Graphic Packaging and International Paper Join Forces

Graphic Packaging forms partnership with IP’s consumer packaging unit

Graphic Packaging and IP join forces. See Stockwinners.com for details

Graphic Packaging (GPK) said it will create a $6B paper-based packaging company by forming a new partnership comprised of Graphic Packaging’s existing businesses and International Paper’s (IP) North America Consumer Packaging business.

Graphic Packaging will own 79.5% of the partnership and will be the sole operator.

International Paper will own 20.5% of the partnership, equivalent to a $1.14B value.

The partnership will assume $660M of International Paper debt.

There will be no change to Graphic Packaging’s current board or leadership team. The company said, “The transaction will be completed at a compelling EV/Adjusted EBITDA multiple of 8.6x, pre-synergies, and 6.3x, post-synergies.

International Paper will have a 2-year lock-up on the monetization of their partnership interest and cannot purchase GPK shares for a period of 5 years, subject to limited exceptions.”

It added, “The $75 million in synergies is compelling and will be driven by cost reductions, increased paperboard integration, and procurement and mill efficiencies.”

The transaction has been approved by the boards of both companies and is expected to close in early 2018. International Paper’s North America Consumer Packaging business is a $1.6B revenue producer of solid bleached sulfate paperboard and paper-based foodservice products.

The business includes two SBS mills located in Augusta, Georgia and Texarkana, Texas with annual production capacity of 1.2 million tons of SBS, three converting facilities in the U.S. and one in the U.K..

The business is projected to generate Adjusted EBITDA of $210M in 2017.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Deltic Timber sold for $4 billion

Deltic Timber jumps after agreeing to be bought by larger peer Potlatch

Deltic Timber sold for $4 billion. See Stockwinners.com for details

Shares of Deltic Timber Corporation (DEL) are higher after the company agreed to be acquired by larger peer Potlatch Corporation (PCH).

The combined company is expected to have a pro-forma market cap of about $3.3B and a total enterprise value of over $4B.

ALL-STOCK TRANSACTION

Potlatch confirmed this morning that it has agreed to buy Deltic Timber in an all-stock transaction, creating a company with a total enterprise value of $4B.

Under the terms of the deal, Deltic shareholders will receive 1.8 Potlatch shares for each Deltic share they own.

When the deal closes, which is expected to occur in the first half of 2018, Potlatch shareholders will own 65% of the combined company. The combined company will be called Potlatch Deltic Corporation and trade on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker “PCH.”

Deltic Chief Executive Officer John Enlow will be the combined company’s vice chairman, while Potlatch Chief Executive Officer Mike Covey would continue in the role. Deltic will convert to a real estate investment trust structure, and will pay out accumulated profits of $250M to investors through a dividend consisting of 80% stock and 20% cash by the end of 2018.

The companies expect to realize about $50M of after-tax cash synergies and operational efficiencies. The combined company will have a diverse timberland portfolio of approximately 2M acres, with approximately 1.1M acres in the U.S. South, 600,000 acres in Idaho, and 150,000 acres in Minnesota.

In addition, the company will operate eight wood products manufacturing facilities, including six lumber manufacturing facilities, one medium density fiberboard facility and one industrial plywood mill.

The combined company will have lumber capacity of 1.2B board feet in total. Deltic and Potlatch compete with Weyerhaeuser (WY).

WHAT’S NOTABLE

In August, Deltic said it was assessing a “comprehensive range” of strategic alternatives, both internal and external. The company said at the time that it had been approached “by a number of industry participants” regarding interest in a potential deal.

Deltic said it had met with Southeastern Asset Management, which held a 15% stake in Deltic as of August 25, “on a number of occasions” to discuss the ideas. In August, SAM said “it has become clear after many attempts that Deltic is not serious about engaging with Southeastern at a substantive level,” and that it may nominate directors at Deltic’s next annual meeting.

OTHER POTLATCH NEWS

Potlatch this morning also reported quarterly results, with earnings per share excluding items of 94c beating analysts’ consensus estimates of 90c. Revenue of $190.44M was essentially in line with analysts’ $190.45M consensus. Potlatch also raised its quarterly dividend 7% to 40c per share from 37.5c, payable December 29 to investors of record on December 8.

PRICE ACTION

In Monday’s trading, Deltic Timber is up over 6% to $94.83, while Potlatch is up about 2% to $53.90.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

GE Disappoints!

GE shocks with ‘unacceptable’ results, guidance cut

GE gets $15B contract from Saudi Arabia

Shares of General Electric (GE) are lower in Friday’s  trading after the company reported quarterly profit that missed consensus estimates by 20c per share.

GE also cut its outlook for fiscal 2017 as new CEO John Flannery called the results “unacceptable.”

MISS AND CUT

GE this morning reported third quarter industrial operating earnings per share of 29c excluding restructuring charges, missing analysts’ estimates of 49c.

Total revenue for the quarter was $33.47B, which beat analysts’ expectations of $32.56B.

The company said that while the majority of its business units had “solid” earnings performance, “this was offset by a decline in Power performance in a difficult market.” “This was a very challenging quarter,” CEO John Flannery said.

Looking ahead, GE cut its FY17 EPS view to $1.05-$1.10 from $1.60-$1.70, well below estimates of $1.53.

“We are focused on redefining our culture, running our businesses better, and reducing our complexity,” Flannery added.

EXECUTIVE COMMENTARY

On GE’s earnings call, Flannery said the results were “unacceptable to say the least” and that while there are many areas of strength at the company, “it’s clear we need to make some major changes.”

Flannery said GE is doing “deep dives” on all aspects of the company, adding that “everything is on the table and there have been no sacred cows.” The company has started to outline its restructuring plans, saying it plans to exit more than $20B of its businesses in the next one to two years, but noted that the dividend is a “priority.”

STRATEGY UPDATE UPCOMING

GE is planning to update its company strategy and 2018 framework on November 13. Flannery has already been cutting jobs, research operations and corporate jets and cars.

PERSONNEL CHANGES

GE has also undertaken personnel changes, including the earlier-than-expected retirement of Chairman Jeff Immelt. According to a spokeswoman, “[Immelt felt Flannery] is prepared to be chairman and CEO now and leaving GE allows him to look at opportunities outside the company.”

Additionally, on October 6, GE said CFO Jeff Bornstein would leave the company on December 31 and will be succeeded by GE Transportation CEO Jamie Miller.

Bornstein said on today’s earnings call that GE was not “living up to our own standards or investor standards and the buck stops with me.”

Earlier this month, GE announced the election of Trian Fund’s Ed Garden to its board to replace Robert Lane, who is retiring. Trian’s Nelson Peltz said he had pushed to get Garden on GE’s board to “bring a fresh mindset.”

‘SHOCKING’ RESULTS

Deutsche Bank analyst John Inch called GE’s weaker than expected Q3 results this morning “shocking,” noting that the company “falls well short” of generating enough cash to pay its $8B common dividend from operations, which raises the prospects of a pending dividend cut and/or raising financial leverage to pay for the dividend. He has a Sell rating and $21 price target on GE shares.

Meanwhile, Citi analyst Andrew Kaplowitz said the earnings report indicates that the mounting challenges developing over time in the Power business now appear to be fully materializing. Kaplowitz, who has a Buy rating and $31 price target on GE, thinks shares could potentially be approaching a bottom.

PRICE ACTION

GE shares are down about 3%  at $22.72, improving quickly from their opening lows. The early drop pushes the stock’s year-to-date losses to nearly 30%. Shares have a 52-weeks trading range of $22.10 – $32.38.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Honeywell to reorganize itself

Honeywell announces planned portfolio changes

Honeywell to reorganize itself. See Stockwinners.com for details

Honeywell (HON) announced the results of its comprehensive portfolio review, including its intention to separately spin off its Homes product portfolio and ADI global distribution business, as well as its Transportation Systems business, into two stand-alone, publicly-traded companies.

The planned separation transactions are intended to be tax-free spins to Honeywell shareowners for U.S. federal income tax purposes and are expected to be completed by the end of 2018.

“Today’s announcement marks the culmination of a rigorous portfolio review involving a detailed assessment of every Honeywell business. As part of that review, we analyzed numerous criteria, including growth outlook, financial performance, market dynamics, potential for disruption, and, most importantly, assessment of fit as a Honeywell business,” said Honeywell President and CEO Darius Adamczyk.

“The remaining Honeywell portfolio will consist of high-growth businesses in six attractive industrial end markets, each aligned to global mega trends including energy efficiency, infrastructure investment, urbanization and safety.

These businesses are best positioned to leverage Honeywell synergies from our technologies, financial and business models, and talent. Our simplified portfolio will offer multiple platforms for organic growth and margin expansion through further deployment of our world-class HOS Gold operating system and the Honeywell Sentience Platform.

Honeywell will also have multiple levers for continuing to execute an aggressive capital deployment strategy, including a vigorous and disciplined M&A program.

“The spun businesses will be better positioned to maximize shareowner value through focused strategic decision making and capital allocation tailored for their end markets,” Adamczyk said.

“At Honeywell, we will continue our track record of execution, delivering growth, margin expansion, and aggressive capital allocation for our shareowners.”

The new Homes and Global Distribution business will be a leader in the home heating, ventilation and air conditioning, or HVAC, controls and security markets, and a leading global distributor of security and fire protection products. The business is expected to have annualized revenue of approximately $4.5B, a high-yield credit rating, approximately 13,000 employees, and financial responsibility for certain Honeywell legacy liabilities.

The new Transportation Systems business will be a global leader in turbocharger technologies with best-in-class engineering capabilities for a broad range of engine types across global automobile, truck and other vehicle markets.

The business is expected to have annualized revenue of approximately $3B, a high-yield credit rating, approximately 6,500 employees and financial responsibility for Honeywell legacy automotive segment liabilities in an amount equal to our Bendix legacy asbestos liability.

The planned separations will not require a shareowner vote.

Each spin-off will be subject to finalization of the contours of the spun-off business, assurance that the separation will be tax-free to Honeywell shareowners for U.S. federal income tax purposes, finalization of the capital structure of the three corporations, the effectiveness of appropriate filings with the SEC, final approval of the Honeywell board, and other customary matters.

HON closed at $143.60.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Exa Corporation sold for $400 million

Exa Corp. to be acquired by Dassault Systemes for $24.25 per share 

Exa Corporation sold for $400 million. See Stockwinners.com for details

Exa Corporation (EXA) announced that its board has unanimously agreed to be acquired by Dassault Systemes in a transaction valued at approximately $400M or $24.25 per share.

Under the terms of the merger agreement, a subsidiary of Dassault Systemes will commence a tender offer within the next 10 business days to acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Exa common stock for a price of $24.25 per share payable in cash upon completion of the offer.

This represents a fully diluted equity value for Exa of approximately $400M. The acquisition is expected to close in Q4.

With the addition of Exa, Dassault Systèmes’ 3DEXPERIENCE platform will provide customers with a proven portfolio of Lattice Boltzmann fluid simulation technologies, fully industrialized solutions and over 350 highly experienced simulation professionals.

Simulation of fluid flow, such as the cooling of an engine or the lift of a wing, is a necessary component of simulating the physical behavior of products, nature and life. For the many situations where fluid flow conditions change rapidly, simulation of dynamically variable flows is critical to accurate assessments of a product and its behavior in its environment. For these applications, the combination of Exa’s accuracy and timeliness provides results that are superior to those of alternative CFD methods.

Completion of the transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including required regulatory approvals. The acquisition is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2017, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Richmont Mines Sold for $770 Million

Alamos Gold to acquire Richmont Mines in deal with equity value of $770M

Alamos Gold to acquire Richmont Mines in deal with equity value of $770M. See Stockwinners.com for details

Alamos Gold (AGI) and Richmont Mines (RIC) are announced that they have entered into a definitive agreement whereby Alamos will acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Richmont pursuant to a plan of arrangement, further enhancing Alamos’ position as a leading intermediate gold producer.

Under the terms of the Agreement, all of the Richmont issued and outstanding common shares will be exchanged on the basis of 1.385 Alamos common shares for each Richmont common share.

The Exchange Ratio implies consideration of C$14.20 per Richmont common share, based on the closing price of Alamos common shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange on September 8.

This represents a 22% premium to Richmont’s closing price and a 32% premium based on both companies’ 20-day volume-weighted average prices, both as at September 8 on the TSX.

This implies a total equity value of approximately $770M on a fully diluted in-the-money basis and an enterprise value of $683M.

Upon completion of the Transaction, existing Alamos and Richmont shareholders will own approximately 77% and 23% of the pro forma company, respectively.

Concurrent with the announcement of the Transaction, Richmont announced the sale of the Beaufor Mine, the Camflo Mill and the Wasamac development project located in Quebec. Further details regarding the sale of the Quebec Assets can be found in the Richmont press release dated September 11.

The sale of the Quebec Assets is the culmination of a strategic review process that Richmont publicly disclosed in Q1. The sale is expected to close on, or about, September 29 and is not a condition to the Transaction.

The Agreement has been unanimously approved by the boards of Alamos and Richmont, and each board recommends that their respective shareholders vote in favor of the Transaction.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is Bullish on Carlyle Group, Bearish on Nike

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin

BULLISH  MENTIONS

Altaba could reward investors ‘nicely’  – Alibaba (BABA) is having a stellar year and a cheap way to play it is through Altaba (AABA), whose 15% stake in Alibaba is valued at $65B, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While Altaba shares are up 65% this year on Alibaba’s big gains, it trades at a 30% discount to the value of the company’s assets, the publication adds’

New Apple Watch may threaten telecoms – As the world awaits the 10th-anniversary iPhone, the real news may be buried within a redesigned Apple Watch 3, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Apple (AAPL) has said that the next smartwatch will gain the ability to dial up the internet wirelessly even when not connected to an iPhone, the publication notes, adding that the new Apple Watch will probably make use of an embedded SIM. Apple already allows people using its iPad tablet to select which wireless carrier they want on a month-by-month basis, and Apple Watch will allow the same, signaling that Apple may want to take more control of the mobile subscriber, Tiernan says.

Carlyle Group may be ‘best deal’ in private equity – Carlyle Group (CG) is one of the world’s largest private-equity managers, with $170B in assets under management spread over six continents, but has had a much lower profile with investors, with its units fallen 24% over the past five years, Jack Willoughby writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Carlyle has finally put its hedge fund woes behind it and expects a big jump in earnings, Willoughby notes, while questioning if the stock price can double.

Texas Instruments, CVS Health worth a look for income investors.  Barron’s has looked for firms with the highest dividend-safety rankings that yield at least 2% and have market caps above $25B. The top five finishers based on those criteria were Texas Instruments (TXN), CVS Health (CVS), PNC Financial (PNC), Sysco (SYY) and Medtronic (MDT), Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

BEARISH  MENTIONS

Nike could fall another 10% – As Adidas (ADDYY) picks up the pace, Nike (NKE) is losing ground in the sneaker race, and its stumbling stock could fall another 10% or more in the coming year, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Hough argues that Nike’s problem is twofold, namely the growth of e-commerce which has rattled Nike’s retail partners, including Foot Locker (FL), and Adidas that seems to have finally figured out how to sell sneakers in the U.S.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

 

Barron’s is bullish on WalMart, bearish on Papa John’s

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin

BULLISH  MENTIONS

Wal-Mart, BlackRock attractive amid seasonal market volatility – September and October may bring seasonal volatility that could push stocks around, Steven Sears writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s, while recommending that rather than just trading the swoons, one should focus on companies with indestructible, “cockroach-like qualities.” Some nearly indestructible stocks seem to be Wal-Mart (WMT) and BlackRock (BLK), the publication notes.

Wall Street may want to look at Japan – Investors worried about valuations and an impending correction on Wall Street may want to take a look at Japan, as its macroeconomic fundamentals have not looked this good in years, Assif Shameen writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Honda (HMC) and Sony (SNE) hold attractions, the publication noted.

Gartner Inc. (IT) could earn $8 a share of free clash flow in 2019, and potentially could trade 20 times or more to at least $160, Andrew Peck, a fund manager at Baron Capital Management, tells Barron’s. The tech research and advisory firm closed at $120.79 on Friday. TransUnion (TRU), which closed at $47.81, could rise to the mid $60s by 2019 as it expands its data products from credit to health care, Peck says. Online travel giant Priceline Group Inc. (PCLN), which closed at $1,850 on Friday, could rise to $2,500.

Nathan’s Famous trading at 40%-45% discount – Nathan’s Famous (NATH) has gobbled up share in the premium hot-dog market, while its stock has done well, compounding at 17% a year in the past decade, but the stock is not followed by Wall Street analysts and the company is “poorly understood,” Adam Seessel writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. At a recent $58, Nathan’s trades at a 40%-45% discount to his estimate of intrinsic asset value, he notes.

Most of Harvey insurance money will go to replace flooded cars – A big part of Harvey insurance dollars will go to replace flooded cars, Alex Eule writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Wall Street analysts spent the last few days trying to better understand the transfer of wealth from insurance companies to car makers and auto dealers, with investors quick to pounce on their findings, the publication notes. Publicly traded companies that saw their shares rise include Group 1 Automotive (GPI), AutoNation (AN), and Penske Automotive Group (PAG), Eule adds.

Refiner shares probably volatile, long run opportunity – Hurricane Harvey flooded refineries and forced about a quarter of U.S. capacity off-line, but the damage “didn’t faze Wall Street,” and most refining stocks rose afterward, Avi Salzman writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While this dynamic may be short-lived, and the refiners could give back those gains in the near-term, in the longer-term, U.S. refining stocks are attractive, and people looking to profit from U.S. energy independence should consider buying them, the publication notes. Publicly traded companies in the space include Delek US (DK), HollyFrontier (HFC), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), Andeavor (ANDV), Valero (VLO) and Western Refining (WNR).

BEARISH  MENTIONS

Papa John’s run of underperformance may continue– Papa John’s (PZZA) is lagging behind the S&P 500 this year and, despite a plan to spend $500M to buy back shares, its run of underperformance may continue as competition hits its plans for growth, Leslie Norton writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Competition is everywhere as pizza will increasingly be delivered by Amazon (AMZN) and Uber, she notes, adding also that the choices have expanded dramatically, with chicken nuggets and fries being ordered from McDonald’s (MCD) or soup and a bagel from Panera.

Dialysis providers claim they make no money on patients – Although 88% of dialysis patients are insured by government programs, dialysis providers say they make no money on those patients, Bill Alpert writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. And if private insurers succeed in cutting payments to dialysis firms, either by refusing subsidized premiums or simply reducing reimbursement rates, DaVita (DVA) and American Renal (ARA) will see their profits contract, he notes. Other dialysis providers include Fresenius Medical Care (FMS).


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Harvey’s Winners and Losers

Harvey impact seen as boon for some E&Cs, bane for others

Insurance Stocks down on Harvey. See Stockwinners.com Market Radar for details

As Harvey leaves a path of destruction in Texas, Citi analyst Andrew #Kaplowitz tells investors he sees potential impacts for Engineering & Construction names he covers, both positive and negative.

Meanwhile, his peer at Wells Fargo noted that multiple Houston area refineries have initiated shutdowns or curtailed operations, and may remain offline.

IMPACT FOR E&CS

Commenting on the potential impact of Hurricane Harvey, Citi’s #Kaplowitz noted that he sees potential impacts for his Engineering & Construction names, both positive and negative.

While it is way too early to tell how much ultimate impact the storm will have on the companies he covers, the analyst told investors he thinks there could be modest positive impacts for Jacobs Engineering (JEC), Fluor (FLR) and potentially Aecom (ACM) and for Quanta Services (PWR) and MasTec (MTZ), as E&Cs can assist with recovery and relief.

Additionally, he sees potentially negative impacts for Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI). There are several larger projects still currently under construction on the Texas Gulf Coast and Southern Louisiana that could be significantly impacted by flooding rains, Kaplowitz pointed out, including CBI’s Cameron and Freeport LNG, and Axiall/Lotte Cracker, and Fluor’s CP Chem Ethylene Cracker and Sasol’s Cracker.

Nonetheless, the analyst acknowledged that forecasting any negative impact on these projects would be “highly speculative” at this point.

[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iaqLVm-bEZs?rel=0&controls=0&showinfo=0&w=560&h=315]

ROOFING and BUILDING SUPPLY STOCKS

One primary beneficiary of any natural disaster of this magnitude would be supplier of products that are needed to rebuild. Here are a list of such companies:

  • Beacon Roofing (BECN): The company is a maker of roof shingles
  • Home Depot (HD)
  • Lowes (LOW)
  • Lumber Liquidator (LL)
  • United Rentals (URI)
  • Waste Management (WM)
  • Republic Industries  (RSG)

IMPACT FOR REFINERS

Significant portions of U.S. refining capacity are offline following Category 4 Hurricane Harvey’s landfall on the middle Texas Coast and epic flooding in the Houston area, Wells Fargo’s Roger Read noted.

The analyst told investors that the majority of the refining units from Corpus Christi to Houston, Texas are offline and will remain so for much if not all of the coming week.

With approximately 25% of Gulf Coast refining capacity offline the impact of Hurricane Harvey is on par with prior major hurricane impacts on the Gulf Coast, he contended, adding that disruptions to normal activities may persist, crack spreads are likely to remain elevated and refining equities are likely to respond positively.

Nonetheless, Read noted that it is unclear if the flooding has damaged the refining units. Including condensate splitters, the analyst estimates 2.5-3.0 million barrels per day of refining capacity is offline, which represents just over one-quarter of Gulf Coast capacity and about 15% of U.S. refining capacity. Publicly traded companies in the refining space include Delek US (DK), HollyFrontier (HFC), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), Tesoro (TSO), Valero (VLO) and Western Refining (WNR).

PRICE ACTION

Fluor and Aecom are fractionally up in late morning trading, Quanta Services has gained almost 2%, and MasTec and CBI have risen about 1%. HollyFrontier has jumped almost 7%, while Marathon Petroleum and Philips 66 are up 1% and Valero has gained about 2%.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to StockwinnersStockwinners offers stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings reports that are delivered to your email.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is Bullish on Volkswagen, Bearish on Netflix

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names.

Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin

BULLISH MENTIONS

Dick’s Sporting seen as ‘bargain in retail’s wreckage’ – Value investors should warm up to Dick’s Sporting (DKS), Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While it could be a potential victim of Amazon.com (AMZN) in the long term, weaker sports chains will throw in the towel in the near term, creating cut-rate competition for Dick’s, he notes. Investors who get the timing right on Dick’s stock can profit, Barron’s says.

General Dynamics can still go higher – In a follow-up story, Barron’s writes that General Dynamics (GD) has returned more than 35%, to $198, and it is still valued below its peers. Nonetheless, the stock can go higher as it stands to benefit from new planes, military contracts, and more defense spending, the publication says.

Microsoft could rise 20% in a year – Microsoft (MSFT) has been shifting its decades-old products to the cloud and has shown it can transform itself without injuring its profit margins, Bill Alpert writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Additionally, the company has a “vibrant” computer-game franchise, he notes, adding that the company’s shares could rise 20% or more in a year.

Volkswagen could jump 50% – Volkswagen (VLKAY) looks inexpensive, thanks to improving operating performance, the high value of its luxury brands, a lucrative Chinese joint venture, and an attractive truck business, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Bulls argue that the company’s shares are worth over 50% more of their current price, he notes, adding that one tantalizing idea is a breakup of the company.

BEARISH MENTIONS

Netflix could drop more than 50% – Netflix’s (NFLX) shares could drop more than 50% as Disney (DIS) goes its own way and Amazon (AMZN) looms, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Meanwhile, Facebook (FB) has launched a video service with niche shows covering sports, cooking and more, he points out.

Investors trapped in Teva can use options to get back some money – Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) has recently reported weak earnings, offered dour financial guidance, and cut its dividend by 75%, which are reason to dump the stock, Steven Sears writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. However, some investors are trapped in the rubble, he notes, adding that investors trapped in the stock can use options to get back some of their money.

United Technologies’ $140/share for Rockwell Collins not a bargain – In a follow-up story, Barron’s writes that reports have surfaced that United Technologies (UTX) is considering buying Rockwell Collins (COL), a move that would strengthen the conglomerate’s portfolio as a supplier to aircraft manufacturers in areas like seats, galleys, and cockpit systems. Some analysts think the price would be $140 a share for Rockwell’s stock, which would be no bargain, the publication says.


STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to StockwinnersStockwinners offers stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings reports that are delivered to your email.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is Bullish on Oil, Bearish on Tesla

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue features several names. They include:

Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin

 

BULLISH MENTIONS

Large-cap energy companies in better shape to raise dividends – With oil prices close to $50 a barrel, large-cap energy companies are in better shape to maintain or even raise their dividends than they were a few years ago, when prices collapsed, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Oneok (OKE), Valero Energy (VLO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Phillips 66 (PSX), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and ConocoPhillips (COP) expected to boost their payouts above 2016 levels this year, the publication said.

Delta Air Lines could rise 35% in two years. At $50, Delta’s (DAL) shares trade at about nine times estimated 2017 earnings, which is “inexpensive” for a company looking to post double-digit earnings growth in the coming years, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. The shares could rise 35% in the next two years, Bary notes, adding that a 50% dividend hike in September will lift the yield to 2.4%.

Finisar seen as the ‘most attractive’ Apple iPhone supplier – With the next Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone expected this fall, Wall Street is starting to speculate on the winners, with CEVA (CEVA) joining Cirrus Logic (CRUS) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Among the most talked-about aspects of the next iPhone is augmented reality, Ray notes, adding that possible beneficiaries include Finisar (FNSR), Lumentum Holdings (LITE), II-VI (IIVI), and Viavi Solutions (VIAV). Finisar shares surged in June when it announced quarterly results that included an order for “3-D sensing,” a code name for augmented reality, Barron’s points out.

Southern ‘a good bet’ for investors willing to take on more risk – This year has not been kind to Southern Company (SO) shares, but after Scana’s (SCG) news that it would abandon its plan to build two nuclear reactors in South Carolina, Southern could be a “good bet” for investors willing to take on a little more risk, Ben Levisohn writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Southern could decide to abandon the two plants it has under construction in Georgia, something that would likely be rewarded by the market, #Levisohn adds.

Voya Financial could be worth 30% more – Voya Financial (VOYA) shares have fallen over 13% in the past two years, with Wall Street penalizing the company for a “troubled” legacy variable-annuity business that had made some of the most generous benefit guarantees in the industry, Reshma Kapadia writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. However, there are indications that Voya’s core retirement and investment business is growing, and that management is taking the right steps to reduce risk, Kapadia argues, adding that Voya could be worth at least 30% more than its current market value in the next year.

BEARISH MENTIONS

Slower growth in China could prompt retreat in Copper prices, Barron’s says – Copper is enjoying its biggest rally in months, boosted by increased confidence about global growth and a weaker U.S. dollar., Ira Iosebashvili writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. However, some market participants urge caution, warning that the ground may shift under investors’ feet in the second half of the year, with many concerned about China, Iosebashvili adds. Publicly traded companies in the space include Freeport McMoRan (FCX), BHP Billiton (BHP), Rio Tinto (RIO), Anglo American (NGLOY), Southern Copper (SCCO), and Vale (VALE).

Chipotle (CMG) shares should be avoided, since food-safety
problems might be structural and not coincidental.

Buy Tesla car, not stock – In a follow-up story, Barron’s writes that Tesla (TSLA) shares have outrun most analysts’ reasoned cases for buying the stock. While initial reviews of the Model 3 are glowing, and Tesla reports a remarkable 450,000 in pre-orders, the company’s stock price leaves little on the table, the publication adds.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners. We offer stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings.

The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

 

Jacobs Engineering to Buy Rival CH2M for $3.27 Billion

Jacobs Engineering to acquire CH2M in $3.27B transaction

 Jacobs Engineering to acquire CH2M in $3.27B transaction. See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

Jacobs Engineering (JEC) and CH2M HILL Companies announced that they have entered into a definitive agreement under which Jacobs will acquire all of the outstanding shares of CH2M in a cash and stock transaction with an enterprise value of approximately $3.27B, including approximately $416M of CH2M net debt.

Under the terms of the merger agreement, which has been unanimously approved by the Boards of Directors of both companies, CH2M’s stockholders will have the option to elect to receive either $88.08 in cash, 1.6693 shares of Jacobs common stock or a mix of $52.85 in cash and 0.6677 shares of Jacobs common stock subject to proration such that the aggregate consideration paid to CH2M stockholders will equal 60% cash and 40% Jacobs common stock.

Following the close of the transaction, CH2M stockholders will own 15% of Jacobs shares on a fully diluted basis based on the number of Jacobs shares outstanding. The transaction is not subject to a financing condition.

Jacobs expects to finance the $2.4B cash required for the transaction through a combination of cash on hand, borrowings under the Company’s existing revolving credit facility and $1.2B of new committed 3-year term debt arranged by BNP Paribas and The Bank of Nova Scotia.

Jacobs’ post-close liquidity is expected to remain robust at approximately $900M.

The transaction, which is expected to close in Jacobs’ fiscal 2018 first quarter, is subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals and approval by CH2M stockholders.

Apollo Global Management (APO), which has an approximate 18% voting interest in CH2M, has agreed to vote in favor of the transaction.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to StockwinnersStockwinners offer stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings.

The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

Barron’s is Bullish on Citi, Honeywell, Remains Bearish on Twitter

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue is bullish on several names. They include:

Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin

 

Advance Auto Parts could rally 20%-30% in two years – Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock’s valuation seems to discount a lot of bad news, while ignoring the potential for the company to boost profit margins and spur earnings growth in coming years, Vito Racanelli writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. The shares could rally 20%-30% in the next two years, as earnings rise and the company demonstrates it can hold its own in the face of increasing online competition, he adds.

Citi could rise by 50% – At its first investor day since 2008, Citigroup (C) laid out some ambitious financial targets and Wall Street liked what it heard, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While the company’s shares finished the week up 2%, there could be more upside because Citi offers the combination of a low valuation and what could be the highest earnings growth rate among its peers in the years to come, Barron’s adds. The bank is targeting $9 a share in 2020 earnings, and suggested its stock could hit $100, 48% above the current level, Bary points out.

Honeywell (HON) shares could return 15% next year – If Darius Adamczyk, Honeywell’s new CEO, delivers as expected, the company’s revenue could rise 4% next year, and earnings, 10%, leading to a higher price/earnings ratio and a 15% total return for the shares, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Blue Chips set to boost dividends – The third quarter is shaping up to be a ‘very strong one’ for dividend growth among blue-chip names, Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. IHS Markit expects Mondelez (MDLZ) to announce a 10.5% dividend increase and Intuit (INTU) to declare a hike of 15%, he says. Meanwhile, Microsoft (MSFT) is expected to raise its quarterly dividend by 10.3%, Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) to boost its quarterly payout by nearly 15%, Yum! Brands (YUM) to increase 13.3%, and Accenture (ACN) to boost payout by 10%, Barron’s points out.

BEARISH MENTION

Amazon.com, Alphabet to likely ‘cool off for a while,’ – Last week, Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly sales expectations but showed underwhelming profit and it is not surprising investors would seize upon blemishes in the report as an excuse to take profits, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While there is no fundamental weakness with either company, shares will probably show less upside in the rest of this year than in the first half, he notes.

Barron’s sees ‘no relief in sight’ for Twitter – Twitter (TWTR) is nearly as expensive as Facebook (FB), whose revenue and profit are galloping higher, based on next year’s projected earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. That means Twitter must bounce back quickly, or get bought, or suffer a continuing stock-price decline, perhaps to single digits, Hough argues, adding that the first two outcomes are looking increasingly unlikely.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to Stockwinners. We offer stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings.

The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

KKR, CVC Capital to bid for Azko Nobel unit 

KKR, CVC Capital work on joint bid for Azko Nobel unit 

See Stockwinners.com Market Radar

 

Private equity firms KKR (KKR) and CVC Capital Partners have started to work on a joint bid for the specialty chemicals business of Akzo Nobel (AKZOY) specialty chemicals division, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the situation.

Advent International and Apollo Global Management (APO) are also mulling offers for the unit, which may be valued at over EUR9B or $10.6B.

Akzo Nobel has said it plans to dispose of the unit, part of its defense against PPG Industries Inc.’s unsuccessful 26.9 billion euro takeover bid, and will solicit offers in September.

The sale process is at an early stage and no final decisions have been made, the people said.

Representatives for CVC, KKR, Advent, Apollo, Akzo Nobel declined to comment reports Bloomberg.

TURBULENT TIMES

The company has had a turbulent few months following the PPG offer, which was withdrawn in June.

Chief Executive Officer Ton #Buechner resigned last week for health reasons. That leaves new CEO Thierry #Vanlancker, who joined the company last year, to carry out the ambitious targets Akzo Nobel put forth as its defense against being sold.

Activist investor #Elliott Management Corp., which holds a stake in Akzo Nobel, is attempting to oust the company’s chairman.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to StockwinnersWe offer stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings reports that are delivered to your email.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

China’s Growth Forecast Boosts Miners and Basic Materials

Shares of industrial metal makers, miners surge on IMF’s China comments

Shares of industrial metal makers, miners surge on IMF's China comments. See Stockwinners.com for stocks to buy, stocks to watch, stocks to trade

Shares of industrial metal makers and miners are surging after the latest International Monetary Fund, or #IMF, update.

GLOBAL RECOVERY

The global economic recovery is on solid ground, said the IMF in a report out Monday. “As in our April forecast, the World Economic Outlook Update projects 3.5% growth in global output for this year and 3.6% for next,” the IMF predicted.

CHINA GROWTH CONTINUES

Government policies in China have been the foundation for the recent high growth rates in the country. The IMF has raised its China growth view for 2017 and 2018 by 0.1% and 0.2% points, respectively, to 6.7 % and 6.4%. “But higher growth is coming at the cost of continuing rapid credit expansion and the resulting financial stability risks. China’s recent moves to address nonperforming loans and to coordinate financial oversight, therefore, are welcome,” added the agency.

MUTED EXPECTATIONS FOR US GROWTH

The IMF said the said globally speaking, the critical hindrance to global growth will come from the United States. “Over the next two years, U.S. growth should remain above its longer-run potential growth rate. But we have reduced our forecasts for both 2017 and 2018 to 2.1 percent because near-term U.S. fiscal policy looks less likely to be expansionary than we believed in April,” argued the IMF.

COPPER SURGES

Copper prices jumped to the highest levels since this past February. According to a Citi research note,”Sentiment towards copper from the physical market has improved as fabricators in China have replenished their inventories,” said Reuters.

STOCKS TO WATCH

Shares of metal makers and miners are all higher in afternoon trading, with copper miners Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) up 14% and 3%, respectively. Iron ore miners Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF) is up 5%, with peers Vale S.A. (VALE) and Rio Tinto plc (RIO) both up over 4%. Aluminum makers are also jumping, with Alcoa up almost 2%, with peers Century Aluminum (CENX) up 4% and Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) up fractionally. Shares of United States Steel Corporation (X) are 5% higher.

STOCKWINNERS

To read timely stories similar to this, along with money making trade ideas, sign up for a membership to StockwinnersWe offer stock picks, option picks, daily stock upgrades, stock downgrades, and earnings reports that are delivered to your email.

This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.