FDA Approves Biogen’s Alzheimer’s Drug

FDA approves Biogen Alzheimer’s drug, says benefits outweigh risks

The FDA approved Biogen’s (BIIB) Aduhelm to treat patients with Alzheimer’s disease.

“This approval is significant in many ways. Aduhelm is the first novel therapy approved for Alzheimer’s disease since 2003.

Perhaps more significantly, Aduhelm is the first treatment directed at the underlying pathophysiology of Alzheimer’s disease, the presence of amyloid beta plaques in the brain.

The clinical trials for Aduhelm were the first to show that a reduction in these plaques – a hallmark finding in the brain of patients with Alzheimer’s – is expected to lead to a reduction in the clinical decline of this devastating form of dementia,” the FDA said in a statement.

Eli Lilly announces Alimta label expanded by FDA, Stockwinners
Eli Lilly is a partner with Biogen

It added, “We ultimately decided to use the Accelerated Approval pathway – a pathway intended to provide earlier access to potentially valuable therapies for patients with serious diseases where there is an unmet need, and where there is an expectation of clinical benefit despite some residual uncertainty regarding that benefit.

Brain of an Alzheimer patient

In determining that the application met the requirements for Accelerated Approval, the Agency concluded that the benefits of Aduhelm for patients with Alzheimer’s disease outweighed the risks of the therapy.”

The FDA said in its approval statement: “Additionally, FDA is requiring Biogen to conduct a post-approval clinical trial to verify the drug’s clinical benefit. If the drug does not work as intended, we can take steps to remove it from the market. But hopefully, we will see further evidence of benefit in the clinical trial and as greater numbers of people receive Aduhelm. As an agency, we will also continue to work to foster drug development for this catastrophic disease.”

STIFEL

Stifel analyst Paul Matteis reiterates his Buy rating on Biogen shares following the FDA granting accelerated approval of aducanumab, now to be called “Aduhelm,” for the treatment of Alzheimer’s disease.

Approval based on amyloid plaque as a “surrogate” is “definitely unexpected” and appears to be a way for FDA to work around the contentious advisory committee meeting, argues Matteis, who adds that the approval “is a big win.” How investors will risk-adjust revenues that are modeled after completion of a Phase 4 trial and how insurers will treat access for a drug approved based on a biomarker are “highly interesting” questions that will now “be debated at a materially higher stock valuation,” added Matteis. Biogen shares remain halted for trading at midday following news of the FDA approval.

JEFFRIES

Jefferies analyst Andrew Tsai said news of Biogen (BIIB) being granted FDA approval for aducanumab is likely to spark investor enthusiasm across all Alzheimer’s names and he believes the longer-term setup for Athira Pharma (ATHA) looks more attractive now. Given what he views as “the FDA tailwind,” he would buy on strength as he believes the FDA’s aducanumab decision “clearly has a positive readthrough” to Athira, whose Phase I data suggests ATHA-1017 could produce “a profound cognitive benefit” in Phase 2/3 studies expected to read out in 2022, Tsai tells investors.

In that context, he thinks a 25%-50% short-term move for Athira shares “seems reasonable” relative to the company’s current market cap.

Shares of Biogen (BIIB) remain halted while Eli Lilly (LLY), who has an Alzheimer’s disease drug in its pipeline, is up 4% to $210.78 following the news.

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Morgan Stanley to acquire E-Trade for $58.74 per share

Morgan Stanley acquires E-Trade in all-stock deal valued at $13B

Morgan Stanley (MS) and E-Trade Financial (ETFC) have entered into a definitive agreement under which Morgan Stanley will acquire E-Trade in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $13B.

Etrade sold for $13 B, Stockwinners

Under the terms of the agreement, E-Trade stockholders will receive 1.0432 Morgan Stanley shares for each E-Trade share, which represents per share consideration of $58.74 based on the closing price of Morgan Stanley.

The acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and approval by E-Trade shareholders, and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2020.

Morgan Stanley pays $13B for Etrade. Stockwinners

The transaction provides “significant upside potential” for shareholders of both Morgan Stanley and E-Trade, the company said in a statement.

“Shareholders from both companies will benefit from potential cost savings estimated at approximately $400 million from maximizing efficiencies of technology infrastructure, optimizing shared corporate services and combining the bank entities, as well as potential funding synergies of approximately $150 million from optimizing E-Trade’s approximate $56 billion of deposits,” they said.

Morgan Stanley said its “full-service, advisor-driven model coupled with E-Trade”s direct-to-consumer and digital capabilities, will allow the combined business to have best-in-class product and service offerings to support the full spectrum of wealth.”

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Verrica Pharmaceuticals reports positive data on its molluscum contagiosum drug

Verrica Pharmaceuticals presents results from Phase 3 clinical trials of VP-102

Verrica Pharmaceuticals reports positive data on its molluscum contagiosum drug, Stockwinners

Verrica Pharmaceuticals (VRCA) presented data from the company’s pivotal Phase 3 CAMP-1 and CAMP-2 trials of lead product candidate, VP-102, at the American Academy of Dermatology annual meeting being held in Washington, DC from March 1-5.

Both trials of VP-102 in patients with molluscum contagiosum successfully met their primary endpoints.

In each trial, a clinically and statistically significant proportion of patients treated with VP-102 demonstrated complete clearance of all treatable molluscum lesions in 12 weeks.

On average, molluscum can take approximately 13 months to resolve without treatment, and in some cases can remain unresolved for several years.

The two randomized, double-blind, multicenter, placebo-controlled trials evaluated the efficacy of dermal application of VP-102 compared to placebo in subjects with molluscum.

In total, the trials enrolled 528 subjects two years of age and older with molluscum at 31 centers in the U.S. Subjects were treated once every 21 days with topical solution of 0.7% cantharidin for up to four applications.

Complete clearance of molluscum lesions was evaluated by assessment of the number of lesions at study visits over 12 weeks. Results from CAMP-1 and CAMP-2 showed 46% and 54% of subjects treated with VP-102, respectively, achieved complete clearance of all treatable molluscum lesions at the end of the trials versus 18% and 13% of subjects in the placebo groups.

By Day 84, VP-102 treated subjects had a 69% and 83% mean reduction in the number of molluscum lesions, a pre-specified endpoint, in CAMP-1 and CAMP-2 respectively, compared to a 20% increase and a 19% reduction for subjects on placebo. VP-102 was well-tolerated in both trials, with no serious adverse events reported in VP-102 treated subjects.

The most frequently reported adverse events were application site reactions that are well-known, reversible side effects related to the mechanism of action of cantharidin, a blistering agent, which is the active ingredient in VP-102.

There were no treatment-related serious adverse events reported in CAMP-1 or CAMP-2. Verrica previously announced topline results from both trials on January 3, 2019.

Based on the positive results, the company plans to submit a New Drug Application for VP-102 in the second half of 2019. If approved, VP-102 would be the first FDA-approved treatment for molluscum contagiosum.


Molluscum contagiosum is a relatively common viral infection of the skin, mainly in children, Stockwinners.com

VRCA closed at $12.11.

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Altra Industrial Motion to merge with Fortive’s Automation

Altra Industrial Motion to merge with Fortive’s Automation & Specialty platform

Altra Industrial Motion to merge with Fortive's Automation & Specialty platform. Stockwinners.com
Altra Industrial Motion to merge with Fortive’s Automation & Specialty platform. Stockwinners.com

Altra Industrial Motion (AIMC) announced that its Board of Directors has unanimously approved a definitive agreement to combine Altra with four operating companies from Fortive’s (FTV) Automation and Specialty platform in a transaction, having an estimated aggregate value of approximately $3B, based on the 20-day volume weighted average stock price of Altra shares as of March 6, 2018.

The transaction is expected to be tax free to the companies’ respective shareholders.

As a result of this transaction, Altra will significantly expand its position across the technology spectrum by bringing together its strong mechanical and electronic capabilities in engineered power transmission, such as couplings, clutches and brakes and gearing with Fortive A&S’s strong electric, electronic and software content in precision motion control, including engineered servo-motors, direct drive and linear automation.

Altra will have increased exposure to higher growth, higher margin categories as well as the scale and global reach to better serve its customers. It will also have an enhanced financial profile, with sales and earnings growth expected to generate substantial free cash flow enabling the company to quickly de-lever.

The transaction will double Altra’s revenue to approximately $1.8B and increase its EBITDA to approximately $350M, or 20% margins for the twelve months ended December 31, 2017.

The combined company is expected to generate cumulative five-year free cash flows in excess of $1B.

The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive to non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share. Upon close of the transaction, the combined company will continue to be led by Altra’s current Chairman and CEO, Carl Christenson, and Christian Storch will remain CFO.

Altra’s senior management team will be expanded to include both Altra and Fortive A&S employees.

Altra will increase the size of its Board with the addition of one board member designated by Fortive.

Altra will remain headquartered in Braintree, Massachusetts. Following completion of the transaction, the combined company is expected to have approximately 9,300 employees worldwide, with approximately 4,600 coming from Altra and 4,700 joining from Fortive A&S.


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Boston Omaha jumps on Buffett connection

Boston Omaha rises after WSJ profile highlights link to Buffett

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Boston Omaha jumps on Buffett connection

Shares of billboard advertisement seller and surety insurer Boston Omaha (BOMN) are rising following a Friday profile of the company in the Wall Street Journal.

SHARES DOUBLE SINCE LISTING

Shares of Boston Omaha, which is run by co-CEOs Alex Buffet Rozek and Adam Peterson, have more than doubled since listing on the Nasdaq Stock Market in June.

The company, which recently reported third quarter revenue of $2.4M, has a market capitalization of over $447M with today’s advance.

Rozek, who is Warren Buffett’s grandnephew, said the company receives no assistance from Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) and does not advertise the link as he wants Boston Omaha’s results to stand on their own.

boston omaha shares jump on Buffett connection. Stockwinners.com
Boston Omaha shares jump on Buffett connection.

“It’s not like there’s this private class that goes on for family members about business,” Rozek said.

“If I wanted to learn, the best thing I could do is pick up an annual report and read the Berkshire annual report like anybody else.”

Buffett, who doesn’t own Boston Omaha stock, said, “I think the world of Alex, but we don’t have anything to do with his decision-making or anything of the sort. He’s got a good mind, a very good mind, and he certainly has good values.”

Boston Omaha, however has shown some similarities to Berkshire, including an acquisition focus on companies with consistent earnings and strong competitive positions, running acquired companies independently and skipping earning calls for an annual meeting.

The company, which does not currently invest in stocks, is 55% owned by Peterson’s Magnolia Group and 12% owned by Rozek’s Boulderado Group and other entities he manages.

PRICE ACTION

Boston Omaha is up 20.1%, or $5.69, to $34.02 in Tuesday’s trading. Including Friday’s advance, the stock is up over 33% over the last two sessions.


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Juno Therapeutics and Celgene higher on lymphoma data

Juno Therapeutics, Celgene report additional data from TRANSCEND study

Juno Therapeutics (JUNO) and Celgene Corporation (CELG) released additional data from the TRANSCEND study of JCAR017 in patients with relapsed or refractory aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

Celgene tumbles following Phase III failure of GED-003. See Stockwinners.com for stocks to buy, stocks to watch, stocks to trade

TRANSCEND is an open-label, multicenter Phase 1 study to determine the safety, pharmacokinetics, and antitumor activity of JCAR017 in adult patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B cell lymphoma, primary mediastinal B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma Grade 3B, and mantle cell lymphoma.

As with previous readouts, the TRANSCEND data were presented for both the core and full groups.

The core group includes 29 patients who received dose level two, 34 patients who received dose level one, and 4 patients who received dose level one twice, approximately 14 days apart.

The core group includes patients with DLBCL who are ECOG Performance Status 0-1. These patients represent a high-risk patient population, with approximately 90% of treated patients having one or more predictors of poor survival, including double or triple hit lymphoma, being chemorefractory to front-line or subsequent therapies, never reaching a complete remission with prior treatments, or never having undergone an autologous transplant.

Enrollment of the pivotal cohort is ongoing with the core group at DL2. The full analysis group represents evaluable r/r patients in the DLBCL cohort, which includes an additional 24 patients with poor performance status or with niche subtypes of aggressive NHL.

In both analysis groups all efficacy data are based on at least one month of follow-up with a 28-day restaging scan and all safety evaluable data are based on having received JCAR017 with at least one month of follow-up. Product was available for 98% of patients apheresed in the DLBCL cohort.

Topline data from the presentation as of the October 9 data cutoff date included: Responses in core group: At DL2, the data showed a 3 month overall response rate of 74% and a 3 month complete response rate of 68%. Of patients that have reached 6 months of follow-up, 50% were in CR.

Across doses, 80% of patients with CR at 3 months stayed in CR at 6 months, and 92% of patients in response at 6 months remain in response as of data cutoff.

Across doses, median duration of response was 9.2 months and median durability of CR was not reached. Tolerability in core group:1% experienced severe cytokine release syndrome and 15% experienced severe neurotoxicity. 36% had any grade CRS and 21% had any grade NT. 58% had no CRS or NT of any grade.

At dose level 1, 3% experienced severe CRS and 21% experienced severe NT. At dose level 2, 0% experienced severe CRS and 7% experienced severe NT. 13% received tocilizumab and 18% received corticosteroids. Tolerability across doses in full group:1% experienced severe CRS and 12% experienced severe NT. 35% had any grade CRS and 19% had any grade NT. 60% had no CRS or NT of any grade.

The most common treatment-emergent adverse events other than CRS and NT that occurred at greater than or equal to 25% included neutropenia, anemia, fatigue, thrombocytopenia, nausea, and diarrhea. The most common TEAEs were similar between core and full groups.

CELG closed at $106.09. JUNO closed at $58.65


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Ironwood Pharmaceuticals reports positive results

Ironwood reports Phase IIa data for IW-1973 demonstrating positive effectsย 

Ironwood Receives FDA Approval of Duzallo. See Stockwinners.com Market Radar for more
Ironwood reports Phase IIa data for IW-1973 demonstrating positive effectsย 

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals (IRWD) announced encouraging top-line results from two Phase IIa studies of IW-1973, Ironwood’s lead investigational soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator, in patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension.

Consistent with pre-clinical observations, in both studies treatment with IW-1973 led to blood pressure reductions and improvements in metabolic parameters, including reductions in fasting plasma glucose and cholesterol levels, in patients who were taking a stable regimen of therapies to manage their disease.

Elevated levels of plasma cGMP provided clear evidence of target engagement. These studies confirm a pharmacokinetic profile of IW-1973 supporting once-daily dosing and suggest broad distribution to tissues, offering the potential for extra-vascular pharmacology. IW-1973 was generally well-tolerated.

Ironwood is currently developing IW-1973 for the treatment of diabetic nephropathy and for the treatment of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

The company recently initiated two new Phase II dose-ranging clinical trials with IW-1973 in these indications.

The two Phase IIa exploratory studies were designed to evaluate the safety and tolerability, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of IW-1973 in diabetic patients with hypertension on a stable regimen of medicines to manage their disease.

The studies were not designed or powered explicitly to assess efficacy, but the data yielded clear and consistent trends indicating a positive effect of IW-1973 on blood pressure, metabolic parameters and endothelial function biomarkers.

At day 14, patients treated with IW-1973 showed a mean decrease in mean arterial blood pressure of 6.3 mmHg from baseline compared to a decrease of 1.6 mmHg from baseline in patients treated with placebo, as measured by 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, which was a 4.7% greater reduction in patients treated with IW-1973 compared to placebo-treated patients.

IRWD closed at $17.32.


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Cytokinetics’ ALS drug fails

Cytokinetics Phase 3 clinical trial of tirasemtiv did not meet primary endpoint

Cytokinetics Phase 3 clinical trial of tirasemtiv did not meet primary endpoint. See Stockwinners.com for details

Cytokinetics (CYTK) announced that Ventilatory Investigation of Tirasemtiv and Assessment of Longitudinal Indices after Treatment for a Year in ALS, or VITALITY-ALS, the international Phase 3 clinical trial of tirasemtiv in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, or ALS, did not meet the primary endpoint of change from baseline in slow vital capacity, or SVC, which was evaluated at 24 weeks following randomization or any of the secondary endpoints in the trial which were evaluated at 48 weeks.

No new safety or tolerability findings related to tirasemtiv were identified in VITALITY-ALS. Serious adverse events were similar between patients who received tirasemtiv or placebo but more patients discontinued double-blind treatment on tirasemtiv than on placebo primarily due to non-serious adverse events related to tolerability.

The decline in SVC from baseline to 24 weeks was smaller in patients who received any dose of tirasemtiv in VITALITY-ALS compared to the decline in patients receiving placebo.

The largest differences from placebo were observed in patients randomized to the mid- and high-dose groups of tirasemtiv who could tolerate and remain on their target dose, although those differences were not statistically significant.

“While we are deeply disappointed by the results of VITALITY-ALS, we remain committed to people with ALS who are fighting this devastating disease and who need new therapies to slow the decline of respiratory function and muscle strength that are key hallmarks of disease progression,” said Robert Blum, Cytokinetics’ President and CEO.

“We have decided to suspend the development of tirasemtiv. While we believe that VITALITY-ALS demonstrated pharmacologic activity for the mechanism of action, we also believe that limitations of tirasemtiv may be addressed with our next-generation fast skeletal muscle activator, CK-2127107. Based on previous Phase 1 clinical studies, we believe CK-2127107 will be better tolerated and potentially more effective than tirasemtiv in patients with ALS and look forward to Phase 2 trial results in 2018. We are grateful to the trial investigators, site personnel, patients and caregivers who participated in VITALITY-ALS.”

CYTK closed at $11.10.


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Intra-Cellular receives FDA Fast Track designation

ย Intra-Cellular receives FDA Fast Track designation for lumateperone

Intra Cellular Therapies receives FDA's fast track designation. See Stockwinners.com for details

Intra-Cellular (ITCI) announced that the FDA has granted Fast Track designation for lumateperone for the treatment of schizophrenia.

Lumateperoneย (INN; developmental code namesย ITI-007,ย ITI-722) is an investigationalย atypical antipsychoticย which is currently under development by Intra-Cellular Therapies, licensed fromย Bristol-Myers Squibb, for the treatment ofย schizophrenia.ย ย It is also being developed by Intra-Cellular Therapies for the treatment ofย bipolar disorder,ย depression, andย sleepย andย behavioral disturbanceย inย dementia,ย autism, and otherย neuropsychiatric disorders.

The company requested Fast Track designation for lumateperone based on clinical evidence that lumateperone has the potential to address the unmet medical need for the treatment of schizophrenia with significant improvements on several clinically significant safety parameters, including with respect to metabolic, motor and cardiovascular issues associated with many currently available antipsychotic agents.

The FDA’s Fast Track designation is designed to facilitate the development and expedite the review of drug candidates to treat serious and life-threatening conditions.

Fast Track designation may allow for more frequent meetings and communications with the FDA to discuss a drug candidate’s development plans and review process.

Drug candidates with Fast Track designation may also qualify for priority review to expedite the FDA review process, if relevant criteria are met.

ITCI closed at $15.32.


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NovoCure reports positive data from its brain cancer drug

Novocure says increased compliance with Optune showed increased survival

Novocure reports positive brain cancer data. See Stockwinners.com for details

Novocure (NVCR) announced results from a retrospective post-hoc analysis of its phase 3 pivotal EF-14 trial data showing that increased compliance with Optune predicted increased survival in glioblastoma patients.

Glioblastomasย  are tumors that arise from astrocytesโ€”the star-shaped cells that make up the โ€œglue-like,โ€ or supportive tissue of the brain. These tumors are usually highly malignant (cancerous) because the cells reproduce quickly and they are supported by a large network of blood vessels. Glioblastomas are generally found in the cerebral hemispheres of the brain, but can be found anywhere in the brain or spinal cord.

Results were highlighted in an oral presentation at the 22nd Annual Meeting of the Society for Neuro-Oncology in San Francisco.

The analysis showed that an Optune compliance threshold as low as 50% correlated with significantly improved outcomes in patients treated with Optune together with temozolomide compared to patients treated with temozolomide alone.

The results also demonstrated that the greater patients’ compliance with Optune, the better their outcomes.

Patients who used Optune more than 90% of the time had the greatest chance of survival: a median survival of 24.9 months from randomization and a five-year survival of 29.3%.

The median time from diagnosis to randomization was 3.8 months for patients treated with Optune together with temozolomide.

Novocure’s phase 3 pivotal EF-14 trial compared Optune in combination with temozolomide to temozolomide alone in 695 patients with newly diagnosed GBM. The trial was designed to test both progression free survival and overall survival.

The trial demonstrated unprecedented five-year survival results in newly diagnosed GBM.

Patients treated with Optune in combination with temozolomide experienced a significant extension of overall survival without added systemic toxicity compared to patients treated with temozolomide alone.

The data also showed that Optune-treated patients were able to maintain quality of life for longer compared to patients treated with temozolomide alone.

Patients in the EF-14 trial treated with Optune together with temozolomide were recommended to use Optune 75 percent of the time, or 18 hours per day.

This new analysis demonstrated that a threshold value as low as 50% compliance with Optune led to an extension of both PFS and OS versus temozolomide alone.

As compliance increased to 75% or greater, the survival benefit significantly increased. Patients who used Optune 70-80 percent of the time had a median survival of 21.7 months.

Patients who used Optune more than 90% of the time had the greatest chance of survival: a median survival of 24.9 months from randomization and a five-year survival of 29.3%.

The median time from diagnosis to randomization was 3.8 months for patients treated with Optune together with temozolomide.

The data also show that increased compliance independently predicted survival and was not affected by prognostic factors such as performance status, age or MGMT methylation.

NVCR closed at $18.60.


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Merit Medical goes shopping

Merit Medical to purchase Becton Dickinson assets for $100Mย 

Merit Medical goes shopping. See Stockwinners.com for details

Merit Medical (MMSI) has signed an asset purchase agreement with Becton, Dickinson (BDX) to acquire certain assets which BD proposes to sell in connection with its proposed acquisition of C.R. Bard.

Merit’s proposed asset acquisition is subject to the closing of BD’s proposed acquisition of Bard as well as other usual and customary closing conditions.

The assets to be acquired are soft tissue core needle biopsy products currently sold by BD under the trade names of Achieve Programmable Automatic Biopsy System, Temno Biopsy System and Tru-Cut Biopsy Needles.

Additionally, Merit proposes to acquire the Aspira Pleural Effusion Drainage Kits and the Aspira Peritoneal Drainage System currently marketed by Bard.

The purchase price for the product lines and related assets to be acquired is $100M, subject to adjustment for fluctuations in the value of transferred inventory. Merit intends to finance the acquisition at closing through borrowings which are currently available under its revolving credit facility.

After giving effect to the proposed transaction, Merit anticipates its debt to adjusted EBITDA will increase from approximately 2.20 to approximately 2.70.

This transaction is expected to be accretive to both GAAP and non-GAAP earnings in 2018. Merit’s management expects the acquisition to provide incremental annual revenues in the range of $42M-$48M, adjusted gross margins for the subject product lines in the range of 60-70%, and, over a period of six to twelve months, to be accretive by 50-120 basis points to Merit’s adjusted gross margins.

The transaction is also expected to expand operating margins and increase cash flow. Merit’s management expects the acquisition to provide 10c-19c in adjusted non-GAAP EPS accretion in FY18.


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Envision Healthcare could be sold

Envision rises amid report of private equity interest

Envision Healthcare could be sold. See Stockwinners.com for more

Shares of Envision Healthcare (EVHC) are on the rise following a report by Bloomberg claiming the company has attracted buyout interest from private equity investors.

The hospital based physician group, which activist Starboard Value has targeted, had previously announced that it was exploring options to enhance shareholder value.

Meanwhile, Baird analyst Whit Mayo told investors that Envision could be worth in the area of $40 per share in a leveraged buyout, which is an estimated value that his peer at Keybanc also sees as possible.

PRIVATE EQUITY INTEREST

According to a report by Bloomberg, Envision has attracted buyout interest from firms including Carlyle Group (CG) and Onex Corp.

The two are among companies that may bid for Envision alone or as part of a group, the report added.

The health-services provider has been under pressure from activist investor Starboard Value, who revealed a stake in Envision in October and recommended the company as an attractive takeover target, Bloomberg noted.

LBO ‘DOABLE’

In a research note to investors published prior to the release of Bloomberg’s report, Baird‘s Mayo noted that he would guess that about three to four hedge funds now collectively own about 20% of Envision Healthcare, with “potentially more in the shadows,” and that a leveraged buyout is “very doable” if one believes there is an investment case for industry volumes.

If there is a case seen for structural changes in volumes, cash collections and/or physician rate, Mayo sees the potential for “very acceptable returns” on a theoretical leveraged buyout in the $40 per share area, he contended.

#Mayo pointed out that he thinks the upside risk of a leveraged buyout is being “underappreciated,” and reiterated an Outperform rating and $35 price target on the shares.

Meanwhile, KeyBanc analyst Jason #Gurda told investors in a research note of his own that he also believes a private equity buyer could reasonably bid “in the low $40s” for Envision in a leveraged buyout.

The analyst noted that he was not surprised to hear of reports that there is private equity interest in the company as in the past there has been a considerable level of private equity investment in both of Envision’s business segments – physician services and ambulatory surgical centers. Gurda reiterated an Overweight rating on the stock, while raising his price target on the shares to $40 from $37.

PRICE ACTION

In Tuesday’s trading, shares of Envision have jumped about 7% to $27.66. Year-to-date, however, the stock is still down over 56%.


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Buffalo Wildwing soars on takeover offer

Buffalo Wild Wings receives $2.3 billion offer

Buffalo-Wild-Wings gets $2.3 billion offer. See Stockwinners.com for details

Shares ofย Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD)ย are sharply higher following a Wall Street Journal report saying that private-equity firm Roark Capital Groupย has made a bid for the company.

According to the report, Roark offered to pay โ€œmore than $150 a share,โ€ or more than $2.3 billion, for Buffalo Wild Wings.

Buffalo Wild Wings has faced some trouble over the last year, as the company struggles withย high wing costsย and declining sales at stores open for at least 15 months.

Activist investors at Marcato Capital Managementย won several board seatsย during the summer and are pushing the company to franchise more of its restaurants and improve its technology.

ANALYSTย  COMMENTS

#Mizuho analyst Jeremy Scott wrote to clients that โ€œwe can only speculate as to whether or not this bid was solicited.โ€ But he also thinks the companyโ€™s board is likely taking the offer seriously. โ€œWe anticipate that the activist refranchising initiative may have faced growing resistance both internally and externally,โ€ he adds.

Wells Fargo analyst Jeff Farmer has โ€œconviction in a potential Roark acquisition,โ€ due to the companyโ€™s financial struggles as of late and its โ€œleadership voidโ€ — CEO Sally Smith announced her resignation on the same day that Marcato won its board seats.

He thinks that there is โ€œmodest opportunity for a competing bidโ€ but isnโ€™t sure if one will come around. On one hand, investors might feel that a $150/share bid undervalues the company. But interested bidders might not want to pay much more for Buffalo Wild Wings given falling traffic and weak financials at the chain.

Credit Suisse analyst Jason West says he views the offer as a modest surprise given the latter’s negative same store sales and margins trends in recent years. The analyst reiterates a Neutral rating on Buffalo Wild Wings’ shares.

Maxim analyst Stephen Anderson notes yesterday’s press speculation of a bid for Buffalo Wild Wings from Roark Capital, saying that while the $150/share price is “plausible”, there is potential for a competing bid given the company-specific initiatives to cut expenses and an improving food cost climate.

Anderson says that despite the industry headwinds and the pending exit of CEO Sally Smith, the company is laying the groundwork for a return to SSS growth, margin expansion, and increased shareholder returns.

The analyst also says the recent decline in spot wing costs, already down 15% since summer end, will add to EPS next year. Anderson keeps his Buy rating and $160 price target on Buffalo Wild Wings.

Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull said he thinks Roark could be a credible buyer given its success with several restaurant investments, including Wingstop, and that BWW could be a willing seller given Marcato’s involvement and the company’s recent struggles defining a clear vision for improving shareholder value. O’Cull has a Hold rating and $115 price target on Buffalo Wild Wings shares.

BWLD closed at $117.25. It last traded at $148.40.


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Omeros soars on its Berger’s disease drug

Omeros jumps after detailing FDA meeting on IgA nephropathy program

Omeros jumps after detailing FDA meeting on IgA nephropathy program. See Stockwinners.com for details

Shares of Omeros (OMER) are up 40% after the company last night reported financial results for the third quarter and announced recent highlights and developments.

Omeros said that it met with the FDA in follow-up to the FDA’s granting breakthrough designation for OMS721 in IgA nephropathy to discuss Phase 3 trial design.

“The Agency’s meeting minutes make clear that approval can be obtained with a single successful Phase 3 trial with reduction in proteinuria as the primary efficacy endpoint. Depending on the size of the effect on proteinuria, either full approval or accelerated approval is possible.

If full approval is granted based on reduction in proteinuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate will be followed as part of the safety assessment. Any effect of OMS721 on eGFR is likely to result in additional label claims for the product. If, based on the effect on proteinuria, accelerated rather than full approval is granted, marketing of OMS721 would be allowed during which time confirmatory data on long-term effects of OMS721 on eGFR would be collected. These eGFR data, if satisfactory, would then form the basis for full approval,” the company stated.

Gregory Demopulos, chairman and chief executive officer of Omeros, added, “We have also made substantial progress across our OMS721 programs – in addition to our Phase 3 aHUS program, we have a clear roadmap for the Phase 3 IgA nephropathy trial, including FDA confirmation of proteinuria as the primary efficacy endpoint, and compelling data to support our advancing to a Phase 3 program in stem cell transplant-associated TMA.”

Proteinuriaย is the presence of excessย proteinsย in theย urine.ย In healthy people, urine containsย very little protein; an excess is suggestive ofย illness.

IgA nephropathy, also known as Berger’s disease, is a kidney disease that occurs whenย IgAย deposits build up in the kidneys, causing inflammation that damages kidney tissues.ย IgAย is an antibodyโ€”a protein made by the immune system to protect the body from foreign substances such as bacteria or viruses.

In Friday’s trading, Omeros shares are up $4.35, or 31%, to $18.44.


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Sage Therapeutics surges on its depression drug

Sage Therapeutics’ brexanolone achieves primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial

Sage Therapeutics announces results from Sage-547. See Stockwinners.com for details

Sage Therapeutics (SAGE) announced positive top-line results from two Phase 3 clinical trials with its proprietary i.v. formulation of brexanolone;

  • Study 202B in severe postpartum depression and
  • Study 202C in moderate PPD.

Brexanolone achieved the primary endpoint in both trials, a mean reduction from baseline in the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression total score compared to placebo at 60 hours.

Patients treated with brexanolone demonstrated mean reductions from baseline in HAM-D total scores of 14 to 20 points at 60 hours maintained to 30 days in both trials.

Brexanolone was generally well tolerated and showed a similar safety profile as seen in earlier studies.

Sage believes these data will be sufficient to support submissions of regulatory applications seeking approval of brexanolone for PPD.

Sage plans to file a New Drug Application with the FDA in 2018.

MARINUS

Shares of Marinus Pharmaceuticals (MRNS) are also higher. The move comes after Sage Therapeutics announced that its Phase 3 clinical trial with its proprietary i.v. formulation of #brexanolone in severe postpartum depression achieved its primary endpoint.

#Marinus is preparing to initiate clinical trials with Captisol-enabled ganaxolone IV in patients with postpartum depression.

ANALYSTS VIEW

H.C. Wainwright analyst Joseph #Pantginis notes Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND) partner Sage Therapeutics announced positive top-line data of brexanolone for patients with moderate and severe postpartum depression. Recall that brexanolone is one of the “Big Six assets” at Ligand which is expected to receive a 3% royalty on sales, Pantginis tells investors in a research note. The analyst raised his price target for Ligand shares to $159 from $157 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

BMO Capital analyst Gary Nachman calls today’s Phase 3 data in post-partum depression a “very significant milestone” for Sage Therapeutics.ย The analyst sees a “high probability of approval” in the U.S. and Europe based on these data.

Further, he thinks they could potentially bode well for the anticipated SAGE-217 results in both major depressive disorder and for in postpartum depression. #Nachman reiterates an Outperform rating on Sage with an $80 price target.

PRICE ACTION

In Thursday’s trading SAGE is up 44% to $90.65 per share.


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