Rig Counts Decline!

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Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 1 to 438 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 1 from last week at 438 with oil rigs down 1 to 343, gas rigs unchanged at 94, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

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Rig Counts Decline- See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

The U.S. Rig Count is down 27 rigs from last year’s count of 465, with oil rigs down 35, gas rigs up 9 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 11, down 6 year-over-year.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners
The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 11, down 6 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 1 from last week to 55, with oil rigs unchanged at 17, gas rigs down 1 to 38.

The Canada Rig Count is up 29 rigs from last year’s count of 26, with oil rigs up 9, gas rigs up 20.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $0.45 to $61.88 per barrel. Brent crude is up $0.44 to $65.850 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.99 per gallon.

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Rig Counts Continue to Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 397 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 397 with oil rigs up 7 to 306, gas rigs down 2 to 90, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

Oil Rigs, See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read the latest on oil and rig count
Rig Counts Rise

The U.S. Rig Count is down 393 rigs from last year’s count of 790, with oil rigs down 372, gas rigs down 20 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 17, down 6 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 5 from last week to 176, with oil rigs up 6 to 101, gas rigs down 1 to 75.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners
The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194.

The Canada Rig Count is down 79 rigs from last year’s count of 255, with oil rigs down 71, gas rigs down 8.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets. The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.24 to $59.48 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.34 to $62.50 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.69 per gallon.

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Rig Counts Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 8 to 392 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 8 from last week to 392 with oil rigs up 4 to 299, gas rigs up 4 to 92, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

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Rig Counts Rise – See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

The U.S. Rig Count is down 398 rigs from last year’s count of 790, with oil rigs down 377, gas rigs down 19 and miscellaneous rigs down 2.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners
Offshore Rig Count is unchanged

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 16, down 7 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is down 3 from last week to 171, with oil rigs down 3 to 95, gas rigs unchanged at 76.

The Canada Rig Count is down 86 rigs from last year’s count of 257, with oil rigs down 72, gas rigs down 14.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets. The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 73 cents to $56.95 per barrel. Brent crude is up 50 cents to $59.50 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.65 per gallon.

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Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 8 to 346 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 8 from last week to 346 with oil rigs up 5 to 263, gas rigs up 2 to 81, and miscellaneous rigs up 1 to 2.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 467 rigs from last year’s count of 813, with oil rigs down 422, gas rigs down 44 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 3 to 16, down 8 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 9 from last week to 102, with oil rigs down 11 to 41, gas rigs up 2 to 61.

The Canada Rig Count is down 47 rigs from last year’s count of 149, with oil rigs down 47, gas rigs unchanged.

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Rig Counts Rise – See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

Baker Hughes has issued the rotary rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Baker Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of U.S. and Canadian drilling activity.  Baker Hughes initiated the monthly international rig count in 1975. The North American rig count is released weekly at noon Central Time on the last day of the work week. The international rig count will be released on the last working day of the first week of the month.

The Baker Hughes Rig Counts are an important business barometer for the drilling industry and its suppliers. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for products used in drilling, completing, producing and processing hydrocarbons.

Brent crude is up $0.69 to $52.19 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is up $0.69 to $49.05 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.40 per gallon, up one cent.

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Rig Counts Decline!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 2 to 310 rigs, breaking the nine-week string of gains

Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. rig count is down 2 from last week to 310 with oil rigs down 5 to 231, gas rigs up 3 to 76, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

Baker Hughes has been reporting weekly rig counts for more than 50 years

The U.S. Rig Count is down 493 rigs from last year’s count of 803, with oil rigs down 440, gas rigs down 53 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 12, down 10 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 12 from last week to 101, with oil rigs up 3 to 42, gas rigs up 9 to 59.

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Rig Counts Fall – See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

The Canada Rig Count is down 36 rigs from last year’s count of 137, with oil rigs down 44, gas rigs up 8.

Brent crude is up $0.50 to $44.70 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is up $0.29 to $42.18 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.17 per gallon, up one cent.

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Rig Counts Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 287 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 287 with oil rigs up 6 to 211, gas rigs down 1 to 73, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

Baker Hughes has been reporting weekly rig counts for more than 50 years

The U.S. Rig Count is down 543 rigs from last year’s count of 830, with oil rigs down 485, gas rigs down 60 and miscellaneous rigs up 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 13, down 8 year-over-year.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners
An international offshore rig

The Canada Rig Count is up 3 from last week to 83, with oil rigs up 2 to 42, gas rigs up 1 to 41.

The Canada Rig Count is down 64 rigs from last year’s count of 147, with oil rigs down 60, gas rigs down 4.

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Rig Counts Rise – See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

Brent crude is down $0.84 to $41.62 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is down $0.93 to $39.70 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.13 per gallon down three cents.

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American Airlines to fire 19,000 employees

American Airlines plans to cut 19,000 jobs if federal aid lapses, cuts to take effect October 1

In a regulatory filing, American Airlines (AAL) said:

“In short, American’s team will have at least 40,000 fewer people working Oct. 1 than we had when we entered this pandemic. We have worked to mitigate as many involuntary reductions as possible through voluntary programs.

Company says it will have 40,000 less employees on October 1

Across the mainline and regional carriers, more than 12,500 of our colleagues have made the difficult decision to leave the company permanently through early out programs or retirement.

Another 11,000 team members have offered to be on a leave of absence in October.

These are important life decisions and we respect and greatly appreciate the sacrifice these team members have made, and continue to make, for American and their fellow team members.

The pandemic has hurt airline the most

Even with those sacrifices, approximately 19,000 of our team members will be involuntarily furloughed or separated from the company on Oct. 1, unless there is an extension of the PSP…

The one possibility of avoiding these involuntary reductions on Oct. 1 is a clean extension of the PSP. Led by your labor unions, with the support of the industry, we have generated enormous bipartisan support for such an extension.

The overwhelming majority of members of both the U.S. House and Senate appreciate that saving jobs in the airline industry through this crisis will mean a quicker economic recovery in the months and years ahead.

And that preserving these essential service jobs will also mean continued commercial air service to all communities, small and large. But, despite this broad bipartisan support, a PSP extension is tied up in a larger COVID-19 relief package, which our elected officials haven’t yet been able to negotiate.

So we must prepare for the possibility that our nation’s leadership will not be able to find a way to further support aviation professionals and the service we provide, especially to smaller communities.”

AAL is down $0.45 to $13.00.

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American Airlines raises money!

American to sell more than $1.5B in shares, borrows $500M

American Airlines (AAL) announced proposed underwritten public offerings of $750,000,000 of shares of its common stock and $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of its convertible senior notes due 2025.

The company intends to grant the underwriters of the offerings a 30-day option to purchase, in whole or in part, up to $112,500,000 of additional shares of Common Stock in the Common Stock Offering and a 30-day option to purchase, in whole or in part, up to $112,500,000 aggregate principal amount of additional Convertible Notes in the Convertible Notes Offering, in each case solely to cover over-allotments, if any.

The company expects to use the net proceeds from the Common Stock Offering and the Convertible Notes Offering for general corporate purposes and to enhance the company’s liquidity position.

The company also announced it intends to enter into a new $500M Term Loan B Facility due 2024 concurrently with the closing of the offering of the Notes.

12-Month chart of American Airlines stock

The company expects to use a portion of the net proceeds from the offering of the Notes and borrowings under the Term Loan to refinance its delayed draw term loan facility which the company and the Guarantor entered into on March 18, 2020 and is scheduled to mature on March 17, 2021, with the remainder for general corporate purposes and to enhance the company’s liquidity position.

AAL closed at $16.00.

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Boeing 737-Max Recertification Flight is set for later this month

Boeing 737-Max Recertification Flight is scheduled for later this month

Boeing (BA) is targeting late June for a recertification flight on the grounded 737 Max, Bloomberg’s Alan Levin and Julie Johnsson report.

Boeing 737-Max recertification flight set for late June

The company separately is notifying airlines of an important fix to the grounded jetliner’s wiring, said two people familiar with the planning who asked not to be named discussing sensitive matters.

A draft of revised pilot training for the plane, which has been parked around the world since March 2019 as a result of two fatal crashes that killed 346 people, is also being shared with airlines, the people said.

Grounded 737-Max planes

The moves were strong indications that Boeing is finally nearing the end of the jet’s 15-month grounding and controversy that has engulfed the company after the two fatal crashes.

The flight by Federal Aviation Administration pilots to certify that the plane meets safety regulations is one of the critical remaining milestones. However, the people cautioned that the date hasn’t been finalized and has shifted repeatedly as Boeing completed its final work for regulators.

Boeing’s goal has been to return the 737 Max, a critical source of revenue, to commercial service in the third quarter. The company restarted manufacturing the single-aisle jet late last month, ending a five-month halt to work in its 737 factory in the Seattle suburb of Renton, Washington.

The company is revising a software system implicated in the two crashes that repeatedly drove down the noses of the jets due to a malfunction. Reviews of the plane’s safety following its March 13, 2019, grounding also discovered additional flaws that needed upgrading, including its flight-control computer, how electrical wires were bundled and software issues.

The FAA on Wednesday said it won’t approve the plane for passenger service until it is satisfied that all safety-related issues have been addressed.

BA is down 5% to $206.00

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American Airlines reports improved bookings, Shares fly!

American Airlines to fly 55% of July 2019 domestic capacity in July 2020

American Airlines (AAL) announced that, “in response to improving demand for air travel,” American is planning to fly 55% of its domestic schedule and nearly 20% of its international schedule in July 2020 compared to the same period last year.

The airline’s July systemwide capacity amounts to approximately 40% of July 2019 flying.

The company added: “American saw an increase in demand in May. By the last week of May, the airline carried a daily average of about 110,000 customers per day – an increase of 71% over the approximately 32,000 average daily customers the airline served in April.

Compared to the spring, American is increasing frequency of flying from hubs, including Dallas Fort Worth International Airport and Charlotte Douglas International Airport to destinations customers are searching and booking most, with increased flying to major cities in Florida, Gulf Coast cities as well as mountain destinations.

AAL shares jump 35% on improved bookings

The airline also increased frequency of flying to Asheville, North Carolina, Savannah, Georgia, and Charleston, South Carolina for business and leisure travelers.”

The firm  said: “While international demand continued to be diminished, today marked the return of service to eight international destinations.

These include service from Dallas-Fort Worth to Amsterdam, Paris and Frankfurt, as well as service from Miami to Antigua in the Caribbean and Guayaquil and Quito in South America. American also restored additional service to London from Chicago and New York. 

The airline said: “American Airlines will begin reopening Admirals Club lounges in phases, beginning June 22, after making improvements to adapt the clubs and product offerings to reinforce the well-being of customers and everyone who works in the clubs…

American will continue to adhere to CDC guidelines, use enhanced cleaning measures and provide limited food and beverage offerings to help ensure the well-being of customers and team members.”

AAL is up 35% to $16.05.

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ExxonMobil to increase its Permian Basin output

Exxon Mobil to increase Permian output to 1M barrels per day by 2024

ExxonMobil to increase its Permian Basin output, Stockwinners

ExxonMobil (XOM) said it has revised its Permian Basin growth plans to produce more than 1 million oil-equivalent barrels per day by as early as 2024 – an increase of nearly 80 percent and a significant acceleration of value.

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ExxonMobil expects to make 10% return on its Permian Basin fields at $35 per barrel oil, Stockwinners

The size of the company’s resource base in the Permian is approximately 10 billion oil-equivalent barrels and is likely to grow further as analysis and development activities continue.

ExxonMobil’s investments in the Permian Basin are expected to produce double-digit returns, even at low oil prices.

At a $35 per barrel oil price, for example, Permian production will have an average return of more than 10 percent.

The anticipated increase in production will be supported by further evaluation of ExxonMobil’s Delaware Basin’s increased resource size, infrastructure development plans, and secured capacity to transport oil and gas to ExxonMobil’s Gulf Coast refineries and petrochemical operations through the Wink-to-Webster, Permian Highway and Double E pipelines.

Among the company’s key advantages in the Permian, is its acreage position.

The company has large, contiguous acreage that enables multi-well pads in large development corridors connecting to efficient gathering systems, reducing development costs and accelerating production growth.

ExxonMobil’s scale, financial capacity and technical capabilities enable the company to maximize the value of the resource. ExxonMobil is actively building infrastructure to support volume growth.

Plans include construction at 30 sites to enhance oil and gas processing, water handling and ensure takeaway capacity from the basin. Construction activities include central delivery facilities designed to handle up to 600,000 barrels of oil and 1 billion cubic feet of gas per day and enhanced water-handling capacity through 350 miles of already-constructed pipeline.

The investment plans will also bring great benefits to the local area. ExxonMobil’s expansion in the region will benefit communities in West Texas and southeast New Mexico through billions in property tax revenue, economic development and the creation of high-paying jobs.

ExxonMobil remains one of the most active operators in the Permian Basin and has 48 drilling rigs currently in operation and plans to increase its rig count to approximately 55 by the end of the year.

Increased use of technology, including enhanced subsurface characterization, subsurface modeling and advanced data analytics to support optimization and automation, will help the company reduce costs, improve its development plan and increase resource recovery.

Crude oil is up 5 cents to $56.64 per barrel. XOM last traded at $80.22.

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International rig counts rise

Baker Hughes reports January international rig count up by 6 to 960 rigs

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Rig Counts Rise

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reported international rig count for January 2018 was 960, up 6 from the 954 counted in December 2017, and up 27 from the 933 counted in January 2017.

The international offshore rig count for January 2018 was 196, up 5 from the 191 counted in December 2017, and down 10 from the 206 counted in January 2017.

The average US rig count for January 2018 was 937, up 7 from the 930 counted in December 2017, and up 254 from the 683 counted in January 2017.

The average Canadian rig count for January 2018 was 278, up 73 from the 205 counted in December 2017, and down 24 from the 302 counted in January 2017.

The worldwide rig count for January 2018 was 2,175, up 86 from the 2,089 counted in December 2017, and up 257 from the 1,918 counted in January 2017.

WTI crude is down 33 cents to $63.06 pr barrel.


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Midstates Petroleum proposes merger with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum proposes all-stock combination with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum calls for merger with SandRidge Energy. Stockwinners.com
Midstates Petroleum calls for merger with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum Company (MPO) announced that it has proposed to combine with SandRidge Energy (SD) in an all-stock merger that would create the leading exploration and production company in the Mississippian Lime play.

Earlier today, Midstates sent a letter to the Board of Directors of SandRidge detailing the merger proposal and its strong desire to negotiate a friendly transaction.

Given the highly complementary nature of the businesses, significant shareholder overlap, and the substantial operational synergies, Midstates believes that the proposed combination is attractive strategically and financially for the shareholders of both companies.

Under the terms of the proposal, SandRidge shareholders would own approximately 60% of the combined company and Midstates shareholders would own 40%.

David J. Sambrooks, Midstates President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “We are ready to move forward immediately to negotiate a merger agreement to form a stronger, more formidable company.

The combined company will have zero net debt, strong liquidity, and forecasted free cash flow generation of up to $480 million over the next five years.”

Sambrooks continued, “Combining these two businesses in an at-market merger would bring undeniable benefits to shareholders of both companies.

The strategic fit and geographic overlap of both companies’ assets in the Miss Lime and NW STACK builds critical mass, creates significant synergies, and generates superior, risk-adjusted returns.”

Midstates is making this proposal public to inform both Midstates and SandRidge shareholders of the compelling value creation potential of the combination and to encourage SandRidge’s board to move towards a negotiated transaction.

MPO closed at $15.45. SD closed at $16.50.


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Barron’s is bullish on Danaher and GM

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:  

Stockwinners offers Barron's review of Stockwinners offers stocks to buy, stocks to watch, upgrades, downgrades, earnings, Stocks to Buy On Margin
Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy, stocks to watch

BULLISH   MENTIONS:

Danaher among more reliable stocks– Danaher’s (DHR) results were met with cries of sell even though they were stellar as ever, sending the shares into negative territory on Monday, Ben Levisohn writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Fast-forward to Friday, the stock market was in freefall but the stock weathered the blast, he notes, adding that there is something to be said for Danaher’s consistency. While it will never be the fastest grower, it has grown sales at 4%-5%, quarter after quarter, while cutting costs and improving efficiency to grow earnings, making it one of the more reliable stocks out there, the report says.

General Motors shares could rise more than 35% – General Motors (GM) has been turning in strong profits, which have helped it fund research into autonomous and electric cars, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. When Tesla’s (TSLA) stock-market value surpassed General Motors last year, it was big news, but recently the latter has edged back into the top spot, he adds. Selling at just seven times forward earnings, General Motors shares have room to rise more than 35% in the year ahead, Hough contends.

Cisco, Oracle among stocks with rising dividend estimates – Some of the large-cap companies whose dividend estimates for their current fiscal year have increased by at least 2% since July include Cisco (CSCO), Texas Instruments (TXN), UnitedHealth (UNH), Oracle (ORCL), Comcast (CMCSA), 3M (MMM), AbbVie (ABBV), Boeing (BA), Union Pacific (UNP), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and JPMorgan (JPM), Lawrence Strauss writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

TD Ameritrade adding round-the-clock trading – TD Ameritrade  (AMTD) is offering customers more social media capabilities and has added round-the-clock trading in 12 exchange-traded funds, from Sunday evening through Friday evening using its thinkorswim trading platform or TD Ameritrade Mobile Trader app, Theresa Carey writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.

Apple, Facebook facing challenges, shares still holding up well – Considering the challenges they face, both Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB) shares held up well, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Apple offered a forecast for its March quarter that missed expectations, and Wall Street now thinks that the company is reaching a bit too far in pricing the iPhone X at $999-$1150, he notes. Nonetheless, Apple is still an empire very much in control of its destiny, Ray contends. Meanwhile, Facebook said people are spending less time than before on the site, but Mark Zuckerberg calmly assured the Street that he thinks it is a good thing, the report points out.

Cisco, Salesforce among most sustainable companies – Cisco (CSCO) tops Barron’s first annual list of most sustainable companies, followed by Salesforce (CRM), Best Buy (BBY), Intuit (INTU), HP Inc. (HPQ), Texas Instruments (TXN), Microsoft (MSFT), Oshkosh (OSK), Clorox (CLX) and Xylem (XYL).

Spirit Air offers plenty of potential upside – Following a steep decline, shares of Spirit Airlines (SAVE) now trade for less than 12 times forward earnings estimates, a good value or growth play, Brett Arends writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Long-term investors may need to be patient because short-term headwinds pop up so frequently for airline stocks, but in return for its risks, Spirit offers reasonable valuations and plenty of potential upside, he argues

BEARISH  MENTIONS:

Musk new compensation package sets wrong targets – Tesla’s  (TSLA) new 10-year compensation package, which considers that Elon Musk could grow the company’s market capitalization from the current $58B to $650B in 2028, is not shareholder-friendly as it emphasizes market cap goals, not sustainable profits, Vito Racanelli writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s.


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United to increase capacity by 5 percent

United’s plan to increase capacity drags down airline stocks 

United plan to increase capacity by 5%. Stockwinners.com
United plan to increase capacity by 5%.

Shares of United Continental (UAL) are sliding after the company said in its earnings conference call that it plans to grow capacity by 4%-6% in 2018, likely threatening its profit margin.

This comes as United looks for a competitive edge in its fight against low-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines (LUV) and JetBlue (JBLU).

This morning, Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth downgraded United to a neutral-equivalent rating.

RESULTS, OUTLOOK

Last night, United Continental reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.40 and revenue of $9.4B, with consensus at $1.34 and $9.42B, respectively.

The company also said Q4 2017 consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile was up 0.2% compared to Q4 2016.

Additionally, the carrier noted it sees 2018 capacity growth of 4%-6%, and a similar growth rate in 2019 and 2020.

United expects 2018 EPS to be $6.50-$8.50 and sees 2018 capital expenditures of $3.6B-$3.8B.

CAPACITY CONCERNS

In a research note to investors this morning, Evercore ISI’s #Pfennigwerth downgraded United Continental to In Line from Outperform, with a $75 price target, following its quarterly report.

The analyst noted that while United’s belief appears as high as ever in the view that restoring domestic share in its hubs is the shortest path to margin expansion, the “biggest missing ingredient” from its presentation was any evidence that the strategy is working.

The company’s higher growth pitch likely plays well with labor ahead of another round of contract negotiations in 2019 but limits broader participation from longer term investors seeking confidence at this point in the cycle, he contended.

Furthermore, the analyst argued that growth acceleration following poor pricing execution in 2017 and in the face of a significantly higher fuel curve is “surprising.”

Meanwhile, his peer at Stephens also voiced concern over the company’s capacity growth plans. While analyst Jack #Atkins acknowledged that he was encouraged that United issued both 2018 and long-term EPS guidance, he believes its plan to grow its system capacity by 4%-6% for each of the next three years is “concerning” as it implies about 6%-8% growth in the domestic market.

This level of capacity growth risks muting unit revenue growth in the market as well as potentially sparking a competitive response from one of United’s network peers, Atkins added.

The analyst told investors he expects the group to come under pressure as investors work to determine who has the most exposure to its incremental capacity growth and what it means for domestic revenue trends for the industry. He reiterated and Equal Weight rating and $78 price target on United Continental shares.

REMAINS TOP PICK

In a note of his own, UBS analyst Darryl #Genovesi told investors he expects estimates for United Continental to move higher over the next few days and that he came away from the company’s guidance meeting more positive on the fundamental go-forward strategy.

The analyst pointed out that he believes the capacity concerns will likely get swept under the rug if industry RASM continues to be strong. Genovesi reiterated a Buy rating and $90 price target on United shares.

PRICE ACTION

UAL is down 10.5% to $69.80.


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