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February 7, 2022

Frontier buys Spirit Airlines

Frontier, Spirit to combine in deal that implies $25.83 per Spirit share

Spirit Airlines (SAVE) and Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) announced a definitive merger agreement under which the companies will combine, creating America’s most competitive ultra-low fare airline.

Under the terms of the merger agreement, which has been unanimously approved by the boards of directors of both companies, Spirit equity holders will receive 1.9126 shares of Frontier plus $2.13 in cash for each existing Spirit share they own.

This implies a value of $25.83 per Spirit share at Frontier’s closing stock price of $12.39 on February 4, 2022, representing a premium of 19% over the February 4, 2022, closing price of Spirit, and a 26% premium based on the 30 trading-day volume-weighted average prices of Frontier and Spirit.

The transaction values Spirit at a fully diluted equity value of $2.9B, and a transaction value of $6.6B when accounting for the assumption of net debt and operating lease liabilities.

Upon closing of the transaction, existing Frontier equity holders will own approximately 51.5% and existing Spirit equity holders will own approximately 48.5% of the combined airline, on a fully diluted basis, providing both Frontier and Spirit equity holders with substantial upside potential.

The Board of Directors for the new airline will be comprised of 12 directors (including the CEO), seven of whom will be named by Frontier and five of whom will be named by Spirit.

Bill Franke, CEO of the Indigo Partners, will be Chairman of the Board of the combined company.

The merger is expected to close in the second half of 2022, subject to satisfaction of customary closing conditions, including completion of the regulatory review process and approval by Spirit stockholders.

Frontier’s controlling stockholder has approved the transaction and related issuance of shares of Frontier common stock upon signing of the merger agreement.

The combined company’s management team, branding and headquarters will be determined by a committee led by Franke prior to close.

Separately, Spirit reported Q4 revenue $987.56M, consensus $963.15M.

“Our fourth quarter 2021 results came in better-than-expected, despite the negative impact from Omicron-related flight disruptions, primarily due to very strong demand over the peak December holiday period. I want to thank the entire Spirit team for their professionalism and commitment to providing excellent service to our Guests,” said Ted Christie, Spirit’s president and CEO.

Ted Christie, Spirit’s president and CEO

Spirit Airlines is up 15.9%, or $3.46 to $25.20. Frontier Group is up 14 cents to $12.81.

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This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

April 23, 2021

Rig Counts Decline!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 1 to 438 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 1 from last week at 438 with oil rigs down 1 to 343, gas rigs unchanged at 94, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 27 rigs from last year’s count of 465, with oil rigs down 35, gas rigs up 9 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 11, down 6 year-over-year.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners — The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 11, down 6 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 1 from last week to 55, with oil rigs unchanged at 17, gas rigs down 1 to 38.

The Canada Rig Count is up 29 rigs from last year’s count of 26, with oil rigs up 9, gas rigs up 20.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $0.45 to $61.88 per barrel. Brent crude is up $0.44 to $65.850 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.99 per gallon.

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February 12, 2021

Rig Counts Continue to Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 397 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 397 with oil rigs up 7 to 306, gas rigs down 2 to 90, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

Oil Rigs, See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read the latest on oil and rig count — Rig Counts Rise

The U.S. Rig Count is down 393 rigs from last year’s count of 790, with oil rigs down 372, gas rigs down 20 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 17, down 6 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 5 from last week to 176, with oil rigs up 6 to 101, gas rigs down 1 to 75.

The Canada Rig Count is down 79 rigs from last year’s count of 255, with oil rigs down 71, gas rigs down 8.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets. The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.24 to $59.48 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.34 to $62.50 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.69 per gallon.

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February 5, 2021

Rig Counts Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 8 to 392 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 8 from last week to 392 with oil rigs up 4 to 299, gas rigs up 4 to 92, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 398 rigs from last year’s count of 790, with oil rigs down 377, gas rigs down 19 and miscellaneous rigs down 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 16, down 7 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is down 3 from last week to 171, with oil rigs down 3 to 95, gas rigs unchanged at 76.

The Canada Rig Count is down 86 rigs from last year’s count of 257, with oil rigs down 72, gas rigs down 14.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 73 cents to $56.95 per barrel. Brent crude is up 50 cents to $59.50 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.65 per gallon.

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December 18, 2020

Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 8 to 346 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 8 from last week to 346 with oil rigs up 5 to 263, gas rigs up 2 to 81, and miscellaneous rigs up 1 to 2.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 467 rigs from last year’s count of 813, with oil rigs down 422, gas rigs down 44 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 3 to 16, down 8 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 9 from last week to 102, with oil rigs down 11 to 41, gas rigs up 2 to 61.

The Canada Rig Count is down 47 rigs from last year’s count of 149, with oil rigs down 47, gas rigs unchanged.

Baker Hughes has issued the rotary rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Baker Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. Baker Hughes initiated the monthly international rig count in 1975. The North American rig count is released weekly at noon Central Time on the last day of the work week. The international rig count will be released on the last working day of the first week of the month.

The Baker Hughes Rig Counts are an important business barometer for the drilling industry and its suppliers. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for products used in drilling, completing, producing and processing hydrocarbons.

Brent crude is up $0.69 to $52.19 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is up $0.69 to $49.05 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.40 per gallon, up one cent.

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November 20, 2020November 20, 2020

Rig Counts Decline!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 2 to 310 rigs, breaking the nine-week string of gains

Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. rig count is down 2 from last week to 310 with oil rigs down 5 to 231, gas rigs up 3 to 76, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

*Baker Hughes has been reporting weekly rig counts for more than 50 years*

The U.S. Rig Count is down 493 rigs from last year’s count of 803, with oil rigs down 440, gas rigs down 53 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 12, down 10 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 12 from last week to 101, with oil rigs up 3 to 42, gas rigs up 9 to 59.

The Canada Rig Count is down 36 rigs from last year’s count of 137, with oil rigs down 44, gas rigs up 8.

Brent crude is up $0.50 to $44.70 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is up $0.29 to $42.18 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.17 per gallon, up one cent.

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October 23, 2020

Rig Counts Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 287 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 287 with oil rigs up 6 to 211, gas rigs down 1 to 73, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 543 rigs from last year’s count of 830, with oil rigs down 485, gas rigs down 60 and miscellaneous rigs up 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 to 13, down 8 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 3 from last week to 83, with oil rigs up 2 to 42, gas rigs up 1 to 41.

The Canada Rig Count is down 64 rigs from last year’s count of 147, with oil rigs down 60, gas rigs down 4.

Brent crude is down $0.84 to $41.62 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is down $0.93 to $39.70 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.13 per gallon down three cents.

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June 10, 2020

Boeing 737-Max Recertification Flight is set for later this month

Boeing 737-Max Recertification Flight is scheduled for later this month

Boeing (BA) is targeting late June for a recertification flight on the grounded 737 Max, Bloomberg’s Alan Levin and Julie Johnsson report.

Boeing 737-Max recertification flight set for late June

The company separately is notifying airlines of an important fix to the grounded jetliner’s wiring, said two people familiar with the planning who asked not to be named discussing sensitive matters.

A draft of revised pilot training for the plane, which has been parked around the world since March 2019 as a result of two fatal crashes that killed 346 people, is also being shared with airlines, the people said.

The moves were strong indications that Boeing is finally nearing the end of the jet’s 15-month grounding and controversy that has engulfed the company after the two fatal crashes.

The flight by Federal Aviation Administration pilots to certify that the plane meets safety regulations is one of the critical remaining milestones. However, the people cautioned that the date hasn’t been finalized and has shifted repeatedly as Boeing completed its final work for regulators.

Boeing’s goal has been to return the 737 Max, a critical source of revenue, to commercial service in the third quarter. The company restarted manufacturing the single-aisle jet late last month, ending a five-month halt to work in its 737 factory in the Seattle suburb of Renton, Washington.

The company is revising a software system implicated in the two crashes that repeatedly drove down the noses of the jets due to a malfunction. Reviews of the plane’s safety following its March 13, 2019, grounding also discovered additional flaws that needed upgrading, including its flight-control computer, how electrical wires were bundled and software issues.

The FAA on Wednesday said it won’t approve the plane for passenger service until it is satisfied that all safety-related issues have been addressed.

BA is down 5% to $206.00

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March 5, 2019March 5, 2019

ExxonMobil to increase its Permian Basin output

Exxon Mobil to increase Permian output to 1M barrels per day by 2024

ExxonMobil (XOM) said it has revised its Permian Basin growth plans to produce more than 1 million oil-equivalent barrels per day by as early as 2024 – an increase of nearly 80 percent and a significant acceleration of value.

The size of the company’s resource base in the Permian is approximately 10 billion oil-equivalent barrels and is likely to grow further as analysis and development activities continue.

ExxonMobil’s investments in the Permian Basin are expected to produce double-digit returns, even at low oil prices.

At a $35 per barrel oil price, for example, Permian production will have an average return of more than 10 percent.

The anticipated increase in production will be supported by further evaluation of ExxonMobil’s Delaware Basin’s increased resource size, infrastructure development plans, and secured capacity to transport oil and gas to ExxonMobil’s Gulf Coast refineries and petrochemical operations through the Wink-to-Webster, Permian Highway and Double E pipelines.

Among the company’s key advantages in the Permian, is its acreage position.

The company has large, contiguous acreage that enables multi-well pads in large development corridors connecting to efficient gathering systems, reducing development costs and accelerating production growth.

ExxonMobil’s scale, financial capacity and technical capabilities enable the company to maximize the value of the resource. ExxonMobil is actively building infrastructure to support volume growth.

Plans include construction at 30 sites to enhance oil and gas processing, water handling and ensure takeaway capacity from the basin. Construction activities include central delivery facilities designed to handle up to 600,000 barrels of oil and 1 billion cubic feet of gas per day and enhanced water-handling capacity through 350 miles of already-constructed pipeline.

The investment plans will also bring great benefits to the local area. ExxonMobil’s expansion in the region will benefit communities in West Texas and southeast New Mexico through billions in property tax revenue, economic development and the creation of high-paying jobs.

ExxonMobil remains one of the most active operators in the Permian Basin and has 48 drilling rigs currently in operation and plans to increase its rig count to approximately 55 by the end of the year.

Increased use of technology, including enhanced subsurface characterization, subsurface modeling and advanced data analytics to support optimization and automation, will help the company reduce costs, improve its development plan and increase resource recovery.

Crude oil is up 5 cents to $56.64 per barrel. XOM last traded at $80.22.

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February 7, 2018

International rig counts rise

Baker Hughes reports January international rig count up by 6 to 960 rigs

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reported international rig count for January 2018 was 960, up 6 from the 954 counted in December 2017, and up 27 from the 933 counted in January 2017.

The international offshore rig count for January 2018 was 196, up 5 from the 191 counted in December 2017, and down 10 from the 206 counted in January 2017.

The average US rig count for January 2018 was 937, up 7 from the 930 counted in December 2017, and up 254 from the 683 counted in January 2017.

The average Canadian rig count for January 2018 was 278, up 73 from the 205 counted in December 2017, and down 24 from the 302 counted in January 2017.

The worldwide rig count for January 2018 was 2,175, up 86 from the 2,089 counted in December 2017, and up 257 from the 1,918 counted in January 2017.

WTI crude is down 33 cents to $63.06 pr barrel.

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February 6, 2018

Midstates Petroleum proposes merger with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum proposes all-stock combination with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum calls for merger with SandRidge Energy

Midstates Petroleum Company (MPO) announced that it has proposed to combine with SandRidge Energy (SD) in an all-stock merger that would create the leading exploration and production company in the Mississippian Lime play.

Earlier today, Midstates sent a letter to the Board of Directors of SandRidge detailing the merger proposal and its strong desire to negotiate a friendly transaction.

Given the highly complementary nature of the businesses, significant shareholder overlap, and the substantial operational synergies, Midstates believes that the proposed combination is attractive strategically and financially for the shareholders of both companies.

Under the terms of the proposal, SandRidge shareholders would own approximately 60% of the combined company and Midstates shareholders would own 40%.

David J. Sambrooks, Midstates President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “We are ready to move forward immediately to negotiate a merger agreement to form a stronger, more formidable company.

The combined company will have zero net debt, strong liquidity, and forecasted free cash flow generation of up to $480 million over the next five years.”

Sambrooks continued, “Combining these two businesses in an at-market merger would bring undeniable benefits to shareholders of both companies.

The strategic fit and geographic overlap of both companies’ assets in the Miss Lime and NW STACK builds critical mass, creates significant synergies, and generates superior, risk-adjusted returns.”

Midstates is making this proposal public to inform both Midstates and SandRidge shareholders of the compelling value creation potential of the combination and to encourage SandRidge’s board to move towards a negotiated transaction.

MPO closed at $15.45. SD closed at $16.50.

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January 24, 2018

United to increase capacity by 5 percent

United’s plan to increase capacity drags down airline stocks

United plan to increase capacity by 5%. Stockwinners.com — United plan to increase capacity by 5%.

Shares of United Continental (UAL) are sliding after the company said in its earnings conference call that it plans to grow capacity by 4%-6% in 2018, likely threatening its profit margin.

This comes as United looks for a competitive edge in its fight against low-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines (LUV) and JetBlue (JBLU).

This morning, Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth downgraded United to a neutral-equivalent rating.

RESULTS, OUTLOOK

Last night, United Continental reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.40 and revenue of $9.4B, with consensus at $1.34 and $9.42B, respectively.

The company also said Q4 2017 consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile was up 0.2% compared to Q4 2016.

Additionally, the carrier noted it sees 2018 capacity growth of 4%-6%, and a similar growth rate in 2019 and 2020.

United expects 2018 EPS to be $6.50-$8.50 and sees 2018 capital expenditures of $3.6B-$3.8B.

CAPACITY CONCERNS

In a research note to investors this morning, Evercore ISI’s #Pfennigwerth downgraded United Continental to In Line from Outperform, with a $75 price target, following its quarterly report.

The analyst noted that while United’s belief appears as high as ever in the view that restoring domestic share in its hubs is the shortest path to margin expansion, the “biggest missing ingredient” from its presentation was any evidence that the strategy is working.

The company’s higher growth pitch likely plays well with labor ahead of another round of contract negotiations in 2019 but limits broader participation from longer term investors seeking confidence at this point in the cycle, he contended.

Furthermore, the analyst argued that growth acceleration following poor pricing execution in 2017 and in the face of a significantly higher fuel curve is “surprising.”

Meanwhile, his peer at Stephens also voiced concern over the company’s capacity growth plans. While analyst Jack #Atkins acknowledged that he was encouraged that United issued both 2018 and long-term EPS guidance, he believes its plan to grow its system capacity by 4%-6% for each of the next three years is “concerning” as it implies about 6%-8% growth in the domestic market.

This level of capacity growth risks muting unit revenue growth in the market as well as potentially sparking a competitive response from one of United’s network peers, Atkins added.

The analyst told investors he expects the group to come under pressure as investors work to determine who has the most exposure to its incremental capacity growth and what it means for domestic revenue trends for the industry. He reiterated and Equal Weight rating and $78 price target on United Continental shares.

REMAINS TOP PICK

In a note of his own, UBS analyst Darryl #Genovesi told investors he expects estimates for United Continental to move higher over the next few days and that he came away from the company’s guidance meeting more positive on the fundamental go-forward strategy.

The analyst pointed out that he believes the capacity concerns will likely get swept under the rug if industry RASM continues to be strong. Genovesi reiterated a Buy rating and $90 price target on United shares.

PRICE ACTION

UAL is down 10.5% to $69.80.

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December 3, 2017

Barron’s is bullish on Salesforce.com

Barron’s, the weekly publication owned by the Wall Street Journal, in its latest issue mentions several names:

Stockwinners offers Barron’s review of stocks to buy, stocks to watch

BULLISH MENTIONS

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) could rise further – In a follow-up story, Barron’s notes that Johnson & Johnson’s shares had a blockbuster year, as concerns about its big rheumatoid-arthritis drug Remicade proved too pessimistic, but shares could rise almost 20% as investors view the company’s drug pipeline in a new light.

Companies trading mostly in U.S. to benefit from tax reform – Investors in companies that trade mostly in the U.S. such as Southwest Airlines (LUV) should benefit greatly from what is arguably the signature provision of the tax reform bill, namely a drop in the federal corporate tax rate, John Kimelman writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Tech giants such as Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) should experience a huge windfall from the legislation’s provision that could set the rate on the taxes of foreign earnings held in cash as low as 10%, thus encouraging repatriation, he says.

Transfer Partners situation to be resolved by 2019/2020 – Master limited partnerships have been dogged for the past several years by investor concerns, with Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) being one of the worst-performing large MLPs, Andrew Bary writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Its unit price has tumbled since the merger with Sunoco Logistics, even as the units of its sister company, Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) have held steady, he adds. The endgame probably will be a merger of the two companies, or an equity buyout of the IDRs by Energy Transfer Partners, Barron’s contends.

Start-ups dwelling in tech giants shadow – Tech giants such as Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) and Apple (AAPL) show no signs of slowing down, increasingly calling the shots in tech in a way that limits the scope within which small companies operate, Tiernan Ray writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. While many start-ups show promise but “dwell in the shadow of the giants,” he adds. Commenting on recent IPOs, Barron’s notes that while Appian (APPN) and Roku (ROKU) have surged 39% and $85% respectively, cloud-computing darlings Mulesoft (MULE) and Tintri (TNTR) are down since their debuts.

Wall Street about to join in Bitcoin fun – Bitcoin shot past $11,000 last week but slid sharply right after before surging yet again, Avi Salzman writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. Now Wall Street is about to join in the fun, he notes, adding that getting listed on some of the largest exchanges in the country is a “tectonic shift for Bitcoin.” Banks like Goldman Sachs (GS) are considering helping clients execute Bitcoin trades, and once “they dip their toes in,” there may be no turning back, Salzman contends.

Salesforce.com has 25% upside – As Salesforce (CRM) launches new products, its “addressable market” expands, which means more opportunities for sales and potentially wider margins, Jack Hough writes in this week’s edition of Barron’s. The company’s shares should continue to outperform as revenue rises and margins improve, and a 25% increase in 2018 to $130 seems achievable, he adds.

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December 1, 2017

Rig counts continue to rise

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 6 to 929 rigs

Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. rig count is up 6 rigs from last week to 929, with oil rigs up 2 to 749, gas rigs up 4 to 180, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 332 rigs from last year’s count of 597, with oil rigs up 272, gas rigs up 61, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 0.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 2 rigs from last week to 20 and down 2 rigs year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 7 rigs from last week to 222, with oil rigs up 4 to 111 and gas rigs up 3 to 111, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged.

The Canada Rig Count is up 22 rigs from last year’s count of 200, with oil rigs up 11, gas rigs up 13, and miscellaneous rigs down 2 to 0.

Crude oil is up 85 cents to $58.25 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.01 to $63.64 per barrel.

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November 13, 2017

Boeing paints a rosy picture

Boeing forecasts $730B market for new airplanes in Middle East

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Boeing (BA) forecasts that airlines in the Middle East will need 3,350 new airplanes over the next 20 years, valued at an estimated $730B.

Boeing presented its 2017 Current Market Outlook for the region during the Dubai Airshow.

“Traffic growth in the Middle East is expected to grow at 5.6% annually during the next 20 years,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes.

“The fact that 85% of the world’s population lives within an eight-hour flight of the Persian Gulf, coupled with robust business models and investment in infrastructure, allows carriers in the Middle East to channel traffic through their hubs and offer one-stop service between many cities.”

More than half of the total deliveries in the Middle East will be single-aisle airplanes such as the 737 MAX.

Operators in the region will need 1,770 single-aisle airplanes valued at $190B, driven by the growth of low-cost carriers.

Boeing’s presence and support for the Middle East also includes Global Services, the company’s third and newest business unit that is expanding its service capability offerings to better support the region’s airlines and aircraft.

Around the world, Boeing has forecasted long-term demand for 41,030 new airplanes, valued at $6.1T.

These new airplanes will replace older, less efficient airplanes, benefiting airlines and passengers and stimulating growth in emerging markets and innovation in airline business models.

BA closed at $260.85.

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