Datawatch sold for $176 million

Altair to acquire Datawatch for $13.10 per share

Datawatch sold for $176 million, Stockwinners
Datawatch sold for $176 million, Stockwinners

Altair (ALTR) and Datawatch (DWCH) announced the signing of a definitive merger agreement under which Altair has agreed to acquire Datawatch. Under the terms of the agreement, Altair will pay $13.10 per share in cash, representing a fully diluted equity value of approximately $176M.

The transaction was unanimously approved by the boards of both companies.

Under the terms of the definitive merger agreement, Altair will commence a tender offer within ten business days to acquire all of the outstanding shares of common stock of Datawatch for $13.10 per share in cash.

This represents a 35% percent premium to the closing price of Datawatch’s common stock on November 2.

The tender offer is subject to customary closing conditions, including the tender of at least a majority of the outstanding shares of Datawatch common stock and the expiration or early termination of the applicable waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976.

Following the closing of the tender offer, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Altair will merge with and into Datawatch, with each share of Datawatch common stock that has not been tendered being converted into the right to receive the same $13.10 per share in cash offered in the tender offer.

The transaction is anticipated to close in Q4.

Datawatch Corporation designs, develops, markets, and distributes business computer software products to self-service data preparation and visual data discovery markets in the United States and internationally.

Altair Engineering Inc. provides enterprise-class engineering software worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Software and Client Engineering Services. Its integrated suite of multi-disciplinary computer aided engineering software optimizes design performance across various disciplines, including structures, motion, fluids, thermal management, electromagnetics, system modeling and embedded systems, as well as provides data analytics and true-to-life visualization and rendering.


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Tesla jumps on results, upgrades

Tesla rises as analysts digest first profit in two years

Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics' Car of the Year
Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics’ Car of the Year

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are on the rise after the company reported third quarter results, with a net profit of $312M, the electric-vehicle maker’s largest ever.

Tesla also said deliveries of its Model 3 grew to 56,000, adding that it “was the best-selling car in the U.S. in terms of revenue and the 5th best-selling car in terms of volume.”

Following the announcement, Wolfe Research analyst Dan Galves upgraded Tesla to Outperform, while several other firms raised their targets on the stock. Nonetheless, some Wall Street analysts remain bearish on Tesla, telling investors to “not get used to [this quarter’s profitability.]”

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Tesla jumps on results, upgrades – See Stockwinners Market Radar

RESULTS

Last night, Tesla reported third quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.90 and revenue of $6.82B, both above consensus of (19c) and $6.3B, respectively.

The company said that, “Model 3 quarterly production and deliveries should continue to increase in the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter.

Our target of delivering 100,000 Model S and X vehicles this year remains unchanged.

We expect gross margin for Model 3 to remain stable in the fourth quarter as manufacturing efficiencies and fixed cost absorption offset a slightly lower trim mix and the negative impact of tariffs from Chinese sourced components.

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Stockwinners.com,Tesla jumps on results, upgrades

For all three vehicles, additional tariffs in the fourth quarter on parts sourced from China will impact our gross profit negatively by roughly $50M […] The third quarter of 2018 was a truly historic quarter for Tesla.

Model 3 was the best-selling car in the U.S. in terms of revenue and the 5th best-selling car in terms of volume.

With average weekly Model 3 production through the quarter, excluding planned shutdowns, of roughly 4,300 units per week, we achieved GAAP net income of $312M.”

WOLFE RESEARCH SAYS BUY TESLA

In a post-earnings research note, Wolfe Research’s Galves upgraded Tesla to Outperform from Peer Perform, with a $410 price target.

Saying that “Tesla became a real company,” the analyst argued that third quarter non-GAAP earnings of $2.90 and free cash flow of $881M are proof that Tesla’s earnings power is likely to outperform traditional automakers.

Management’s focus on cost and capital efficiency boosted Galves’ confidence that priorities have changed from unit growth at all cost to profitable growth and self-funding.

Further, the analyst argued that demand and margin outlook appear “very positive” and the fact that 50% of trade-ins on the Model 3 are non-luxury vehicles indicates the buyer base is likely bigger than expected.

Also bullish on the stock, Piper Jaffray analyst Alexander Potter raised his price target for Tesla to $396 from $389 as he believes the company reported a “milestone quarter,” with margins, earnings, and cash flow easily beating expectations.

While there is a still a lot of “hair” on the company, bears will struggle to poke holes in the results, Potter contended, adding that Tesla appears increasingly likely to achieve financial self-sufficiency.

The analyst reiterated an Overweight rating on Tesla shares. Oppenheimer, JMP Securities, and RBC Capital also raised their price targets on the stock.

‘DON’T GET USED TO IT’

Still bearish on Tesla shares, UBS analyst Colin Langan reiterated a Sell rating on the stock in a research note titled “Profitability at last, just don’t get used to it.”

The analyst continues to expect Model 3 average selling prices to decline into fourth quarter and 2019 as Tesla begins delivering the new $46,000 mid-range model.

Voicing a similar opinion, Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill told investors that while Tesla posted its first quarterly profit and positive free cash flow in over two years thanks to higher-margin Model 3 sales, he remains concerned over margin in the first half of 2019 given an “unfavorable mix shift of Model 3s, decline in ZEV sales, service margins stay in -35%-40% and pricing pressure on Model S/X.” Gill also questions the speed and profitability of Tesla’s production of a $45K car, “not to mention the $35K version”, in order to match its backlog of orders.

The analyst reiterated an Underperform rating on the shares.

PRICE ACTION

In Thursday’s trading, shares of Tesla have gained about 5% to $302.46.


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Musk’s tweet sends Tesla shares lower

Tesla slides after Elon Musk mocks SEC on Twitter

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Musk’s tweet sends Tesla shares lower

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) dropped in Friday’s trading after Elon Musk, the company’s CEO, mocked the Securities and Exchange Commission in a tweet, calling the agency the “Shortseller Enrichment Commission.”

Last weekend Musk reached an agreement with the SEC to settle fraud charges, and that charge is currently pending approval from a federal judge.

MUSK MOCKS SEC

On Thursday, Musk tweeted, in apparent reference to the SEC, “Just want to [sic] that the Shortseller Enrichment Commission is doing incredible work. And the name change is so on point!”

Musk’s tweet came just hours after Musk and the SEC were told by U.S. District Court Judge Alison Nathan, who must approve the deal, to explain why the settlement is “fair and reasonable” by October 11, Bloomberg reported.

Separately, Musk took aim at BlackRock (BLK) and other large fund managers for fueling short sellers.

Musk alleged in a tweet that BlackRock and other firms pocket “excessive profit from short lending while pretending to charge low rates for ‘passive’ index tracking.”

SEC SETTLEMENT

This past weekend, the SEC announced that Musk agreed to settle the securities fraud charge brought against him last week.

The settlement requires that Musk will step down as Tesla’s chairman and will be ineligible to be re-elected chairman for three years.

Additionally, Tesla will appoint two new independent directors to its board and both the CEO and company will each pay $20M penalties to settle allegations that Musk misled investors in August by tweeting that he was considering taking Tesla private and had secured funding for the effort.

According to the SEC’s complaint, Musk’s misleading tweets caused Tesla’s stock price to jump by over 6% on August 7, and led to “significant market disruption.”

Additionally, the SEC is requiring that Musk get approval from the company’s lawyer before tweeting anymore company news, which reports had said could clamp down on Musk’s “headline-grabbing, unpredictable approach to promoting Tesla’s brand.”

Recode’s Teddy Schleifer reported via Twitter after the “Shortseller Enrichment Commission” tweet that the SEC agreement on Musk’s tweets “does not take effect for 90 days from the settlement date, per source. So he still has ~80 days to tweet whatever he wants.”

The SEC declined to comment on Musk’s tweet, Schleifer said.

Additionally, Fox Business Network’s Charlie Gasparino also tweeted, saying that the “@SEC_Enforcement continues to investigate @Tesla over possible misstatements on production/profitability targets-sources focus is on stated targets for Model 3/co profitability.

SEC sources say case is tougher case than @elonmusk ‘funding secured’ tweet.”

PRICE ACTION

In Friday morning trading, shares of Tesla are down 4.2% to $270.17.


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Toyota enters self-driving car services

Toyota, SoftBank agree to form JV for self-driving car services

Toyota enters self-driving car services, Stockwinners
Toyota enters self-driving car services, Stockwinners

Shares of Toyota (TM) are in focus on Thursday after the company announced plans to team up with SoftBank (SFTBF) to develop self-driving car services.

The news follows an announcement from General Motors (GM) on Wednesday that Honda (HMC) will invest $2.75B and take a 5.7% stake in its Cruise self-driving vehicle unit, in which SoftBank is also an investor.

TOYOTA, SOFTBANK TO FORM JV

Toyota announced in a statement that it and SoftBank will form a joint venture called MONET, short for mobility network, to develop businesses that will use driverless-car technology to offer new services, such as mobile convenience stores and delivery vehicles in which food is prepared en route.

MONET will provide coordination between Toyota’s Mobility Services Platform, Toyota’s information infrastructure for connected vehicles, and SoftBank’s Internet of Things Platform, which was built to create new value from the collection and analysis of data acquired from smartphones and sensor devices, the companies said.

MONET will roll out an autonomous driving service using e-Palette, Toyota’s dedicated battery electric vehicle for mobility services, by the second half of the 2020s, Toyota and SoftBank added.

The venture will have initial capital of Y2B, and SoftBank will own just over half of the business, which will initially focus on Japan and eventually go global, according to a Reuters report.

Junichi Miyakawa, chief technology officer at SoftBank who will be CEO of the new company, commented that “SoftBank alone and automakers alone can’t do everything… We want to work to help people with limited access to transportation.”

WHAT’S NOTABLE

Earlier this year, Toyota set up a new company dedicated to the research and development of self-driving vehicles, with plans to invest $2.8 billion to develop a commercially viable autonomous car.

RECENT PARTNERSHIPS IN AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES

On Wednesday, Cruise and GM announced that they partnered with Honda to work towards large-scale deployment of autonomous vehicle technology.

Honda will work jointly with Cruise and General Motors to fund and develop a purpose-built autonomous vehicle for Cruise that can serve a wide variety of use cases and be manufactured at high volume for global deployment.

Honda will contribute approximately $2B over 12 years to these initiatives, which, together with a $750M equity investment in Cruise, brings its total commitment to the project to $2.75B.

SoftBank’s Vision Fund committed $2.3B to Cruise earlier this year.

Additionally, Renault (RNSDF)-Nissan (NSANY) and Daimler (DDAIF) are considering expanding their collaboration to battery and autonomous vehicle technology as well as mobility services, Reuters reported on Wednesday, citing comments made by the CEOs of both companies.

“The industry being in transformation in the area of connectivity, autonomous cars and connected services, there are plenty of areas of cooperation for our entities,” Renault Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn said.


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GE fires CEO, Shares rise

GE shares jump after CEO Flannery ousted amid Power unit challenges

GE introduces new company AiRXOS, Stockwinners
GE fires CEO, Shares rise

Shares of GE (GE) are rising in pre-market trading after the shrinking conglomerate announced that H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. has been named Chairman and CEO, replacing John Flannery, effective immediately.

POWER WRITE-OFF

The company stated that while its businesses other than Power are “generally performing consistently with previous guidance,” the company will fall short of previously indicated guidance for free cash flow and EPS for 2018 due to weaker performance in the GE Power business.

GE expects to take a non-cash goodwill impairment charge related to the GE Power business that will likely be as much as the approximately $23B current goodwill balance for the business, GE added.

GE previously forecast FY18 EPS at the low end of its $1.00-$1.07 range. The current EPS consensus is 95c.

RECENT ANALYST CONCERNS

In a recent note to investors, RBC Capital analyst Deane Dray lowered his price target on GE shares to $13 from $15, stating that the company had yet to reach a point where bad news does not make the stock decline and arguing that the bottom had not yet been reached.

Last month, JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa lowered his price target for General Electric to $10 from $11 and kept an Underweight rating on the shares.

The analyst’s channel checks, which were confirmed by GE Power’s CEO, GE investor relations, suggested GE had experienced a failure in a first stage blade on an H-frame in one of its two initial marquee installations in the U.S., Colorado Bend. Further, Tusa said the problem was material enough for Exelon (EXC) to have shut the plant down, along with the “award winning” Wolf Hollow plant for precautionary measures.

There should no longer be any doubt that GE Power has company-specific issues, Tusa contended at the time, stating that his new price target assumed weaker results at GE Power and some franchise value impact.

PRICE ACTION

In Monday’s pre-market trading, GE shares are up $1.53, or 13.5%, to $12.82.


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Tesla’s going private is questioned by analysts

Tesla consolidates as analysts debate if Musk should take carmaker private

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) jumped yesterday after CEO Elon Musk said he would like to see the company go private, but have since stepped into negative territory as analysts debate the idea.

 

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Tesla’s going private is questioned by analysts, Stockwinners
While Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois believes going private “feels like the right thing to do,” his peer at Morgan Stanley questions the feasibility of Musk actually being able to achieve that goal.

TAKING TESLA PRIVATE

Yesterday, Tesla CEO Elon Musk tweeted that he is considering taking the electric carmaker private.

 

In an email to the company’s employees, the executive explained: “Earlier today, I announced that I’m considering taking Tesla private at a price of $420/share. […] As a public company, we are subject to wild swings in our stock price that can be a major distraction for everyone working at Tesla, all of whom are shareholders. Being public also subjects us to the quarterly earnings cycle that puts enormous pressure on Tesla to make decisions that may be right for a given quarter, but not necessarily right for the long-term. Finally, as the most shorted stock in the history of the stock market, being public means that there are large numbers of people who have the incentive to attack the company.”
Tesla gets a boost from Bud. See Stockwinners.com
Tesla’s going private is questioned by analysts

Meanwhile, members of Tesla’s board said on Wednesday that they have “met several times over the last week” and are “taking the appropriate next steps to evaluate” Musk’s desire to take the company private. Their talks with Musk, which started last week, included “discussions as to how being private could better serve Tesla’s long-term interests, and also addressed the funding for this to occur,” the board members stated in a press release.

‘RIGHT THING TO DO’:

Commenting on the news, Jefferies’ Houchois told investors in a research note that the move “feels right” even if Musk is downplaying how supportive public markets have been. With Tesla unable to take on more debt, the analyst wonders who may fund the potential deal and end up as a new large shareholder. While the second quarter de-stressed the near-term outlook, Houchois pointed out that Tesla did not reassure about sustained demand for Model 3 at high prices and that profitability can support organic funding of investments in future products and manufacturing capacity.

He continues to think Tesla will need additional capital to fund these or risk being caught with a narrow and ageing product range within 2 years. Noting that his discounted cash flow fair value points to $300 per share, the analyst raised his price target on the stock to $360 from $250, “bridging the gap” to the $420 potential going private bid. The analyst reiterated a Hold rating on Tesla.

BUT WILL IT BE FEASIBLE?:

While Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas sympathizes with Elon Musk’s argument that Tesla could be better off as a private company, he questions the feasibility of the CEO actually being able to achieve that goal.
Taking the company private would assume either that the company is on the verge of generating self-sustaining cash flows or that it can tap into a range of strategic sources of capital not previously at its disposal, said Jonas, who sees strategic value at Tesla, but thinks the “LBO math required to support [a price of] $420 is extremely aggressive.”
Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics' Car of the Year
Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics’ Car of the Year
The benefits of being private are outweighed by the risks of added financial leverage, which could be even more strategically limiting, added Jonas, who reiterated an Equal Weight rating and a $291 price target on Tesla shares.
Meanwhile, his peer at JPMorgan raised his price target for Tesla to $308 from $195 to reflect the possibility of the company going private. However, analyst Ryan Brinkman told investors that he still believes that Tesla’s valuation based on fundamentals alone “is worth no more than $195” per share.
The analyst added that he is not as certain as CEO Elon Musk on Tesla going private, and assigns only a 50% probability to such a scenario, while reiterating an Underweight rating on the shares.

PRICE ACTION:

In Wednesday afternoon trading, shares of Tesla have dropped 1.6% to $373.63.


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Amazon.com launches new delivery business

Amazon.com launches new offering to help entrepreneurs start delivery businesses

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Amazon.com launches new delivery business

Amazon (AMZN) announced the launch of a new offering that helps entrepreneurs build their own companies delivering Amazon packages.

Amazon will take an active role in helping interested entrepreneurs start, set up and manage their own delivery business.

Successful owners can earn as much as $300,000 in annual profit operating a fleet of up to 40 delivery vehicles.

Individual owners can build their business knowing they will have delivery volume from Amazon, access to the company’s sophisticated delivery technology, hands-on training, and discounts on a suite of assets and services, including vehicle leases and comprehensive insurance.

Over time, Amazon will empower hundreds of new, small business owners to hire tens of thousands of delivery drivers across the U.S., joining a robust existing community of traditional carriers, as well as small-and-medium-sized businesses that already employ thousands of drivers delivering Amazon packages.

The offering provides technology and operational support to individuals with little to no logistics experience the opportunity to run their own delivery business.

To help keep startup costs as low as $10,000, entrepreneurs will also have access to a variety of exclusively negotiated discounts on important resources they’ll need to operate a delivery business.

The deals are available on Amazon-branded vehicles customized for delivery, branded uniforms, fuel, comprehensive insurance coverage, and more.

Amazon is constantly looking for hands-on leaders who think big and deliver results for our customers. These principles are very familiar to those who have served our country in the armed forces.

The company is committing $1M towards funding startup costs for military veterans, offering $10,000 reimbursements for qualified candidates to build their own businesses.

AMZN closed at $1,660.51.


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Tariffs kill jobs

European Union raises tariffs on Harley-Davidson to 31% from 6%

Harley-Davidson to move productions overseas to avoid tariffs

Harley-Davidson moves some productions out of U.S., Stockwinners
Harley-Davidson moves some productions out of U.S., Stockwinners

The European Union has enacted tariffs on various U.S.-manufactured products, including Harley-Davidson motorcycles (HOG).

These tariffs, which became effective June 22, 2018, were imposed in response to the tariffs the U.S. imposed on steel and aluminum exported from the EU to the U.S. Consequently, EU tariffs on Harley-Davidson motorcycles exported from the U.S. have increased from 6% to 31%.

Harley-Davidson expects these tariffs will result in an incremental cost of approximately $2,200 per average motorcycle exported from the U.S. to the EU.

Harley-Davidson believes the tremendous cost increase, if passed onto its dealers and retail customers, would have an immediate and lasting detrimental impact to its business in the region, reducing customer access to Harley-Davidson products and negatively impacting the sustainability of its dealers’ businesses.

Therefore, Harley-Davidson will not raise its manufacturer’s suggested retail prices or wholesale prices to its dealers to cover the costs of the retaliatory tariffs. In the near-term, the company will bear the significant impact resulting from these tariffs, and the company estimates the incremental cost for the remainder of 2018 to be approximately $30M-$45M.

On a full-year basis, the company estimates the aggregate annual impact due to the EU tariffs to be approximately $90M-$100M.

To address the substantial cost of this tariff burden long-term, Harley-Davidson will be implementing a plan to shift production of motorcycles for EU destinations from the U.S. to its international facilities to avoid the tariff burden. Harley-Davidson expects ramping-up production in international plants will require incremental investment and could take at least 9 to 18 months to be fully complete.

Harley-Davidson maintains a strong commitment to U.S.-based manufacturing which is valued by riders globally.

Increasing international production to alleviate the EU tariff burden is not the company’s preference, but represents the only sustainable option to make its motorcycles accessible to customers in the EU and maintain a viable business in Europe. Europe is a critical market for Harley-Davidson.

In 2017, nearly 40,000 riders bought new Harley-Davidson motorcycles in Europe, and the revenue generated from the EU countries is second only to the U.S.

Harley didn’t specify which international plants will boost output for EU markets. The company operates manufacturing facilities in Brazil, India and Australia, and is beginning production in Thailand this year.

HOG closed at $44.21, it last traded at $42.50.


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GE creates new company to develop unmanned traffic management

GE creates  AiRXOS to develop unmanned traffic management 

GE introduces new company AiRXOS, Stockwinners
GE introduces new company AiRXOS

GE (GE) introduced AiRXOS a new company helping to accelerate the safe, efficient, scalable integration of air and ground space for manned and unmanned vehicles.

AiRXOS helps government agencies, regional aviation authorities and private sector operators manage and meet the increasing demand for sophisticated and safe Unmanned Aircraft Systems operations. AiRXOS is a wholly-owned subsidiary of GE.

The Department of Transportation recently announced the UAS IPP to help government agencies, municipalities, regional aviation authorities and private sector operators manage and meet the increasing demand for sophisticated and safe UAS operations.

Of the ten pilot programs, AiRXOS was selected as a partner for three: The City of San Diego, the City of Memphis, and the Choctaw Nation of Oklahoma. AiRXOS will work with these program partners in safely demonstrating capabilities such as operations over urban settings, night operations, beyond visual line of sight, as well as developing overall UTM systems.

Drive Ohio’s UAS Center announced an investment of $5.9M for UTM research that will include both air and ground vehicles and will complement Drive Ohio’s current efforts for autonomous and connected vehicle testing along the U.S. 33 Smart Mobility Corridor. AiRXOS has been selected as a partner, along with Gryphon Sensors, CAL Analytics, and Ohio State University’s College of Engineering to implement a UTM solution for the U.S. 33 Smart Mobility Corridor. AiRXOS has also formed a collaboration with NUAIR Alliance for an unmanned testing and rating initiative that will combine NUAIR’s new National Unmanned Systems Testing and Rating capability with AiRXOS’ Autonomous Service Platform.

While NUSTAR will objectively measure UAS performance and test systems against industry consensus standards, AiRXOS will automate the processes used by commercial operators, pilots, organizations, and drone manufacturers to engage in commercial flight operations.

To support this effort, AiRXOS plans to open an office in the Syracuse, New York Tech Garden offices. To keep pace with innovation, NASA’s Technical Capability Level testing and the expansion of the Low Altitude Authorization and Notification Capability service program continue to move the industry forward.

AiRXOS is a TCL partner and has recently applied for a LAANC application in support of bringing a broad range of UAS operations safely to scale.

GE closed at $13.64.


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Tesla higher on Model 3 production

Tesla jumps after Musk keeps dual role, voices optimism on Model 3 output

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Tesla jumps after Musk keeps dual role, voices optimism on Model 3 output

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) are higher as much as 4% on Wednesday morning following the company’s annual meeting in California.

At the meeting, shareholders rejected two proposals, including one that would have separated the roles of chairman and chief executive officer. Additionally, Elon Musk said the company will likely reach its goal of producing 5,000 Model 3 sedans “by the end of this month.”

SHAREHOLDERS REJECT SEPARATION OF CHAIRMAN, CEO ROLES

Tesla shareholders rejected two proposals that would have changed the company’s board, including one that would have removed CEO Elon Musk from the chairman role.

According to a CNBC report, Jiang Zhao, a shareholder who owns 12 shares of Tesla stock, brought forward the proposal to have an independent chairman, as he believes it is necessary to prevent conflicts of interest.

In May, proxy advisory firm ISS recommend that investors split the role of chairman and CEO, saying shareholders would “benefit from the strongest form of independent board oversight in the form of an independent chair.”

Shareholders also rejected a proposal to remove three Tesla board members up for re-election this year, which was brought by the CtW Investment Group.

CtW, which works with pension funds for unions, said in a letter last month that board members Antonio Gracias and Elon’s brother Kimbal Musk were too close to the CEO to ensure needed independence, while 21st Century Fox (FOX, FOXA) CEO James Murdoch lacked relevant experience.

According to Bloomberg, which viewed a copy of the letter, CtW said that “instead of recognizing the need for independent and effective board leadership, Tesla has re-nominated three directors who exemplify the company’s failure to evolve.”

‘QUITE LIKELY’ TO MEET MODEL 3 OUTPUT GOAL

At the meeting, Musk said that the carmaker’s goal of making 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week by the end of June was “quite likely” as the car maker’s production lines were now demonstrating the ability to build 3,500 vehicles a week, Reuters reported. “This is the most excruciating hellish several months I’ve ever had… but I think we’re getting there,” Musk said.

Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics' Car of the Year
Tesla Model 3 named Popular Mechanics’ Car of the Year

OTHER ANNOUNCEMENTS

Robin Ren, Tesla’s head of worldwide sales, announced at the meeting that the company intends to build its first factory outside of the U.S. in Shanghai, China, CNBC reported.

Unlike Tesla’s first U.S. factories, the company’s new “Dreadnought” factories should produce both batteries and assemble vehicles in one place.

Additionally, according to Business Insider, Musk said the company plans to reveal the Model Y next March and will likely go into production in early 2020. The report also said that the Semi will go into production in 2020 and that it will be slightly different than what was revealed in 2017 because the company has made improvements.

The Tesla Roadster will follow the same timeline for production and will have a SpaceX option package available, BI also said.

WHAT’S NOTABLE

Musk has said that Tesla plans to be profitable and cash flow positive in Q3 and Q4, tweeting in April that there is “obviously no need to raise money.”

Musk previously said that the company was not planning to raise any capital before the end of 2019. He reiterated that during the shareholder meeting and said he is still confident that Tesla will become profitable in Q3 or Q4, BI reported.

Tesla originally sought to build 5,000 Model 3 vehicles a week by the end of 2017, but later revised its target to making 5,000 Model 3 cars by the end of the second quarter.

ANALYST COMMENTARY

Citi analyst Itay Michaeli told investors this morning that while he appreciates the bull case of ramping Model 3 deliveries and Tesla achieving profitability in the second half of the year, thereby easing cash concerns and cementing the carmaker’s electric vehicle lead, he “can’t get there on risk/reward at this point.” Michaeli cut his price target for Tesla to $313 from $347 and maintained a Neutral rating on the shares.

Baird analyst Ben Kallo, who remains bullish on Tesla, said the body language at the meeting was positive, noted that shareholders approved the board of directors by a significant margin and expects management to achieve positive GAAP net income and positive cash flow in Q3 and Q4. Kallo keeps his Buy rating and $411 price target on Tesla.

PRICE ACTION

Tesla is up about 5% in early trading to $305.76.


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SoftBank to invest $2.25B in GM

SoftBank Vision Fund to invest $2.25B in GM Cruise 

 

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SoftBank Vision Fund to invest $2.25B in GM Cruise 

General Motors (GM) announced that the SoftBank Vision Fund will invest $2.25B in GM Cruise Holdings, further strengthening the company’s plans to commercialize AV technology at large scale.

GM will also invest $1.1B in GM Cruise upon closing of the transaction.

“Our Cruise and GM teams together have made tremendous progress over the last two years,” said GM Chairman and CEO Mary Barra.

“Teaming up with SoftBank adds an additional strong partner as we pursue our vision of zero crashes, zero emissions and zero congestion.”

“GM has made significant progress toward realizing the dream of completely automated driving to dramatically reduce fatalities, emissions and congestion,” said Michael Ronen, managing partner, SoftBank Investment Advisers.

“The GM Cruise approach of a fully integrated hardware and software stack gives it a unique competitive advantage. We are very impressed by the advances made by the Cruise and GM teams, and are thrilled to help them lead a historic transformation of the automobile industry.”

The SoftBank Vision Fund investment will be made in two tranches.

At the closing of the transaction, the Vision Fund will invest the first tranche of $900M. At the time that Cruise AVs are ready for commercial deployment, the Vision Fund will complete the second tranche of $1.35B, subject to regulatory approval.

Together, this will result in the SoftBank Vision Fund owning a 19.6-percent equity stake in GM Cruise and will afford GM increased flexibility with respect to capital allocation.

The GM and SoftBank Vision Fund investments are expected to provide the capital necessary to reach commercialization at scale beginning in 2019.

GM (GM) Chairman and CEO Mary Barra confirmed the automaker’s plans to launch an autonomous ride-hailing vehicle in 2019.

President Dan Ammann noted that talks with SoftBank occurred over the course of several months. He said GM wasn’t looking for a partner, but found one that was “uniquely aligned” with it.

Ammann added that the Cruise team has grown to over 800 since the acquisition two years ago. He said the decision to report GM Cruise as a standalone segment is intended to enhance transparency around this part of the business.

ANALYST COMMENTS

Evercore ISI analyst George Galliers upgraded General Motors (GM) to Outperform from In Line after SoftBank’s (SFTBF) Vision Fund agreed to invest in the company’s Cruise autonomous driving unit in a deal that values the unit at $11.5B.

Galliers said he had been assigning no value to the Cruise assets before the announcement.

Under his new sum-of-the-parts valuation, Galliers applies a 6.0x multiple on GM’s core, attributes a value of about $8 per share for the Cruise assets and about 60c per share for GM’s stake in Lyft before applying a 25% discount to both of the latter. He raised his price target on GM shares to $50 from $47.


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Wabtec higher on potential GE Transportation deal

Wabtec rises as analyst says buy on potential GE Transportation deal

Wabtec higher on potential GE Transportation deal, Stockwinners
Wabtec higher on potential GE Transportation deal, Stockwinners

Shares of Wabtec (WAB) are on the rise after Stifel analyst Michael Baudendistel upgraded the stock to Buy following a media report saying the company was in discussions to acquire GE Transportation from General Electric (GE).

Also commenting on the deal, Stephens analyst Justin Long told investors the transaction could be a significant catalyst for Wabtec.

POTENTIAL GE TRANSPORTATION SALE

On Friday, Bloomberg reported that General Electric was in talks to sell its century-old locomotive business to rail-equipment maker Wabtec.

The transportation unit could be worth as much as $6.8B in a sale, the report noted, adding that a deal has not been reached and talks may still fall apart. GE may also pursue an initial public offering or other strategic option for the business, sources said.

BUY WABTEC

In a research note to investors, Stifel’s Baudendistel upgraded Wabtec to Buy from Hold, while raising his price target on the stock to $99 from $75, citing Bloomberg’s report on a potential acquisition of GE Transportation.

While acknowledging that a standalone IPO or an acquisition by a machinery company are also possibilities, the analyst argued that a deal would be transformative for Wabtec.

Further, Baudendistel pointed out that he believes there is strategic rationale for the deal and the possibility improves his perspective on the reward-to-risk ratio for the shares. Wabtec would be buying the business at a cyclical low point, he contended.

Additionally, the analyst noted that Wabtec’s recent results have improved on growth in the aftermarket revenue, an area that held back 2017 results.

‘SIGNIFICANT’ CATALYST FOR WABTEC

Meanwhile, Stephens’ Long told investors in a research of his own this morning that he is “a bit surprised” by the news given the potential size of the transaction, which he estimates to be around $8B.

That said, the analyst noted he thinks it would be a “great strategic fit” primarily due to GE Transportation’s services business that features technologically advanced rail-related products.

Additionally, Long believes the deal could be “highly accretive” to Wabtec earnings per share, with his “best guess” putting the deal probability at over 50%. The analyst reiterated an Overweight rating on Wabtec’s shares.

PRICE ACTION

In Monday’s trading, shares of Wabtec have gained almost 2% to $88.98, while General Electric’s stock has advanced about 1% to $14.62.


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Barron’s is bullish on GM and Delta

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy

BULLISH   MENTIONS:

Delta, GM look cheap, with growth potential – While a solid start to earnings season helped push share prices higher earlier this week, some remain deeply discounted, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Despite Delta Air Lines’ (DAL) pessimistic valuation, consolidation has left only a handful of key players and the company faces less competition in key markets than some of its peers, the report adds. Additionally, Goodyear Tire (GT), General Motors (GM) and Lincoln National (LNC) also made the valuation cutoff, Hough says.

General Mills shares fall to ‘bargain territory.’  – General Mills (GIS) has fallen 27% so far this year and while the drop seems deserved because earnings growth has stalled, a closer look suggests sales trends are improving, thanks in part to new-product launches, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Cruise operators can offer ‘nice’ yields, solid dividend growth – Cruise operators, like Carnival (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), can offer nice yields and solid dividend growth, but economic downturns can pressure payouts, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Another option for investors looking for yield among cruise operators is Walt Disney (DIS), the report added. The entertainment company has a wide variety of holdings, and while its cruise business did not account for a large portion of its $55B of sales last year, it is not insignificant either.

Tech giants may make own custom chips to get edge on one another. – There has been a tension between the world’s largest tech companies- Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Baidu (BIDU), and Alibaba (BABA)-and the chip companies they rely on, especially Intel (INTC) and Nvidia (NVDA), Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While the giants buy massive quantities of Intel’s microprocessors, and Nvidia’s graphics chips, or GPUs, to power their data centers, they are also in an arms race to have the best artificial-intelligence-based machine-learning functions, the report noted, adding that there was always the possibility they may decide to buy fewer off-the-shelf parts and make their own custom chips to get an edge on one another.

 MPL valuations look cheap – Master limited partnerships’ valuations appear cheap, and U.S. energy production is thriving, lifting cash flows for pipeline firms, Darren Fonda writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. MLP, such as Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP), MPLX (MPLX), Plains All American Pipeline (PAA), could reward investors with higher yields as cash flows rise, Fonda adds.

OTHER MENTIONS

Trump’s tweets politicize U.S. markets, Barron’s says – With President Donald Trump, both politics and business appear personal as he continues his tweets aimed at individual companies, Vito Racanelli writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Before and after the election, he consistently aimed arrows at Amazon.com (AMZN) and at the proposed acquisition of Time Warner (TWX) by AT&T (T), the report noted. The President is not alone in singling out companies, Racanelli points out, adding that Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton also took issue with Mylan’s (MYL) price increases for its EpiPen. Maybe it is a sign of the times, but the rise of powerful social-media platforms is the key enabling factor, the report said.


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Tenneco to buy Federal-Mogul for $5.4 billion

Tenneco to buy Federal-Mogul from Icahn in deal valued at $5.4B

Tenneco to buy Federal-Mogul, Stockwinners
Tenneco to buy Federal-Mogul

Tenneco (TEN) will acquire Federal-Mogul (IEP) for $5.4 billion through a combination of $800 million in cash, 5.7 million shares of Tenneco Class A common stock, 23.8 million shares of Non-Voting Class B common stock and assumption of debt.

Under the agreement, Tenneco can reduce the number of shares of Class B Non-Voting common stock by up to 7.3 million shares and increase the cash consideration proportionately at the closing.

Tenneco has put in place committed debt financing to fund the transaction, which will replace Tenneco’s existing senior credit facilities and certain senior facilities at Federal-Mogul.

Upon closing, Tenneco expects a pro forma net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 3x.

The company is targeting a net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 2.5x by the end of 2019.

Tenneco expects that the transaction will generate significant value for shareholders. Upon completion of the acquisition, Tenneco will operate the combined businesses under a structure designed to begin concurrently the successful integration of Tenneco and Federal-Mogul and the separation of the aftermarket & ride performance and the powertrain technology companies.

“The strategic combination of Tenneco’s Ride Performance business with Federal-Mogul’s Motorparts business will establish a global aftermarket leader with an impressive portfolio of some of the strongest brands in the aftermarket including Monroe, Walker, Wagner, Champion, Fel-Pro and MOOG.

The powertrain technology company will be one of the largest pure play powertrain suppliers through the combination of Tenneco’s Clean Air product line and Federal Mogul’s Powertrain business, bringing together market leaders with reputations for innovation in meeting the changing needs of customers.

The combined business will offer a robust portfolio of products and systems solutions – from the engine to the tailpipe – to improve engine performance and meet tightening criteria pollutant regulations and fuel economy standards.

With its global scale, the company will drive content growth due to the demand for improved engine performance, tightening emissions regulations, light vehicle hybridization and expanded market opportunities with commercial truck and off-highway customers.”

TEN closed at $55.55. IEP closed at $59.69.


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Tariffs sink stocks

Boeing, others drop after China retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. products

Tariffs sink stocks. Stockwinners
Tariffs sink stocks.

Shares of companies including Boeing (BA) and Tesla (TSLA) dropped in Wednesday’s pre-market trading after China retaliated against President Donald Trump’s proposed penalties on Chinese goods with plans for 25% tariffs on American products, including airplanes, automobiles and soybeans.

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Tariffs sink stocks

BACKGROUND

On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive memorandum imposing retaliatory tariffs on up to $60B in Chinese imports, according to CNBC.

The new measures are designed to penalize the country for trade practices that the White House says involve stealing American companies’ intellectual property, the report noted, adding that the tariffs will primarily target certain products in the technology sector.

Trump’s plan levies 25% tariffs on a wide range of goods — about 1,300 categories in all — and includes steel, Chinese-made solar panels, dishwashers, medical equipment and machine tools.

Shares of Alibaba (BABA), Tencent (TCEHY) and Baidu (BIDU) were under pressure following the news.

CHINESE TARIFFS

On Tuesday, China’s Ministry of Commerce announced plans to levy 25% reciprocal tariffs on critical U.S. exports, covering over 106 categories of products and impacting around $50B of Chinese imports of U.S. products.

China has targeted the largest American exports to China, airplanes and soybeans, as well as automobiles, chemicals, wheat, corn, cotton and tobacco.

People familiar with the plans tell The Wall Street Journal that many of the other goods on the list, including beef and sorghum, “intentionally affect the U.S. Farm Belt, where voters supported President Trump.”

Neither the U.S. nor Chinese tariffs will take effect immediately.

“Those who attempt to make China surrender through pressure or intimidation have never succeeded before, and will not succeed now,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told reporters.

PRICE ACTION

Boeing is down 6.6%, Tesla dropped 5%, Ford (F) is down 3.4% and General Motors (GM) is down 4% in pre-market trading.


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