 indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices will make the following changes to the S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600:

S&P SmallCap 600 constituent Boyd Gaming (BYD) will replace CalAtlantic Group (CAA) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Ring Energy (REI) will replace Boyd Gaming in the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the open of trading on Tuesday, February 13.

S&P 500 constituent Lennar (LEN) is acquiring CalAtlantic Group in a deal expected to be completed on or about February 12 pending final approvals.

James River Group Holdings (JRVR) will replace Barracuda Networks (CUDA) in the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the open of trading on Monday, February 12.

Thoma Bravo is acquiring Barracuda Networks in a deal expected to be completed on or about that date pending final conditions.

EVERTEC (EVTC) will replace Sucampo Pharmaceuticals (SCMP) in the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the open of trading on Wednesday, February 14.

S&P 500 constituent Mallinckrodt (MNK) is acquiring Sucampo Pharmaceuticals in a deal expected to be completed on or about that date pending final conditions.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is bullish on Danaher and GM

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:  

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy, stocks to watch

BULLISH   MENTIONS:

Danaher among more reliable stocks– Danaher’s (DHR) results were met with cries of sell even though they were stellar as ever, sending the shares into negative territory on Monday, Ben Levisohn writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Fast-forward to Friday, the stock market was in freefall but the stock weathered the blast, he notes, adding that there is something to be said for Danaher’s consistency. While it will never be the fastest grower, it has grown sales at 4%-5%, quarter after quarter, while cutting costs and improving efficiency to grow earnings, making it one of the more reliable stocks out there, the report says.

General Motors shares could rise more than 35% – General Motors (GM) has been turning in strong profits, which have helped it fund research into autonomous and electric cars, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. When Tesla’s (TSLA) stock-market value surpassed General Motors last year, it was big news, but recently the latter has edged back into the top spot, he adds. Selling at just seven times forward earnings, General Motors shares have room to rise more than 35% in the year ahead, Hough contends.

Cisco, Oracle among stocks with rising dividend estimates – Some of the large-cap companies whose dividend estimates for their current fiscal year have increased by at least 2% since July include Cisco (CSCO), Texas Instruments (TXN), UnitedHealth (UNH), Oracle (ORCL), Comcast (CMCSA), 3M (MMM), AbbVie (ABBV), Boeing (BA), Union Pacific (UNP), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan (JPM), Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

TD Ameritrade adding round-the-clock trading – TD Ameritrade  (AMTD) is offering customers more social media capabilities and has added round-the-clock trading in 12 exchange-traded funds, from Sunday evening through Friday evening using its thinkorswim trading platform or TD Ameritrade Mobile Trader app, Theresa Carey writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Apple, Facebook facing challenges, shares still holding up well – Considering the challenges they face, both Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB) shares held up well, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Apple offered a forecast for its March quarter that missed expectations, and Wall Street now thinks that the company is reaching a bit too far in pricing the iPhone X at $999-$1150, he notes. Nonetheless, Apple is still an empire very much in control of its destiny, Ray contends. Meanwhile, Facebook said people are spending less time than before on the site, but Mark Zuckerberg calmly assured the Street that he thinks it is a good thing, the report points out.

Cisco, Salesforce among most sustainable companies – Cisco (CSCO) tops Barron’s first annual list of most sustainable companies, followed by Salesforce (CRM), Best Buy (BBY), Intuit (INTU), HP Inc. (HPQ), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microsoft (MSFT), Oshkosh (OSK), Clorox (CLX) and Xylem (XYL).

Spirit Air offers plenty of potential upside – Following a steep decline, shares of Spirit Airlines (SAVE) now trade for less than 12 times forward earnings estimates, a good value or growth play, Brett Arends writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Long-term investors may need to be patient because short-term headwinds pop up so frequently for airline stocks, but in return for its risks, Spirit offers reasonable valuations and plenty of potential upside, he argues

BEARISH  MENTIONS:

Musk new compensation package sets wrong targets – Tesla’s  (TSLA) new 10-year compensation package, which considers that Elon Musk could grow the company’s market capitalization from the current $58B to $650B in 2028, is not shareholder-friendly as it emphasizes market cap goals, not sustainable profits, Vito Racanelli writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Boeing reports tomorrow

What to watch in Boeing’s earnings report 

stockwinners.com/blog
Boeing reports tomorrow

Boeing (BA) is scheduled to report results of its fiscal fourth quarter before the market opens on Wednesday, January 30, with a conference call scheduled for 10:30 am ET.

What to watch for:

1. GUIDANCE:

When Boeing reported its fiscal third quarter results on October 25, 2017, the company increased its fiscal 2017 adjusted earnings per share view to $9.90-$10.10 from $9.80-$10.00, against consensus estimates of $10.04 at that time, and reaffirmed its FY17 revenue expectations of $90.5B-$92.5B, against analyst estimates of $92.15B.

Current consensus estimates sit at $10.21 and $92.55B, respectively. The company also backed its FY17 commercial airplane deliveries view of 760-765.

2. CAPITAL RETURNS:

On December 11, 2017, Boeing announced a new $18B share repurchase program and a 20% increase to its quarterly dividend. The board declared the dividend will increase 20% to $1.71 per share.

The board also replaced the existing share repurchase program with a new $18B authorization. The new dividend will be payable March 2, 2018, to shareholders of record as of February 9, 2018.

Stockwinners offers winning stock research since 1998
Defense spending increase should help Boeing

The company this year has repurchased $9.2B worth of its shares from the $14B authorization approved in December 2016. The new repurchase program replaces the existing one, bringing the total authorization to $18B.

3. ANTI-DUMPING:

On December 20, 2017, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross announced the affirmative final determinations in the antidumping duty and countervailing duty investigations of 100-seat to 150-seat large civil aircraft from Canada.

“This decision is based on a full and unbiased review of the facts in an open and transparent process.” said Secretary Ross.

“The United States is committed to a free, fair, and reciprocal trade and will always stand up for American workers and companies being harmed by unfair imports.”

Commerce determined that exporters from Canada sold 100- to 150-seat large civil aircraft in the United States at 79.82% less than fair value.

Commerce also determined that Canada is providing unfair subsidies to its producers of 100- to 150-seat large civil aircraft at a rate of 212.39%. Commerce will instruct U.S. Customs and Border Protection to collect cash deposits from importers of 100- to 150-seat large civil aircraft based on the final rates.

Bombardier (BDRBF), the Government of Canada, and Petitioners agreed that the proposed transaction between Bombardier and Airbus (EADSY) does not impact these investigations.

4. EMBRAER

Boeing confirmed takeover talks with Embraer (ERJ) during the quarter. The Brazilian government, which owns a golden share in Embraer, represents a potential hurdle in the deal.

Investors should look for more guidance on this topic when Boeing reports. BA last traded at $337.10.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

United to increase capacity by 5 percent

United’s plan to increase capacity drags down airline stocks 

United plan to increase capacity by 5%. Stockwinners.com
United plan to increase capacity by 5%.

Shares of United Continental (UAL) are sliding after the company said in its earnings conference call that it plans to grow capacity by 4%-6% in 2018, likely threatening its profit margin.

This comes as United looks for a competitive edge in its fight against low-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines (LUV) and JetBlue (JBLU).

This morning, Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth downgraded United to a neutral-equivalent rating.

RESULTS, OUTLOOK

Last night, United Continental reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.40 and revenue of $9.4B, with consensus at $1.34 and $9.42B, respectively.

The company also said Q4 2017 consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile was up 0.2% compared to Q4 2016.

Additionally, the carrier noted it sees 2018 capacity growth of 4%-6%, and a similar growth rate in 2019 and 2020.

United expects 2018 EPS to be $6.50-$8.50 and sees 2018 capital expenditures of $3.6B-$3.8B.

CAPACITY CONCERNS

In a research note to investors this morning, Evercore ISI’s #Pfennigwerth downgraded United Continental to In Line from Outperform, with a $75 price target, following its quarterly report.

The analyst noted that while United’s belief appears as high as ever in the view that restoring domestic share in its hubs is the shortest path to margin expansion, the “biggest missing ingredient” from its presentation was any evidence that the strategy is working.

The company’s higher growth pitch likely plays well with labor ahead of another round of contract negotiations in 2019 but limits broader participation from longer term investors seeking confidence at this point in the cycle, he contended.

Furthermore, the analyst argued that growth acceleration following poor pricing execution in 2017 and in the face of a significantly higher fuel curve is “surprising.”

Meanwhile, his peer at Stephens also voiced concern over the company’s capacity growth plans. While analyst Jack #Atkins acknowledged that he was encouraged that United issued both 2018 and long-term EPS guidance, he believes its plan to grow its system capacity by 4%-6% for each of the next three years is “concerning” as it implies about 6%-8% growth in the domestic market.

This level of capacity growth risks muting unit revenue growth in the market as well as potentially sparking a competitive response from one of United’s network peers, Atkins added.

The analyst told investors he expects the group to come under pressure as investors work to determine who has the most exposure to its incremental capacity growth and what it means for domestic revenue trends for the industry. He reiterated and Equal Weight rating and $78 price target on United Continental shares.

REMAINS TOP PICK

In a note of his own, UBS analyst Darryl #Genovesi told investors he expects estimates for United Continental to move higher over the next few days and that he came away from the company’s guidance meeting more positive on the fundamental go-forward strategy.

The analyst pointed out that he believes the capacity concerns will likely get swept under the rug if industry RASM continues to be strong. Genovesi reiterated a Buy rating and $90 price target on United shares.

PRICE ACTION

UAL is down 10.5% to $69.80.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.