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June 2, 2022June 2, 2022

Oil Prices Soar on EIA report!

OPEC, Russia-led group agree to increase oil production

WTI prices extended earlier gains following the bullish EIA inventory report that overshadowed the boost in production announced by OPEC+.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the statistical agency of the Department of Energy. It provides policy-independent data, forecasts, and analyses to promote sound policy making, efficient markets, and public understanding regarding energy, and its interaction with the economy and the environment.

Crude prices have climbed a whopping 6-handles on the day, surging to $117.27 from an overnight low of $111.20. This is the highest since March.

The market has been whipped recently, with prices climbing on news EU would sanction some Russian oil imports, only to tumble on reports OPEC+ was considering excluding Russia from production quotas which suggested increased output from Saudi and UAE to make up for the loss.

https://stockwinners.com — Rig Counts Rise – See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

Then overnight there was talk that the cartel would boost production between 500 M and 700 M barrels, which saw prices dip to the lows, but only briefly.

Prices rallied and remained elevated into the $114 area, even after OPCE+ confirmed the production increase by some 50% or 648k bpd in July and August, as there were doubt the increased output can be effected.

There is also skepticism supply will be able to meet demand down the road. The market also was likely pricing in an inventory shortfall, which the EIA confirmed with crude stocks falling 5.1 M barrels, while distillates and gas stocks declining too.

WTI is up $1.43 to $116.67 per barrel. Brent is up $1.22 to $117.52 per barrel. Gasoline is up 0.126 to $4.199 per gallon. Note that dollar is weaker today which is also helping oil prices. Euro last traded at $1.08 after hitting a low of $1.06 on the day.

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This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility.

December 10, 2021

Rig Counts Jump!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 7 to 576 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 7 from last week to 576 with oil rigs up 4 to 471, gas up 3 to 105, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

Oil Rigs, See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read the latest on oil and rig count

The U.S. Rig Count is up 238 rigs from last year’s count of 338, with oil rigs up 213 gas rigs up 26 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 14, up 1 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 3 from last week to 177, with oil rigs down 3 to 110, gas rigs unchanged at 67.

The Canada Rig Count is up 66 rigs from last year’s count of 111, with oil rigs up 58, gas rigs up 8.

The international offshore rig count for April 2018 was 194. Stockwinners — The U.S. offshore rig count rose by one.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.01 to $71.95 per barrel. Brent crude is up $0.95 to $75.35 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $2.142 per gallon up 1.4 cents on the day.

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September 10, 2021

Rig Counts Continue to Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 6 to 503 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 6 from last week to 503 with oil rigs up 7 to 401, gas rigs down 1 to 101, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 249 rigs from last year’s count of 254, with oil rigs up 221 gas rigs up 30 and miscellaneous rigs down 2 to 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 4 to 6, down 9 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 9 from last week to 143, with oil rigs down 5 to 87, gas rigs down 4 to 56.

The Canada Rig Count is up 91 rigs from last year’s count of 52, with oil rigs up 68, gas rigs up 23.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.61 to $69.75 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.51 to $72.96 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $2.15 per gallon up 5.3 cents on the day.

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August 6, 2021

Rig Counts Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 3 to 491 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 3 from last week to 491 with oil rigs up 2 to 387, gas rigs unchanged at 103, and miscellaneous rigs up 1 to 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 244 rigs from last year’s count of 247, with oil rigs up 211 gas rigs up 34 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 14, up 2 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 3 from last week to 156, with oil rigs up 2 to 95, gas rigs up 1 to 60 and miscellaneous unchanged at 1.

The Canada Rig Count is up 109 rigs from last year’s count of 47, with oil rigs up 82, gas rigs up 26 and miscellaneous unchanged 1.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is down 54 cents to $68.55 per barrel. Brent crude is down $0.51 to $70.96 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $2.28 per gallon down 2 cents on the day and down 10 cents for the week.

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May 14, 2021

Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 453 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 453 with oil rigs up 8 to 352, gas rigs down 3 to 100, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 114 rigs from last year’s count of 339, with oil rigs up 94 gas rigs up 21 and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 2 to 15, up 3 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 4 from last week to 59, with oil rigs up 3 to 25, gas rigs up 1 to 34.

The Canada Rig Count is up 36 rigs from last year’s count of 23, with oil rigs up 18, gas rigs up 18.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.45 to $65.26 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.54 to $68.60 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $2.12 per gallon up 3 cents.

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February 12, 2021

Rig Counts Continue to Rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 5 to 397 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 5 from last week to 397 with oil rigs up 7 to 306, gas rigs down 2 to 90, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 393 rigs from last year’s count of 790, with oil rigs down 372, gas rigs down 20 and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 17, down 6 year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 5 from last week to 176, with oil rigs up 6 to 101, gas rigs down 1 to 75.

The Canada Rig Count is down 79 rigs from last year’s count of 255, with oil rigs down 71, gas rigs down 8.

The Baker Hughes rig counts are counts of the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the U.S., Canada and international markets. The Company has issued the rig counts as a service to the petroleum industry since 1944, when Hughes Tool Company began weekly counts of the U.S. and Canadian drilling activity. The monthly international rig count was initiated in 1975.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up $1.24 to $59.48 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.34 to $62.50 per barrel. Gasoline last traded at $1.69 per gallon.

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November 13, 2020

Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 12 to 312 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 12 from last week to 312 with oil rigs up 10 to 236, gas rigs up 2 to 73, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

Baker Hughes has been reporting weekly rig counts for more than 50 years

The U.S. Rig Count is down 494 rigs from last year’s count of 806, with oil rigs down 438, gas rigs down 56 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 3.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 13, down 9 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 3 from last week to 89, with oil rigs up 2 to 39, gas rigs up 1 to 50.

The Canada Rig Count is down 45 rigs from last year’s count of 134, with oil rigs down 49, gas rigs up 4.

Brent crude is down $0.83 to $42.70 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is down $1.00 to $40.12 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.12 per gallon, down 3 cents.

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August 21, 2020

Rig counts rise!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 10 to 254 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is up 10 from last week at 254 with oil rigs up 11 to 183, gas rigs down 1 to 69, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 662 rigs from last year‘s count of 916, with oil rigs down 571, gas rigs down 93, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 13 and down 15 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 2 rigs from last week to 56, with oil rigs up 1 to 20, gas rigs up 1 to 36, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

The Canada Rig Count is down 83 rigs from last year’s count of 139, with oil rigs down 75, gas rigs down 8 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

Brent crude is down 77 cents to $44.13 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is down 75 cents to $42.07 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.28 per gallon down a penny on the day.

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August 14, 2020

Rig counts continue to decline

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 3 to 244 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 3 from last week at 244 with oil rigs down 4 to 172, gas rigs up 1 to 70, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 691 rigs from last year’s count of 935, with oil rigs down 598, gas rigs down 95, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 to 13 and down 14 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 7 rigs from last week to 54, with oil rigs up 6 to 19, gas rigs up 1 to 35, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

The Canada Rig Count is down 88 rigs from last year’s count of 142, with oil rigs down 82, gas rigs down 6 and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

Brent crude is down 24 cents to $44.71 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is down 32 cents to $41.92 per barrel.

Gasoline last traded at $1.23 per gallon unchanged on the day.

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May 8, 2020May 8, 2020

Rig Counts Collapse!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 34 to 374 rigs

Baker Hughes (BKR) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 34 rigs from last week to 374, with oil rigs down 33 to 292, gas rigs down 1 to 80, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 2.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 614 rigs from last year’s count of 988, with oil rigs down 513, gas rigs down 103, and miscellaneous rigs up 2 to 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 1 rig from last week to 15 and down 5 year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 1 rig from last week to 26, with oil rigs unchanged at 7 and gas rigs down 1 to 19.

WTI in 2020 has traded widely, Stockwinners

The Canada Rig Count is down 37 rigs from last year’s count of 63, with oil rigs down 15 and gas rigs down 22.

Meanwhile WTI has traded in a wide range this year. Today the June contract is up 4.5% to $24.50 per barrel.

Brent crude for June delivery is up 4.8% to $30.85 per barrel.

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January 14, 2020

Government forecasts steady energy prices in 2020 and 21

EIA says U.S. crude oil production will average 13.3M b/d in 2020

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) forecasts Brent crude oil spot prices will average $65 per barrel in 2020 and $68/b in 2021, compared with an average of $64/b in 2019.

Domestic productions to rise in 2020, Stockwinners

EIA expects West Texas Intermediate, WTI, crude oil prices will average about $5.50/b lower than Brent prices through 2020 and 2021, compared with an average WTI discount of about $7.35/b in 2019.

Global liquid fuels inventories were mostly unchanged in 2019, and EIA expects they will grow by 0.3 million b/d in 2020 and then decline by 0.2 million b/d in 2021.

EIA estimates that U.S. crude oil production averaged 12.2 million b/d in 2019, up 1.3 million b/d from 2018.

EIA forecasts U.S. crude oil production will average 13.3 million b/d in 2020 and 13.7 million b/d in 2021.

On January 1, 2020, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) enacted Annex VI of the International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL Convention), which lowers the maximum sulfur content of marine fuel oil used in ocean-going vessels from 3.5% of weight to 0.5%.
EIA expects this regulation will encourage global refiners to increase refinery runs and maximize upgrading of high-sulfur heavy fuel oil into low-sulfur distillate fuel to create compliant bunker fuels.
EIA forecasts that U.S. refinery runs will rise by 3% from 2019 to a record level of 17.5 million b/d in 2020, resulting in refinery utilization rates that average 93% in 2020.
EIA expects one of the most significant effects of the regulation will be on diesel wholesale margins, which will rise from an average of 43 cents per gallon (gal) in 2019 to a forecast peak of 53 cents/gal in March 2020 and an annual average of 50 cents/gal in 2020. EIA expects diesel margins to decline to 49 cents/gal in 2021.
U.S. regular gasoline retail prices averaged $2.60/gal in 2019, and EIA forecasts that they will average $2.63/gal in both 2020 and 2021.

Most of the production growth in the forecast occurs in the Permian region of Texas and New Mexico.

Publicly traded companies in the space include BP (BP), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) and Total (TOT).

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May 24, 2019

Rig Counts Declined Last Week!

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 4 to 983 rigs

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 4 rigs from last week to 983, with oil rigs down 5 to 797, gas rigs up 1 to 186, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

The U.S. Rig Count is down 76 rigs from last year’s count of 1,059, with oil rigs down 62, gas rigs down 12, and miscellaneous rigs down 2.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 22 and up 3 rigs year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 15 rigs from last week to 78, with oil rigs up 16 to 38 and gas rigs down 1 to 40.

The Canada Rig Count is down 3 rigs from last year’s count of 81, with oil rigs up 3 and gas rigs down 6.

The Baker Hughes rig count is an important business barometer for the oil drilling industry. When drilling rigs are active they consume products and services produced by the oil service industry. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for oil products.

Crude oil is up 40 cents to $58.30 per barrel. Brent crude is up 57 cents to $68.33 per barrel.

Note that crude oil is rebounding from its 100-day moving average. The Commodity topped around $66 per barrel in the Spring.

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April 12, 2019April 12, 2019

Rig counts declined by three

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count down 3 to 1,022 rigs last week
The U.S. Rig Count is up 14 rigs from last year’s count of 1,008

Baker Hughes (BHGE) reports that the U.S. rig count is down 3 rigs from last week to 1,022, with oil rigs up 2 to 833, gas rigs down 5 to 189, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 0.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 14 rigs from last year’s count of 1,008, with oil rigs up 18 to 833, gas rigs down 3 to 189, and miscellaneous rigs down 1.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is up 1 rig to 23 and up 7 rigs year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is down 2 rigs from last week to 66, with oil rigs down 4 to 18 and gas rigs up 2 to 48.

The Canada Rig Count is down 36 rigs from last year’s count of 102, with oil rigs down 23 and gas rigs down 13.

Crude oil (WTI) is up 66 cents to $64.25 per barrel. Brent crude is up 95 cents to $64.27 per barrel.

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December 1, 2017

Rig counts continue to rise

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 6 to 929 rigs

Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. rig count is up 6 rigs from last week to 929, with oil rigs up 2 to 749, gas rigs up 4 to 180, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged.

The U.S. Rig Count is up 332 rigs from last year’s count of 597, with oil rigs up 272, gas rigs up 61, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 0.

The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is down 2 rigs from last week to 20 and down 2 rigs year-over-year.

The Canada Rig Count is up 7 rigs from last week to 222, with oil rigs up 4 to 111 and gas rigs up 3 to 111, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged.

The Canada Rig Count is up 22 rigs from last year’s count of 200, with oil rigs up 11, gas rigs up 13, and miscellaneous rigs down 2 to 0.

Crude oil is up 85 cents to $58.25 per barrel. Brent crude is up $1.01 to $63.64 per barrel.

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August 25, 2017August 25, 2017

Hurricane Harvey to Push Gas Prices Higher

Hurricane Harvey scheduled to make landfall tonight near Corpus Christi, Texas

Refineries have shut down ahead of the storm

Hurricane Harvey to push gas prices higher. See Stockwinners.com Market Radar to read more

Hurricane Harvey is a tropical cyclone currently threatening to make landfall in Texas as a major hurricane, which would be the first storm of such intensity to strike the United States since Wilma in 2005 and the first to hit the state since Ike in 2008. The eighth named storm and third hurricane of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season.

Currently, Hurricane Harvey is located within 10 nautical miles of 27.1°N 96.3°W, about 85 miles (140 km) east-southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas, or about 90 miles (145 km) south of Port O’Connor, Texas.

REFINERIES and OIL PRODUCTION

Forty-five percent of total U.S. petroleum refining capacity is located along the Gulf Coast. All of these refineries will shut down for safety reasons.

Oil production operations in the Gulf began shutting down Thursday in response to Hurricane Harvey. Here is what is happening so far:

Anadarko (APC) has removed all personnel and temporarily shut in production at their Boomvang, Gunnison, Lucius and Nansen facilities, which are located in the western portion of the Gulf.
ConocoPhillips (COP) has taken precaution to evacuate all non-essential personnel from our Magnolia platform in the Gulf of Mexico and they have decided to suspend drilling and completion activities in the Eagle Ford and move non-essential personnel and equipment off the drilling rigs.
ExxonMobil (XOM) is in the process of evacuating all personnel from their facilities expected to be in the path of the storm, which includes the Hoover platform and Galveston 209 platform. The Hoover and Galveston 209 platforms are shut-in. Their Hadrian South subsea production system in the Gulf of Mexico is also shut-in.
Shell (RDS) shut down production and has secured its Perdido asset and is in the process of returning all personnel working on Perdido to shore.
Valero (VLO) said Friday completed the process of temporarily closing two refineries in Corpus Christi and Three Rivers.

As of Friday noon, operators had been evacuated from 39 production platforms — about 5.29 percent of the manned platforms in the Gulf — along with one rig.

As part of the evacuation procedures, operators shut the sub-surface safety valves below the surface of the ocean floor, to prevent releasing oil or gas. That means 9.56 percent of the current oil production in the Gulf has been blocked off, equating to 167,231 barrels per day. In addition, 0.04 percent of the natural gas production in the Gulf has been shut down.

Houston also marks the beginning of the Colonial Pipeline, which transports more than 100 million gallons of gasoline, heating oil and aviation fuel each day to as far as the New York harbor. Power outages during Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 forced the shutdown of parts of the Colonial Pipeline for several days.

FLOODING

Hurricane Harvey’s impact on U.S. oil production could extend beyond offshore platforms and Gulf Coast refineries. Extreme flooding threatens to bring Texas shale activity to a halt, and it may take weeks, if not months, before some shale fields can bounce back.

Texas is by far the largest oil producer in the U.S., and at least part of the oil-rich Eagle Ford shale formation lies in the projected path of the storm.

Motorists across the U.S. might see a spike in gasoline prices following disruptions to offshore rigs, refineries, pipelines and terminals. Pump prices could jump 15 to 25 cents a gallon nationwide.

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